STR Yield
← Back to deals

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

42870 Encino Rd

42870 Encino Rd

Big Bear Lake, CA 92315

$785,000

4 bd · 3 ba · Listed 23d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

1977

Sqft

—

Lot sqft

4,515

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

Yes

List date

2026-09-06T14:04:58.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$45,652

ADR

$404

Occupancy

31%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$8,563

Confidence

Low (40.74), 44 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$25,523$39,196$53,592
  • YellowDeerLodge/GameRoom/AC/Spa/Lake/Ski/petsOk

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 49 ft

    Revenue $36,155ADR $704Occ ≈ 14%5★ (191)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Walk to Bear Mtn! Hot Tub! Pet Friendly! Fire Pit!

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 105 ft

    Revenue $21,168ADR $382Occ ≈ 15%5★ (11)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Relaxing Big Cub Cabin at Big Bear

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 469 ft

    Revenue $101,314ADR $1,247Occ ≈ 22%—

    Booking

  • Hot Tub, Game Room, Deck w/ Mtn Views | Paw Print

    House · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 16 · 499 ft

    Revenue $100,091ADR $542Occ ≈ 51%4.9★ (38)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cabin with Gameroom Dogs OK BBQ Decks

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $38,715ADR $309Occ ≈ 34%4.5★ (8)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 173 - Silvertip Retreat

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $18,314ADR $315Occ ≈ 16%4.5★ (1)

    Booking

  • Cabin with Game Room | Dog-Friendly | BBQ | Decks

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $33,511ADR $279Occ ≈ 33%—

    Vrbo

  • Cabin with Gameroom | Dogs OK | BBQ | Decks

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $25,053ADR $329Occ ≈ 21%—

    Vrbo

  • WalkerBearHouse (10 Adults Max)

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 16 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $51,262ADR $742Occ ≈ 19%4.9★ (41)

    Airbnb

  • Hot Tub + Game Room w/ Pool Table + Near Slopes

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $36,742ADR $474Occ ≈ 21%4.7★ (13)

    AirbnbBooking

Show all 45 comps
  • Le Grand Bear, Modern and Spacious Cabin

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $8,241ADR $724Occ ≈ 3%5★ (8)

    Airbnb

  • Big Bear Hideaway Cabin.

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $3,103ADR $948Occ ≈ 1%1★ (1)

    Airbnb

  • Silvertip Perch: Bear Mountain Views! Hot Tub!

    House · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $56,107ADR $471Occ ≈ 33%4.8★ (34)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 4BR Retreat | Central AIr Conditioning | Gameroom

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $45,145ADR $350Occ ≈ 35%5★ (102)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Mooncrest Manor: Pet Friendly! Full Game Room!

    House · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $52,638ADR $474Occ ≈ 30%4.7★ (94)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Eagles Nest Best Place To Rest with generator

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $57,311ADR $563Occ ≈ 28%4.6★ (12)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • New! Bearadise ~ Silver Bear Mountain Retreat

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $49,426ADR $250Occ ≈ 54%4.4★ (86)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • HOT TUB! Garage Parking! Slope Views! Game Table!

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $43,899ADR $370Occ ≈ 33%4.4★ (150)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Golf/Ski/Hike/Zoo-Pool Table-Fireplaces-Essentials

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $38,733ADR $565Occ ≈ 19%3.9★ (11)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Lux 4 Bdrm! Central A/C! Hot Tub! Near Bear Mtn!

    House · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $94,101ADR $637Occ ≈ 40%4.8★ (63)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 2 Mi to Lake & Ski Slopes: Big Bear Cabin

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $42,624ADR $439Occ ≈ 27%4.5★ (13)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Big Bear Cabin | Hot Tub, Pool Table & Lake Access

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $52,809ADR $558Occ ≈ 26%4.8★ (201)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Luxury Cabin Minutes to Slopes & Lake w/Hot Tub!

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $25,523ADR $638Occ ≈ 11%5★ (106)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Bear Mesa Chalet | Hot Tub · Fireplace

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $8,636ADR $237Occ ≈ 10%5★ (6)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Charming Mountain Cabin Near

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $30,558ADR $200Occ ≈ 42%3.2★ (6)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Welcome to Bearadise: Walk to Zoo & Golf Course!

    House · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $33,927ADR $228Occ ≈ 41%4.8★ (69)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Golf & Ski Retreat-1443 by Big Bear Vacations

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $34,110ADR $606Occ ≈ 15%—

    Booking

  • The Great Escape: Hot Tub! Air Hockey Table!

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $28,355ADR $240Occ ≈ 32%4.4★ (109)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Moonridge Retreat | Snow Summit Views & Game Room

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $9,364ADR $291Occ ≈ 9%5★ (6)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Spacious - New Spa W/ Pool Table

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $21,873ADR $466Occ ≈ 13%4.9★ (47)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Moonridge Chateau • Hot Tub + Game Room • Escape

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $55,686ADR $508Occ ≈ 30%4.8★ (24)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 3,000 S.F. Beautiful House, WIFI, near Ski Lift

    House · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $12,128ADR $808Occ ≈ 4%4.7★ (77)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Moonridge Lodge | Hot Tub+Pet Friendly+By the Lake

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $39,196ADR $228Occ ≈ 47%5★ (23)

    Airbnb

  • Fox Canyon: Deck! Great Neighborhood! Fireplace!

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $34,582ADR $224Occ ≈ 42%4.1★ (38)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Moonridge Ski&Zoo Chalet HotTub/4BB/BBQ/Fr Pit/AC*

    Chalet · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $77,383ADR $529Occ ≈ 40%5★ (58)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Club View Cabin with Hot Tub & Game Room

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $85,430ADR $331Occ ≈ 71%4.8★ (169)

    Airbnb

  • Bear Mountain Chalet w/ views, Hot Tub, and Games!

    Cabin · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $55,770ADR $790Occ ≈ 19%5★ (7)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Big Bear hideaway cabin

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $13,368ADR $326Occ ≈ 11%4.8★ (5)

    Airbnb

  • Sunny Side Up: Tesla Charger, Pool Table, Hot Tub!

    Cabin · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $105,222ADR $603Occ ≈ 48%5★ (265)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 4BR + Deck w/ BBQ + Slope Views

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $9,295ADR $544Occ ≈ 5%4.7★ (16)

    AirbnbBooking

  • 3BR Family Compound, Walk to Golf, Hiking, Near Zoo, Pet Friendly

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $50,720ADR $1,334Occ ≈ 10%5★ (2)

    Booking

  • StoryTime + Hot Tub + Game Room + EV Charger + BBQ

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $40,736ADR $364Occ ≈ 31%5★ (21)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Hot Tub, Dogs OK, BBQ, Shuffleboard, and more!

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $53,592ADR $763Occ ≈ 19%4.8★ (7)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Sublime For-Rest - High End Neighborhood! Hot Tub!

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 15 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $64,620ADR $551Occ ≈ 32%4.5★ (114)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Mountain cabin w/ hot tub, games & EV charger

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $48,650ADR $533Occ ≈ 25%5★ (21)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$45,652

NOI

$16,031

Cash flow /mo

-$2,894

Cash needed

$227,650

Cash-on-cash

-15.3%

ROE (yr 1)

-2.7%

Cap rate

2.0%

DSCR

0.32

Year-1 write-off

$143,809

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$46,019

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$34,730
  • Principal paydown$5,137
  • Appreciation at%$23,550
ROE-2.7%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)17.6%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$9,130
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,370
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,283
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$9,813
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$4,004

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$196,250
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$31,400
  • Furnishing (conveyed with the sale)$0

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$46,019

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$630,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$142,000 · 23%

Year-1 deduction

$144,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$46,000

Land 20% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $488,000 over 39 years

Based on: ~2,400 sq ft (from beds), built 1977, 4 bd / 3 ba, furnished, listing features (fence, fireplace, appliance list).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $104,000 in year 1 (16% short-life, $33,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$89,400
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $11,100 new × 40% good × 3.44 allocation

    $15,200
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 3.44 allocation

    $12,500
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $4,200 new × 40% good × 3.44 allocation

    $5,800
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 40% good × 3.44 allocation

    $600
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,500 new × 40% good × 3.44 allocation

    $2,100
  • Window coverings (24)default

    $6,000 new × 40% good × 3.44 allocation

    $8,300
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)default

    $6,200 new × 40% good × 3.44 allocation

    $8,500
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $8,600 new × 40% good × 3.44 allocation

    $11,900
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $5,200 new × 40% good × 3.44 allocation

    $7,200
  • Appliances (range, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $6,000 new × 40% good × 3.44 allocation

    $8,300
  • Furniture conveyed with the sale (used)listing

    $23,000 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $9,200
15-year land improvements$52,800
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $10,200 new × 50% good × 3.44 allocation

    $17,500
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $9,800 new × 50% good × 3.44 allocation

    $16,800
  • Patiosdefault

    $2,400 new × 50% good × 3.44 allocation

    $4,100
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $2,400 new × 50% good × 3.44 allocation

    $4,100
  • Fencinglisting

    $6,000 new × 50% good × 3.44 allocation

    $10,300
Building, 39-year$487,600
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $260,300 new × 40% good × 3.44 allocation

    $358,600
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $27,000 new × 40% good × 3.44 allocation

    $37,200
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $27,700 new × 40% good × 3.44 allocation

    $38,200
  • HVACdefault

    $27,000 new × 40% good × 3.44 allocation

    $37,200
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $9,300 new × 40% good × 3.44 allocation

    $12,800
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 3.44 allocation

    $3,600

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$89,400$52,800$1,600$143,800
2$0$0$12,500$12,500
3$0$0$12,500$12,500
4$0$0$12,500$12,500
5$0$0$12,500$12,500
6+$0$0$436,000$436,000
Total$89,400$52,800$487,600$629,800

The building's share of the price ($621,000) is 3.4x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($180,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California and Georgia disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.