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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

1688 El Capitan Dr

1688 El Capitan Dr

Redding, CA 96001

$680,000

4 bd · 3 ba · 2,813 sqft · Listed today

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1986

Sqft

2,813

Lot sqft

13,504

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-29T01:58:53.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$62,994

ADR

$249

Occupancy

69%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$11,777

Confidence

Low (39.19), 10 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$38,796$68,428$86,208
  • Dragonfly Retreat

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $3,047ADR $258Occ ≈ 3%4.5★ (2)

    Airbnb

  • House in the Clouds

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $98,906ADR $352Occ ≈ 77%5★ (2)

    Booking

  • House In The Clouds - Perfect Summer Getaway

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $97,172ADR $380Occ ≈ 70%4.8★ (83)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Bright Redding Getaway

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $37,182ADR $201Occ ≈ 51%5★ (25)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • {The Cessna Lookout} +Pool +Hot Tub +EV Charger

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $76,422ADR $311Occ ≈ 67%5★ (184)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Andes Restful Retreat

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $64,989ADR $294Occ ≈ 61%4.8★ (75)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Summer Retreat | Best Pool by Mary Lake +EV Charge

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $89,470ADR $299Occ ≈ 82%5★ (111)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • The Stratford | Pool/Hot Tub + Arcade + Modern

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $71,867ADR $469Occ ≈ 42%4.8★ (85)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Westside Charmer Near Trails

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $43,636ADR $253Occ ≈ 47%4.8★ (28)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Mid Century Modern Resort Home w/pool

    House · 5 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 14 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $3,298ADR $194Occ ≈ 5%4.9★ (82)

    Airbnb

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$62,994

NOI

$29,698

Cash flow /mo

-$1,189

Cash needed

$220,200

Cash-on-cash

-6.5%

ROE (yr 1)

4.8%

Cap rate

4.4%

DSCR

0.68

Year-1 write-off

$102,218

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$32,710

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$14,274
  • Principal paydown$4,450
  • Appreciation at%$20,400
ROE4.8%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)19.7%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$12,599
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,890
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$3,150
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$8,500
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$3,978

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$170,000
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$27,200
  • Furnishing (bought new)$23,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$32,710

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$572,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$78,000 · 14%

Year-1 deduction

$102,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$33,000

Land 16% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $494,000 over 39 years · new furniture $23,000

Based on: 2,813 sq ft, built 1986, 4 bd / 3 ba, unfurnished, listing features (pool, deck, fireplace, stone counters, flooring types).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $66,000 in year 1 (7% short-life, $21,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$100,600
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $12,000 new × 40% good × 2.96 allocation

    $14,200
  • Kitchen countertops (stone)listing

    $12,200 new × 40% good × 2.96 allocation

    $14,500
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $4,900 new × 40% good × 2.96 allocation

    $5,800
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 40% good × 2.96 allocation

    $500
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,500 new × 40% good × 2.96 allocation

    $1,800
  • Window coverings (28)default

    $7,000 new × 40% good × 2.96 allocation

    $8,300
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (25% of floors)listing

    $4,500 new × 40% good × 2.96 allocation

    $5,400
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $9,300 new × 40% good × 2.96 allocation

    $11,000
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $5,600 new × 40% good × 2.96 allocation

    $6,700
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 2.96 allocation

    $9,600
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $23,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $23,000
Building, 39-year$494,300
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $305,400 new × 40% good × 2.96 allocation

    $361,200
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $31,700 new × 40% good × 2.96 allocation

    $37,500
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $32,900 new × 40% good × 2.96 allocation

    $38,900
  • HVACdefault

    $31,700 new × 40% good × 2.96 allocation

    $37,500
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $13,600 new × 40% good × 2.96 allocation

    $16,100
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.96 allocation

    $3,100

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$100,600$0$1,600$102,200
2$0$0$12,700$12,700
3$0$0$12,700$12,700
4$0$0$12,700$12,700
5$0$0$12,700$12,700
6+$0$0$442,000$442,000
Total$100,600$0$494,300$594,900

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California and Georgia disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Rules differ by jurisdiction. City of Redding caps whole-home vacation rentals at 400 with a 600 ft spacing rule (300 ft with a physical buffer), and its permit is NOT transferable to a new owner. Shasta Lake city and unincorporated Shasta County allow permitted rentals with no cap found, but permits also do not transfer on sale. Lodging tax ~10% plus a 2% tourism assessment in Redding. Verify parcel eligibility with the city or county before you buy.