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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

21193 El Toro Ln

21193 El Toro Ln

Redding, CA 96003

$414,900

3 bd · 2 ba · 1,698 sqft · Listed 16d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

2006

Sqft

1,698

Lot sqft

108,464

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-13T05:26:02.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$38,142

ADR

$177

Occupancy

59%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$6,487

Confidence

Low (29.87), 5 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$23,132$24,334$50,951
  • Peaceful Craftsman | Outdoor Space | Low Toxicity

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.9 mi

    Revenue $50,951ADR $253Occ ≈ 55%4.7★ (20)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Peaceful Craftsman on Acres w/Labyrinth

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.9 mi

    Revenue $24,334ADR $205Occ ≈ 33%4.9★ (9)

    Airbnb

  • Full top floor guest house!

    Guest house · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.2 mi

    Revenue $23,132ADR $209Occ ≈ 30%5★ (83)

    Airbnb

  • 5 Acre Modern Redding Retreat + Hot Tub + Views

    House · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 5 · 1.3 mi

    Revenue $73,778ADR $246Occ ≈ 82%5★ (219)

    Airbnb

  • Small Country Home on 3 Acres Close to Town

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.3 mi

    Revenue $10,188ADR $81Occ ≈ 34%5★ (1)

    Airbnb

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$38,142

NOI

$16,271

Cash flow /mo

-$880

Cash needed

$139,821

Cash-on-cash

-7.6%

ROE (yr 1)

3.3%

Cap rate

3.9%

DSCR

0.61

Year-1 write-off

$78,461

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$25,108

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$10,558
  • Principal paydown$2,715
  • Appreciation at%$12,447
ROE3.3%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)21.2%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$7,628
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,144
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,907
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$5,186
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$2,427

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$103,725
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$16,596
  • Furnishing (bought new)$19,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$25,108

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$322,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$58,000 · 18%

Year-1 deduction

$78,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$25,000

Land 22% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $264,000 over 39 years · new furniture $20,000

Based on: 1,698 sq ft, built 2006, 3 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (fireplace, flooring types, septic).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $63,000 in year 1 (13% short-life, $20,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$61,000
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $9,500 new × 40% good × 1.65 allocation

    $6,300
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $7,800 new × 40% good × 1.65 allocation

    $5,100
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,000 new × 40% good × 1.65 allocation

    $2,000
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 1.65 allocation

    $200
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 1.65 allocation

    $800
  • Window coverings (17)default

    $4,300 new × 40% good × 1.65 allocation

    $2,800
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (100% of floors)listing

    $10,900 new × 40% good × 1.65 allocation

    $7,200
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,400 new × 60% good × 1.65 allocation

    $7,300
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,500 new × 60% good × 1.65 allocation

    $4,400
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 1.65 allocation

    $5,300
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
15-year land improvements$16,600
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $8,500 new × 50% good × 1.65 allocation

    $7,000
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $8,200 new × 50% good × 1.65 allocation

    $6,800
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,700 new × 50% good × 1.65 allocation

    $1,400
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $1,700 new × 50% good × 1.65 allocation

    $1,400
Building, 39-year$264,200
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $184,000 new × 67% good × 1.65 allocation

    $202,500
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $19,100 new × 60% good × 1.65 allocation

    $18,900
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $18,800 new × 60% good × 1.65 allocation

    $18,600
  • HVACdefault

    $19,100 new × 40% good × 1.65 allocation

    $12,600
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 1.65 allocation

    $1,700
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 50% good × 1.65 allocation

    $9,900

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$61,000$16,600$800$78,500
2$0$0$6,800$6,800
3$0$0$6,800$6,800
4$0$0$6,800$6,800
5$0$0$6,800$6,800
6+$0$0$236,300$236,300
Total$61,000$16,600$264,200$341,900

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California and Georgia disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Rules differ by jurisdiction. City of Redding caps whole-home vacation rentals at 400 with a 600 ft spacing rule (300 ft with a physical buffer), and its permit is NOT transferable to a new owner. Shasta Lake city and unincorporated Shasta County allow permitted rentals with no cap found, but permits also do not transfer on sale. Lodging tax ~10% plus a 2% tourism assessment in Redding. Verify parcel eligibility with the city or county before you buy.