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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

1945 Hardenbrook Ave

1945 Hardenbrook Ave

Shasta Lake, CA 96019

$339,000

2 bd · 1 ba · 930 sqft · Listed 13d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1951

Sqft

930

Lot sqft

108,900

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-16T22:50:27.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$29,577

ADR

$137

Occupancy

59%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$3,873

Confidence

Low (—), 3 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$26,299$27,253$27,482
  • Lounge + Lake

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 518 ft

    Revenue $27,253ADR $148Occ ≈ 50%4.9★ (66)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Sunny California Retreat w/ Pool Access & Patio!

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $25,344ADR $130Occ ≈ 53%5★ (1)

    Booking

  • The Birdhouse At Shasta Lake

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $27,710ADR $173Occ ≈ 44%4.7★ (26)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$29,577

NOI

$11,383

Cash flow /mo

-$878

Cash needed

$114,310

Cash-on-cash

-9.2%

ROE (yr 1)

1.6%

Cap rate

3.4%

DSCR

0.52

Year-1 write-off

$110,703

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$35,425

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$10,538
  • Principal paydown$2,218
  • Appreciation at%$10,170
ROE1.6%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)32.6%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$5,915
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$887
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,479
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$4,238
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$1,983

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$84,750
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$13,560
  • Furnishing (bought new)$16,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$35,425

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$254,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$94,000 · 37%

Year-1 deduction

$111,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$35,000

Land 25% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $160,000 over 39 years · new furniture $16,000

Based on: 930 sq ft, built 1951, 2 bd / 1 ba, unfurnished, listing features (covered patio, fence, flooring types).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $89,000 in year 1 (28% short-life, $28,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$68,800
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $7,800 new × 40% good × 3.07 allocation

    $9,600
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $6,400 new × 40% good × 3.07 allocation

    $7,900
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $1,600 new × 40% good × 3.07 allocation

    $2,000
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $200 new × 40% good × 3.07 allocation

    $200
  • Shelvingdefault

    $900 new × 40% good × 3.07 allocation

    $1,100
  • Window coverings (9)default

    $2,300 new × 40% good × 3.07 allocation

    $2,800
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (100% of floors)listing

    $6,000 new × 40% good × 3.07 allocation

    $7,300
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $6,100 new × 40% good × 3.07 allocation

    $7,500
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $3,700 new × 40% good × 3.07 allocation

    $4,500
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 3.07 allocation

    $9,900
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $16,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $16,000
15-year land improvements$41,400
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $6,300 new × 50% good × 3.07 allocation

    $9,700
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $6,100 new × 50% good × 3.07 allocation

    $9,300
  • Covered patiolisting

    $7,700 new × 50% good × 3.07 allocation

    $11,800
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $900 new × 50% good × 3.07 allocation

    $1,400
  • Fencinglisting

    $6,000 new × 50% good × 3.07 allocation

    $9,200
Building, 39-year$160,100
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $100,600 new × 40% good × 3.07 allocation

    $123,300
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $10,400 new × 40% good × 3.07 allocation

    $12,800
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $9,100 new × 40% good × 3.07 allocation

    $11,100
  • HVACdefault

    $10,500 new × 40% good × 3.07 allocation

    $12,900

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$68,800$41,400$500$110,700
2$0$0$4,100$4,100
3$0$0$4,100$4,100
4$0$0$4,100$4,100
5$0$0$4,100$4,100
6+$0$0$143,100$143,100
Total$68,800$41,400$160,100$270,300

The building's share of the price ($254,000) is 3.1x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($83,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California and Georgia disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Rules differ by jurisdiction. City of Redding caps whole-home vacation rentals at 400 with a 600 ft spacing rule (300 ft with a physical buffer), and its permit is NOT transferable to a new owner. Shasta Lake city and unincorporated Shasta County allow permitted rentals with no cap found, but permits also do not transfer on sale. Lodging tax ~10% plus a 2% tourism assessment in Redding. Verify parcel eligibility with the city or county before you buy.