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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

10247 Salmon Creek Rd

10247 Salmon Creek Rd

Redding, CA 96003

$329,900

3 bd · 2 ba · 1,290 sqft · Listed 7d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1957

Sqft

1,290

Lot sqft

101,495

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-22T17:48:17.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$31,685

ADR

$137

Occupancy

63%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$4,350

Confidence

Low (30.54), 12 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$9,545$29,332$49,933
  • Budget Friendly. Clean Updated & a little Quirky

    Guest house · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $10,357ADR $80Occ ≈ 35%4.8★ (24)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 8-Acre Retreat: Pool & Stunning Mt Lassen View!

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $49,185ADR $298Occ ≈ 45%5★ (14)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Winery Getaway - stay at Shasta's Oldest Vineyard

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $31,607ADR $267Occ ≈ 32%5★ (18)

    Airbnb

  • Ballpark

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.1 mi

    Revenue $7,107ADR $197Occ ≈ 10%—

    Airbnb

  • Fayette House near Lema Ranch

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 1.6 mi

    Revenue $52,415ADR $196Occ ≈ 73%5★ (119)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Serene Homestead Hideaway

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.6 mi

    Revenue $27,057ADR $148Occ ≈ 50%4.7★ (21)

    Airbnb

  • Comfy home + great outside space - 30 day

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 1.7 mi

    Revenue $6,219ADR $87Occ ≈ 20%—

    Airbnb

  • Comfortable 30+ Day Stay – Perfect for Work/Travel

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 1.8 mi

    Revenue $16,255ADR $169Occ ≈ 26%4.8★ (6)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Quiet Redding Getaway ~ 7 Mi to Downtown!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 2.0 mi

    Revenue $44,782ADR $210Occ ≈ 58%4.8★ (59)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Redding Poolside Retreat | Family & Pet Friendly

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 2.1 mi

    Revenue $63,449ADR $238Occ ≈ 73%4.8★ (157)

    AirbnbVrbo

Show all 12 comps
  • Charming 3BR SmartHome w WiFi Games Good Location!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 2.1 mi

    Revenue $5,922ADR $423Occ ≈ 4%4.5★ (2)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • * * *Arroyo Manor* * *

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 2.1 mi

    Revenue $52,175ADR $206Occ ≈ 69%4.8★ (148)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$31,685

NOI

$13,054

Cash flow /mo

-$690

Cash needed

$115,171

Cash-on-cash

-7.2%

ROE (yr 1)

3.3%

Cap rate

4.0%

DSCR

0.61

Year-1 write-off

$69,029

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$22,089

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$8,278
  • Principal paydown$2,159
  • Appreciation at%$9,897
ROE3.3%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)22.5%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$6,337
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$951
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,584
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$4,124
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$1,930

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$82,475
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$13,196
  • Furnishing (bought new)$19,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$22,089

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$198,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$49,000 · 25%

Year-1 deduction

$69,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$22,000

Land 40% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $149,000 over 39 years · new furniture $20,000

Based on: 1,290 sq ft, built 1957, 3 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (fireplace, flooring types, septic).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $54,000 in year 1 (17% short-life, $17,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$52,900
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $8,600 new × 40% good × 1.83 allocation

    $6,300
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $7,100 new × 40% good × 1.83 allocation

    $5,200
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $2,300 new × 40% good × 1.83 allocation

    $1,600
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 1.83 allocation

    $200
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 1.83 allocation

    $900
  • Window coverings (13)default

    $3,300 new × 40% good × 1.83 allocation

    $2,400
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (50% of floors)listing

    $4,200 new × 40% good × 1.83 allocation

    $3,000
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $6,700 new × 40% good × 1.83 allocation

    $4,900
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,100 new × 40% good × 1.83 allocation

    $3,000
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 1.83 allocation

    $5,900
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
15-year land improvements$15,700
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $7,400 new × 50% good × 1.83 allocation

    $6,800
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $7,200 new × 50% good × 1.83 allocation

    $6,500
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,300 new × 50% good × 1.83 allocation

    $1,200
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $1,300 new × 50% good × 1.83 allocation

    $1,200
Building, 39-year$148,900
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $139,500 new × 40% good × 1.83 allocation

    $101,800
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $14,500 new × 40% good × 1.83 allocation

    $10,600
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $13,600 new × 40% good × 1.83 allocation

    $10,000
  • HVACdefault

    $14,500 new × 40% good × 1.83 allocation

    $10,600
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $4,200 new × 40% good × 1.83 allocation

    $3,000
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 1.83 allocation

    $1,900
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 50% good × 1.83 allocation

    $11,000

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$52,900$15,700$500$69,000
2$0$0$3,800$3,800
3$0$0$3,800$3,800
4$0$0$3,800$3,800
5$0$0$3,800$3,800
6+$0$0$133,100$133,100
Total$52,900$15,700$148,900$217,400

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California and Georgia disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Rules differ by jurisdiction. City of Redding caps whole-home vacation rentals at 400 with a 600 ft spacing rule (300 ft with a physical buffer), and its permit is NOT transferable to a new owner. Shasta Lake city and unincorporated Shasta County allow permitted rentals with no cap found, but permits also do not transfer on sale. Lodging tax ~10% plus a 2% tourism assessment in Redding. Verify parcel eligibility with the city or county before you buy.