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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

2396 Wilsey Dr

2396 Wilsey Dr

Redding, CA 96001

$319,000

3 bd · 2 ba · 1,328 sqft · Listed 11d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1953

Sqft

1,328

Lot sqft

10,019

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-18T15:04:53.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$34,438

ADR

$160

Occupancy

59%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$4,103

Confidence

Low (37.5), 19 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$14,343$20,884$37,813
  • Comfortable home near river access trail

    House · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.0 mi

    Revenue $58,315ADR $304Occ ≈ 53%4.8★ (48)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • The Pineapple House *Best Reviews* Private Pool!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.0 mi

    Revenue $48,664ADR $328Occ ≈ 41%5★ (306)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The Wilshire House-Redding, Ca

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.1 mi

    Revenue $7,131ADR $335Occ ≈ 6%5★ (3)

    Airbnb

  • ~Rest, Recreate and Refresh~

    House · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.2 mi

    Revenue $38,612ADR $164Occ ≈ 65%4.8★ (399)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Harmony Haven

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.3 mi

    Revenue $31,144ADR $172Occ ≈ 50%4.7★ (141)

    AirbnbBooking

  • At Home in the Forest- Huge Deck-Sleeps 8

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 1.3 mi

    Revenue $12,013ADR $175Occ ≈ 19%4.8★ (11)

    Airbnb

  • Modern Home | Bright Spacious Full Kitchen Garage

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.3 mi

    Revenue $53,849ADR $181Occ ≈ 82%4.8★ (130)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Peaceful 3BR Near Hospitals, Trails, and Downtown

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 1.4 mi

    Revenue $8,234ADR $85Occ ≈ 27%—

    Airbnb

  • * WOW* A Slice of Heaven GetAway 4 beds

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.5 mi

    Revenue $20,884ADR $131Occ ≈ 44%5★ (8)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • "Newly renovated Westside bungalow"

    Bungalow · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 1.5 mi

    Revenue $39,072ADR $126Occ ≈ 85%5★ (167)

    Airbnb

Show all 19 comps
  • Hillside home with large deck in a woodsy area. Sleeps 8

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 1.6 mi

    Revenue $14,234ADR $229Occ ≈ 17%—

    Vrbo

  • *Wow A Slice of Heaven Get Away

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.6 mi

    Revenue $604ADR $151Occ ≈ 1%—

    Airbnb

  • Riverfront Redding Retreat | Fireplace, AC, WiFi

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.6 mi

    Revenue $27,207ADR $170Occ ≈ 44%5★ (5)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Newly Renovated Modern Home

    House · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.6 mi

    Revenue $19,097ADR $83Occ ≈ 63%—

    Airbnb

  • Newly Remodeled Charming home!

    House · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 1.8 mi

    Revenue $33,104ADR $186Occ ≈ 49%4.8★ (30)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Secure Garage • Central AC • W/D • No Animals

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.8 mi

    Revenue $17,515ADR $303Occ ≈ 16%4.8★ (45)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Hidden Charm- A cozy home with Pool & Game room

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.9 mi

    Revenue $37,014ADR $180Occ ≈ 56%4.8★ (132)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Modern Comforts at Olney Creek Outpost

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 2.0 mi

    Revenue $18,100ADR $324Occ ≈ 15%4.9★ (10)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Vintage style house with amazing views of Lassen!

    House · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 2.1 mi

    Revenue $14,452ADR $162Occ ≈ 24%5★ (94)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$34,438

NOI

$15,220

Cash flow /mo

-$451

Cash needed

$112,010

Cash-on-cash

-4.8%

ROE (yr 1)

5.6%

Cap rate

4.8%

DSCR

0.74

Year-1 write-off

$87,122

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$27,879

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$5,408
  • Principal paydown$2,087
  • Appreciation at%$9,570
ROE5.6%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)30.5%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$6,888
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,033
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,722
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$3,988
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$1,866

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$79,750
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$12,760
  • Furnishing (bought new)$19,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$27,879

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$241,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$67,000 · 28%

Year-1 deduction

$87,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$28,000

Land 24% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $174,000 over 39 years · new furniture $20,000

Based on: 1,328 sq ft, built 1953, 3 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (flooring types).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $67,000 in year 1 (20% short-life, $22,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$66,300
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $8,700 new × 40% good × 2.32 allocation

    $8,100
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $7,100 new × 40% good × 2.32 allocation

    $6,600
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $2,300 new × 40% good × 2.32 allocation

    $2,200
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 2.32 allocation

    $300
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 2.32 allocation

    $1,100
  • Window coverings (13)default

    $3,300 new × 40% good × 2.32 allocation

    $3,000
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (100% of floors)listing

    $8,500 new × 40% good × 2.32 allocation

    $7,900
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $6,800 new × 40% good × 2.32 allocation

    $6,300
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,100 new × 40% good × 2.32 allocation

    $3,800
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 2.32 allocation

    $7,500
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
15-year land improvements$20,200
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $7,600 new × 50% good × 2.32 allocation

    $8,800
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $7,300 new × 50% good × 2.32 allocation

    $8,400
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,300 new × 50% good × 2.32 allocation

    $1,500
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $1,300 new × 50% good × 2.32 allocation

    $1,500
Building, 39-year$174,100
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $143,600 new × 40% good × 2.32 allocation

    $133,300
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $14,900 new × 40% good × 2.32 allocation

    $13,800
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $14,100 new × 40% good × 2.32 allocation

    $13,100
  • HVACdefault

    $15,000 new × 40% good × 2.32 allocation

    $13,900

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$66,300$20,200$600$87,100
2$0$0$4,500$4,500
3$0$0$4,500$4,500
4$0$0$4,500$4,500
5$0$0$4,500$4,500
6+$0$0$155,700$155,700
Total$66,300$20,200$174,100$260,700

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California and Georgia disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Rules differ by jurisdiction. City of Redding caps whole-home vacation rentals at 400 with a 600 ft spacing rule (300 ft with a physical buffer), and its permit is NOT transferable to a new owner. Shasta Lake city and unincorporated Shasta County allow permitted rentals with no cap found, but permits also do not transfer on sale. Lodging tax ~10% plus a 2% tourism assessment in Redding. Verify parcel eligibility with the city or county before you buy.