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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

153 Beavers Cove Rd

153 Beavers Cove Rd

Morganton, GA 30560

$719,000

3 bd · 3 ba · 2,130 sqft · Listed 18d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

2008

Sqft

2,130

Lot sqft

115,434

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

Yes

List date

2026-09-09T14:28:17.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$44,441

ADR

$298

Occupancy

41%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$8,930

Confidence

High (80.54), 5 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$40,465$48,675$48,964
  • Beavers Mountain Escape cabin w/ mountain views

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 469 ft

    Revenue $31,723ADR $153Occ ≈ 57%4.9★ (70)

    Airbnb

  • Can't Bear to Leave- Views, Pet Friendly, Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $53,802ADR $381Occ ≈ 39%4.9★ (17)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Tumnus Ridge- Dog Friendly, Hot Tub, Firepit,+more

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $48,964ADR $381Occ ≈ 35%4.8★ (16)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 15% Off Summer Sale—Discount Already Applied!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $48,675ADR $281Occ ≈ 47%4.9★ (9)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Love You Deerly- Screened Porch, PingPong, FirePit

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $40,465ADR $365Occ ≈ 30%5★ (7)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$44,441

NOI

$18,733

Cash flow /mo

-$2,313

Cash needed

$208,510

Cash-on-cash

-13.3%

ROE (yr 1)

-0.7%

Cap rate

2.6%

DSCR

0.40

Year-1 write-off

$111,943

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$35,822

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$27,760
  • Principal paydown$4,705
  • Appreciation at%$21,570
ROE-0.7%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)16.5%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$8,888
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,333
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,222
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$1,407
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$7,657

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$179,750
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$28,760
  • Furnishing (conveyed with the sale)$0

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$35,822

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$646,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$110,000 · 17%

Year-1 deduction

$112,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$36,000

Land 10% (county tax record, market value split) · building $536,000 over 39 years

Based on: 2,130 sq ft, built 2008, 3 bd / 3 ba, furnished, listing features (fence, fireplace, stone counters, flooring types, appliance list, septic).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $83,000 in year 1 (13% short-life, $26,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$73,800
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,500 new × 40% good × 2.51 allocation

    $10,500
  • Kitchen countertops (stone)listing

    $10,700 new × 40% good × 2.51 allocation

    $10,800
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,700 new × 40% good × 2.51 allocation

    $3,700
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 40% good × 2.51 allocation

    $500
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 2.51 allocation

    $1,200
  • Window coverings (21)default

    $5,300 new × 40% good × 2.51 allocation

    $5,300
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (50% of floors)listing

    $6,900 new × 40% good × 2.51 allocation

    $6,900
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $8,100 new × 64% good × 2.51 allocation

    $13,100
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,900 new × 64% good × 2.51 allocation

    $7,900
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator)listing

    $6,100 new × 40% good × 2.51 allocation

    $6,100
  • Furniture conveyed with the sale (used)listing

    $19,500 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $7,800
15-year land improvements$36,400
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $9,600 new × 50% good × 2.51 allocation

    $12,000
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $9,200 new × 50% good × 2.51 allocation

    $11,600
  • Patiosdefault

    $2,100 new × 50% good × 2.51 allocation

    $2,600
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $2,100 new × 50% good × 2.51 allocation

    $2,600
  • Fencinglisting

    $6,000 new × 50% good × 2.51 allocation

    $7,500
Building, 39-year$535,500
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $231,100 new × 70% good × 2.51 allocation

    $406,500
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $24,000 new × 64% good × 2.51 allocation

    $38,600
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $24,300 new × 64% good × 2.51 allocation

    $39,000
  • HVACdefault

    $24,000 new × 40% good × 2.51 allocation

    $24,100
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $6,900 new × 40% good × 2.51 allocation

    $6,900
  • Fireplaces (2)listing

    $5,300 new × 40% good × 2.51 allocation

    $5,300
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 50% good × 2.51 allocation

    $15,100

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$73,800$36,400$1,700$111,900
2$0$0$13,700$13,700
3$0$0$13,700$13,700
4$0$0$13,700$13,700
5$0$0$13,700$13,700
6+$0$0$478,900$478,900
Total$73,800$36,400$535,500$645,700

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: Georgia disallows bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Fannin and Gilmer counties require STR registration and lodging tax; no cap found. Blue Ridge and Ellijay city limits have their own rules; most cabins are in unincorporated county.