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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

2944 McMahan Sawmill Rd

2944 McMahan Sawmill Rd

Sevierville, TN 37862

$489,500

3 bd · 2 ba · 1,152 sqft · Listed 4d ago

View on Realtor.com →

Year built

1989

Sqft

1,152

Lot sqft

69,696

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-23T21:21:02Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$63,841

ADR

$299

Occupancy

58%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$10,636

Confidence

Low (46.94), 49 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$36,513$54,644$71,948
  • MTN Retreat/FamilyFriendly/FencedYard/Theater

    3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue —ADR $378Occ ≈ —4.9★ (129)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Smokies luxury private cabin w/ hot tub, gaming

    3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue —ADR $232Occ ≈ —4.7★ (59)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Waldens Creek Retreat (1 mile from Pigeon Forge)

    3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue —ADR $220Occ ≈ —5★ (173)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Indoor Pool @ 83°, Fire Pit, Game Room, Hot Tub

    3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue —ADR $442Occ ≈ —5★ (133)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Perfect Place

    3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue —ADR $354Occ ≈ ——

    —

  • Black-Beary Cove: Starry Nights|Fire-Pit Coziness

    3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue —ADR $312Occ ≈ —4.9★ (42)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Amazing 3 bedroom tucked in wooded park like

    3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue —ADR $207Occ ≈ —4.4★ (37)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Tranquil Timber

    3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue —ADR $0Occ ≈ ——

    —

  • Emerald Woods Hangout | Pet Friendly, Fire Pit

    3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue —ADR $427Occ ≈ ——

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Black-Beary Cove

    3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue —ADR $282Occ ≈ ——

    —

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$63,841

NOI

$38,036

Cash flow /mo

$532

Cash needed

$161,455

Cash-on-cash

4.0%

ROE (yr 1)

15.0%

Cap rate

7.8%

DSCR

1.20

Year-1 write-off

$139,193

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$44,542

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)$6,383
  • Principal paydown$3,203
  • Appreciation at%$14,685
ROE15.0%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)42.6%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$12,768
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,915
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$3,192
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$793
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$2,937

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$122,375
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$19,580
  • Furnishing (bought new)$19,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$44,542

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$370,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$119,000 · 32%

Year-1 deduction

$139,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$45,000

Land 24% (county tax record, market value split) · building $251,000 over 39 years · new furniture $20,000

Based on: 1,152 sq ft, built 1989, 3 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (deck, fireplace, wooded lot).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $88,000 in year 1 (18% short-life, $28,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$83,600
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $8,300 new × 40% good × 3.71 allocation

    $12,400
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $6,800 new × 40% good × 3.71 allocation

    $10,100
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $2,000 new × 40% good × 3.71 allocation

    $3,000
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 3.71 allocation

    $400
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 3.71 allocation

    $1,800
  • Window coverings (12)default

    $3,000 new × 40% good × 3.71 allocation

    $4,500
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)default

    $3,000 new × 40% good × 3.71 allocation

    $4,400
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $6,500 new × 40% good × 3.71 allocation

    $9,600
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $3,900 new × 40% good × 3.71 allocation

    $5,800
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 3.71 allocation

    $12,000
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
15-year land improvements$54,800
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $7,000 new × 50% good × 3.71 allocation

    $13,100
  • Landscaping (minimal)listing

    $3,400 new × 50% good × 3.71 allocation

    $6,300
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,100 new × 50% good × 3.71 allocation

    $2,100
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $13,000 new × 50% good × 3.71 allocation

    $24,100
  • Gazebo / pergolalisting

    $5,000 new × 50% good × 3.71 allocation

    $9,300
Building, 39-year$251,400
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $124,400 new × 40% good × 3.71 allocation

    $184,800
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $12,900 new × 40% good × 3.71 allocation

    $19,200
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $11,900 new × 40% good × 3.71 allocation

    $17,600
  • HVACdefault

    $13,000 new × 40% good × 3.71 allocation

    $19,300
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $4,400 new × 40% good × 3.71 allocation

    $6,600
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 3.71 allocation

    $3,900

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$83,600$54,800$800$139,200
2$0$0$6,400$6,400
3$0$0$6,400$6,400
4$0$0$6,400$6,400
5$0$0$6,400$6,400
6+$0$0$224,800$224,800
Total$83,600$54,800$251,400$389,800

The building's share of the price ($370,000) is 3.7x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($100,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: Georgia disallows bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.