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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

100 Ford Ln

100 Ford Ln

Morganton, GA 30560

$699,000

4 bd · 4 ba · 3,426 sqft · Listed 30d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Est. land %Negative cash flow

Year built

2019

Sqft

3,426

Lot sqft

277,913

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

No

List date

2026-08-28T03:20:55.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$46,566

ADR

$324

Occupancy

39%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$9,379

Confidence

Med (61.99), 10 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$32,909$48,156$54,407
  • Rolling Hills Hideaway

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $31,992ADR $275Occ ≈ 32%5★ (28)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • ~EverGreen Family Retreat~Slp16*HotTub*Pets*Arcade

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 16 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $52,786ADR $392Occ ≈ 37%3.8★ (29)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Pet Friendly, Hot Tub, Large Porches, Blue Ridge

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 14 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $30,221ADR $346Occ ≈ 24%4.9★ (11)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cabin in the Blue Ridge mountains on private lake!

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $83,589ADR $376Occ ≈ 61%5★ (61)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Sunrays | Hot Tub, Outdoor Fireplace & Game

    Cabin · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $58,045ADR $359Occ ≈ 44%5★ (103)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Stunning Views, Pet Friendly, Blue Ridge, Hot Tub

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $54,947ADR $385Occ ≈ 39%5★ (14)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Sunrise on the Ridge - Mineral Bluff, GA

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $49,544ADR $380Occ ≈ 36%4.8★ (48)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Long Range View, Deck, Hot Tub, Pet Friendly

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $22,062ADR $328Occ ≈ 18%5★ (31)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Blue Ridge, Long Range Views, Fenced Yard, Hot Tub

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $46,767ADR $346Occ ≈ 37%5★ (54)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Mountain Views-Hot Tub-Games-Pool & Foosball

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $35,659ADR $289Occ ≈ 34%—

    Booking

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$46,566

NOI

$16,571

Cash flow /mo

-$2,386

Cash needed

$225,710

Cash-on-cash

-12.7%

ROE (yr 1)

-1.4%

Cap rate

2.4%

DSCR

0.37

Year-1 write-off

$103,896

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$33,247

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$28,629
  • Principal paydown$4,574
  • Appreciation at%$20,970
ROE-1.4%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)13.4%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$9,313
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,397
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,328
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$5,312
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$7,444

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$174,750
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$27,960
  • Furnishing (bought new)$23,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$33,247

No county tax record split for property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split, so those use market defaults — edit the price above; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$594,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$78,000 · 13%

Year-1 deduction

$104,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$33,000

Land 15% (market default, no usable tax-record split) · building $516,000 over 39 years · new furniture $23,000

Based on: 3,426 sq ft, built 2019, 4 bd / 4 ba, unfurnished, listing features (fireplace, appliance list, septic).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $75,000 in year 1 (8% short-life, $24,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$75,700
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $13,300 new × 72% good × 1.17 allocation

    $11,200
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $10,900 new × 72% good × 1.17 allocation

    $9,100
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $6,000 new × 72% good × 1.17 allocation

    $5,000
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $600 new × 42% good × 1.17 allocation

    $300
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,500 new × 72% good × 1.17 allocation

    $1,300
  • Window coverings (34)default

    $8,500 new × 40% good × 1.17 allocation

    $4,000
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)default

    $8,800 new × 42% good × 1.17 allocation

    $4,300
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $10,400 new × 86% good × 1.17 allocation

    $10,400
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $6,300 new × 86% good × 1.17 allocation

    $6,300
  • Appliances (range)listing

    $1,800 new × 42% good × 1.17 allocation

    $900
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $23,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $23,000
15-year land improvements$25,400
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $12,100 new × 72% good × 1.17 allocation

    $10,200
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $11,700 new × 72% good × 1.17 allocation

    $9,800
  • Patiosdefault

    $3,400 new × 72% good × 1.17 allocation

    $2,800
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $3,400 new × 65% good × 1.17 allocation

    $2,600
Building, 39-year$516,000
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $372,200 new × 88% good × 1.17 allocation

    $383,700
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $38,600 new × 86% good × 1.17 allocation

    $38,800
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $40,700 new × 86% good × 1.17 allocation

    $40,800
  • HVACdefault

    $38,600 new × 65% good × 1.17 allocation

    $29,300
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $13,200 new × 72% good × 1.17 allocation

    $11,100
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 72% good × 1.17 allocation

    $2,200
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 72% good × 1.17 allocation

    $10,100

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$75,700$25,400$2,800$103,900
2$0$0$13,200$13,200
3$0$0$13,200$13,200
4$0$0$13,200$13,200
5$0$0$13,200$13,200
6+$0$0$460,300$460,300
Total$75,700$25,400$516,000$617,200

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: Georgia disallows bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Fannin and Gilmer counties require STR registration and lodging tax; no cap found. Blue Ridge and Ellijay city limits have their own rules; most cabins are in unincorporated county.