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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

43573 Yosemite Dr

43573 Yosemite Dr

Big Bear Lake, CA 92315

$720,000

3 bd · 2 ba · Listed 23d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1976

Sqft

—

Lot sqft

9,450

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

Yes

List date

2026-09-06T14:08:05.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$28,491

ADR

$342

Occupancy

23%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$5,630

Confidence

Low (34.45), 50 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$14,312$22,562$34,553
  • Views, E-Bikes, Spa, Game Room, Kayak, SUP Boards

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 187 ft

    Revenue $65,210ADR $472Occ ≈ 38%4.9★ (28)

    Airbnb

  • Big Bear Treehouse-HOT TUB-Gorgeous Views

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 210 ft

    Revenue $19,618ADR $390Occ ≈ 14%4.7★ (39)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy Cabin, Hot Tub, 2 Fireplaces, Private Deck

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 256 ft

    Revenue $27,710ADR $400Occ ≈ 19%5★ (53)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Views for Days! Moonridge Cabin w/ Game Room

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 299 ft

    Revenue $22,017ADR $529Occ ≈ 11%4.8★ (12)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Gingerbread Crossing: Single Story Cabin! Spa!

    House · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 322 ft

    Revenue $30,707ADR $227Occ ≈ 37%4.7★ (122)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Tree Hütte - Modern Rustic Mountain Cabin w/ Views

    Chalet · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 331 ft

    Revenue $10,838ADR $427Occ ≈ 7%4.9★ (55)

    Airbnb

  • The Circle Moon | 1mi Bear Mtn, Spa + Game Room

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 404 ft

    Revenue $40,203ADR $877Occ ≈ 13%4.9★ (17)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Upscale décor, new spa, slope views, 4 min to Bear

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 489 ft

    Revenue $29,119ADR $421Occ ≈ 19%5★ (17)

    Vrbo

  • Cozy & secluded. Skiers secret hideaway.Persian Pl

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $5,019ADR $358Occ ≈ 4%5★ (15)

    Airbnb

  • Putting Green, Hot Tub, Foosball, Arcade Game

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $34,704ADR $378Occ ≈ 25%4.6★ (12)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Show all 50 comps
  • Beautiful cedar cabin nestled in Big Bear Lake.

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $19,372ADR $245Occ ≈ 22%5★ (19)

    Airbnb

  • Pet friendly! Hot Tub! Foosball! Gorgeous Views!

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $51,298ADR $431Occ ≈ 33%4.8★ (65)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • We have Snow!- Upper Moonridge Cabin

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $9,115ADR $311Occ ≈ 8%4.8★ (201)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Forest Luxe | Spa • Pool Table • A/C • EV

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $66,547ADR $588Occ ≈ 31%5★ (35)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Clouds Edge Cabin| Lake & Ski Slope Views & Spa

    House · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $51,099ADR $462Occ ≈ 30%5★ (2)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Serene Oasis Retreat-Hot Tub-Best Views

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $14,843ADR $427Occ ≈ 10%2.8★ (4)

    Airbnb

  • All in Cabin

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $18,006ADR $438Occ ≈ 11%4.5★ (4)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Holidays at Mount Zion | 1mi to Bear | 8ppl

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $3,687ADR $265Occ ≈ 4%5★ (2)

    Airbnb

  • Hunter's Retreat - Moonridge, Near Bear Mountain

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $22,503ADR $306Occ ≈ 20%4.9★ (27)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • "Robins Nest" Ski Slope Views, pool tbl pets ok.

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $19,809ADR $585Occ ≈ 9%4.7★ (146)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Natures Delight Log Cabin Ski Retreat w/ Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $9,249ADR $494Occ ≈ 5%4.2★ (5)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Evergreen Escape: Ski Slope Views! Log Cabin!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $40,662ADR $225Occ ≈ 50%4.8★ (123)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Moonridge Mountain Retreat

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $23,023ADR $188Occ ≈ 34%4.8★ (64)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • No. 41 Moonridge Mountain Music near the Slopes!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $2,125ADR $354Occ ≈ 2%5★ (1)

    Airbnb

  • Cozy Big Bear Cabin w/ Fireplace, Deck & Views

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $4,500ADR $279Occ ≈ 4%5★ (1)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Treetop Tranquility Luxury Cabin

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $22,195ADR $307Occ ≈ 20%4.9★ (130)

    Airbnb

  • Bear Oaks Villa

    Chalet · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $17,722ADR $965Occ ≈ 5%4.8★ (17)

    Airbnb

  • View! Colusa View Chalet I Ski Slope Views I Spa

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $10,803ADR $484Occ ≈ 6%5★ (37)

    Airbnb

  • Retreat w/ Hot Tub: Bear Mountain Ski Slope View

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $17,349ADR $786Occ ≈ 6%5★ (1)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Close to Bear Mnt/golf, view, new spa, bbq

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $22,621ADR $334Occ ≈ 19%4.8★ (165)

    Airbnb

  • The Creekside Chalet

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $30,424ADR $418Occ ≈ 20%5★ (85)

    Airbnb

  • A-Frame + Hot Tub + Deck Dining • Ski + Trails

    House · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $1,320ADR $220Occ ≈ 2%5★ (1)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Fatbear Cabin | Ski-View Retreat w/ Hot Tub

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $8,095ADR $414Occ ≈ 5%4.7★ (3)

    Airbnb

  • Views of Bear Mtn! HOT TUB! Shuffleboard Table!

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $14,158ADR $456Occ ≈ 9%4.6★ (114)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 053 - Glass House on the Ridge

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $36,153ADR $504Occ ≈ 20%4.1★ (31)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Bears Layer-Breathtaking views, Hiking trails,

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $23,576ADR $529Occ ≈ 12%4.8★ (6)

    Airbnb

  • The BEST VIEW, Rustic Retreat Hot Tub, Fenced Yard

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $21,189ADR $296Occ ≈ 20%5★ (106)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Stellar by Starlight: Luxury! Air Hockey! Hot Tub!

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $47,722ADR $320Occ ≈ 41%4.8★ (96)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Big Bear Getaway! Hot Tub, Game Room

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $33,183ADR $384Occ ≈ 24%4.8★ (120)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Remodeled Chalet ,Hot Tub ,Close to Slopes

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $38,825ADR $448Occ ≈ 24%5★ (130)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 3 Mi to Slopes! Big Bear Mtn Getaway w/ Hot Tub

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $34,100ADR $389Occ ≈ 24%5★ (7)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 3 Mi to Slopes! Big Bear Mtn Getaway w/ Hot Tub

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $35,936ADR $394Occ ≈ 25%3.5★ (1)

    Booking

  • Charming Newly remodeled Cabin w/rusitc Interior

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $5,772ADR $412Occ ≈ 4%4.8★ (54)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • HOT TUB!Pets OK!Fenced Yard!Near National Forest!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $24,724ADR $280Occ ≈ 24%5★ (23)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Treetop Views Retreat at Big Bear w/ Pool Table

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $29,515ADR $371Occ ≈ 22%4★ (13)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Unwind in Log Cabin w/Hot Tub, Sauna & Game Room

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $66,463ADR $367Occ ≈ 50%5★ (161)

    Airbnb

  • Herzl’s Hideaway-Spa, Ski, Relax & Rewind!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $14,772ADR $348Occ ≈ 12%4.8★ (15)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Real Mtn Cabin Retreat-Hot tub, View, BBQ & more..

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $36,272ADR $278Occ ≈ 36%5★ (116)

    Airbnb

  • Mountain Crest Getaway: Pool Table!Fireplace! WiFi

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $28,604ADR $205Occ ≈ 38%4.7★ (151)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The Lazy JT Ranch - Slope views, fenced yard, deck, bbq

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $1,287ADR $643Occ ≈ 1%—

    VrboBooking

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$28,491

NOI

$4,722

Cash flow /mo

-$3,486

Cash needed

$208,800

Cash-on-cash

-20.0%

ROE (yr 1)

-7.4%

Cap rate

0.7%

DSCR

0.10

Year-1 write-off

$180,761

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$57,844

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$41,836
  • Principal paydown$4,712
  • Appreciation at%$21,600
ROE-7.4%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)20.3%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$5,698
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$855
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,425
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$9,000
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$3,672

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$180,000
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$28,800
  • Furnishing (conveyed with the sale)$0

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$57,844

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$578,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$179,000 · 31%

Year-1 deduction

$181,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$58,000

Land 20% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $398,000 over 39 years

Based on: ~1,900 sq ft (from beds), built 1976, 3 bd / 2 ba, furnished, listing features (hot tub, deck, fence, fireplace, appliance list).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $110,000 in year 1 (19% short-life, $35,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$96,100
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,000 new × 40% good × 3.55 allocation

    $14,200
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $8,200 new × 40% good × 3.55 allocation

    $11,600
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,300 new × 40% good × 3.55 allocation

    $4,700
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 3.55 allocation

    $400
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 3.55 allocation

    $1,700
  • Window coverings (19)default

    $4,800 new × 40% good × 3.55 allocation

    $6,700
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)default

    $4,900 new × 40% good × 3.55 allocation

    $6,900
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,800 new × 40% good × 3.55 allocation

    $11,000
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,700 new × 40% good × 3.55 allocation

    $6,700
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 3.55 allocation

    $11,500
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 3.55 allocation

    $12,800
  • Furniture conveyed with the sale (used)listing

    $19,500 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $7,800
15-year land improvements$83,400
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $9,000 new × 50% good × 3.55 allocation

    $16,000
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $8,700 new × 50% good × 3.55 allocation

    $15,400
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,900 new × 50% good × 3.55 allocation

    $3,300
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $21,400 new × 50% good × 3.55 allocation

    $38,000
  • Fencinglisting

    $6,000 new × 50% good × 3.55 allocation

    $10,700
Building, 39-year$398,100
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $206,100 new × 40% good × 3.55 allocation

    $292,800
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $21,400 new × 40% good × 3.55 allocation

    $30,400
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $21,400 new × 40% good × 3.55 allocation

    $30,300
  • HVACdefault

    $21,400 new × 40% good × 3.55 allocation

    $30,400
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $7,300 new × 40% good × 3.55 allocation

    $10,400
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 3.55 allocation

    $3,700

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$96,100$83,400$1,300$180,800
2$0$0$10,200$10,200
3$0$0$10,200$10,200
4$0$0$10,200$10,200
5$0$0$10,200$10,200
6+$0$0$356,000$356,000
Total$96,100$83,400$398,100$577,600

The building's share of the price ($570,000) is 3.6x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($160,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California and Georgia disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.