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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Rock Crk Lot 1

Rock Crk Lot 1

Cherry Log, GA 30522

$629,000

3 bd · 2 ba · 1,825 sqft · Listed 5d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceEst. land %Negative cash flow

Year built

2026

Sqft

1,825

Lot sqft

82,764

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-22T00:25:03.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$62,641

ADR

$265

Occupancy

65%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$12,233

Confidence

Low (35.75), 5 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$32,483$61,418$83,366
  • Long Distance Panoramic Views & Outdoor Amenities

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $83,366ADR $289Occ ≈ 79%5★ (84)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Epic Sunset Views, Hot Tub, Fire Pit, Sleeps 10

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $5,022ADR $277Occ ≈ 5%5★ (5)

    Airbnb

  • A-Frame, A+ Views, 2 Kings, Jacuzzi, 15min to Town

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $61,418ADR $327Occ ≈ 51%4.9★ (209)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Lakeside Escape w/Hot Tub & Firepit

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $84,292ADR $314Occ ≈ 74%5★ (145)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • White Deer Lodge at Rich Mountain Wilderness area.

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $32,483ADR $121Occ ≈ 74%5★ (379)

    Airbnb

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$62,641

NOI

$29,013

Cash flow /mo

-$972

Cash needed

$201,910

Cash-on-cash

-5.8%

ROE (yr 1)

5.6%

Cap rate

4.6%

DSCR

0.71

Year-1 write-off

$148,970

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$47,670

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$11,660
  • Principal paydown$4,116
  • Appreciation at%$18,870
ROE5.6%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)29.2%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$12,528
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,879
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$3,132
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$5,095
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$6,793

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$157,250
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$25,160
  • Furnishing (bought new)$19,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$47,670

No county tax record split for property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split, so those use market defaults — edit the price above; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$535,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$128,000 · 24%

Year-1 deduction

$149,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$48,000

Land 15% (market default, no usable tax-record split) · building $406,000 over 39 years · new furniture $20,000

Based on: 1,825 sq ft, built 2026, 3 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (deck, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list, septic).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $87,000 in year 1 (12% short-life, $28,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$90,400
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $9,800 new × 100% good × 1.44 allocation

    $14,100
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $8,000 new × 100% good × 1.44 allocation

    $11,600
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,200 new × 100% good × 1.44 allocation

    $4,600
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 100% good × 1.44 allocation

    $400
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 100% good × 1.44 allocation

    $1,700
  • Window coverings (18)default

    $4,500 new × 100% good × 1.44 allocation

    $6,500
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (33% of floors)listing

    $3,900 new × 100% good × 1.44 allocation

    $5,600
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,600 new × 100% good × 1.44 allocation

    $11,000
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,600 new × 100% good × 1.44 allocation

    $6,600
  • Appliances (range, dishwasher, refrigerator, dryer)listing

    $6,000 new × 100% good × 1.44 allocation

    $8,700
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
15-year land improvements$57,300
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $8,900 new × 100% good × 1.44 allocation

    $12,800
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $8,500 new × 100% good × 1.44 allocation

    $12,300
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,800 new × 100% good × 1.44 allocation

    $2,600
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $20,500 new × 100% good × 1.44 allocation

    $29,600
Building, 39-year$406,500
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $197,900 new × 100% good × 1.44 allocation

    $285,400
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $20,500 new × 100% good × 1.44 allocation

    $29,600
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $20,400 new × 100% good × 1.44 allocation

    $29,400
  • HVACdefault

    $20,600 new × 100% good × 1.44 allocation

    $29,700
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $7,800 new × 100% good × 1.44 allocation

    $11,300
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 100% good × 1.44 allocation

    $3,800
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 100% good × 1.44 allocation

    $17,300

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$90,400$57,300$1,300$149,000
2$0$0$10,400$10,400
3$0$0$10,400$10,400
4$0$0$10,400$10,400
5$0$0$10,400$10,400
6+$0$0$363,500$363,500
Total$90,400$57,300$406,500$554,200

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: Georgia disallows bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Fannin and Gilmer counties require STR registration and lodging tax; no cap found. Blue Ridge and Ellijay city limits have their own rules; most cabins are in unincorporated county.