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2313 Grey Fox Run

2313 Grey Fox Run

Sevierville, TN 37862

$915,000

3 bd · 3 ba · 2,589 sqft · Listed 3d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Est. land %

Year built

2025

Sqft

2,589

Lot sqft

26,136

HOA / mo

$79

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-24T18:43:06Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$64,988

ADR

$302

Occupancy

59%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$12,146

Confidence

Low (50.17), 49 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$41,969$58,579$80,810
  • Luxury A-Frame | Hot Tub • Theater • Game Room

    3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 16 ft

    Revenue —ADR $386Occ ≈ —4.8★ (4)

    Airbnb

  • Get Hugged By Comfort - 3-Story Cabin with Rustic

    3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 328 ft

    Revenue —ADR $966Occ ≈ —4★ (1)

    Airbnb

  • Cabin w Mtn View/Pool Table|Air Hockey|Arcade|Hot

    3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 345 ft

    Revenue —ADR $309Occ ≈ —4.2★ (8)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Sugar Splash | Indoor Pool, Hot Tub with views

    3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 13 · 354 ft

    Revenue —ADR $450Occ ≈ —4.7★ (20)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Catch & Release; Fishing Pond, Creek, FIOS Wifi Internet, Secluded

    3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 361 ft

    Revenue —ADR $216Occ ≈ —4.9★ (285)

    Vrbo

  • Paradise View Smokies: Awesome Views, Resort Pool, game room, hot tub, Wi-Fi

    3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 476 ft

    Revenue —ADR $414Occ ≈ —3.8★ (5)

    Vrbo

  • Paradise View In The Smokies: Views & Resort Pool

    3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 492 ft

    Revenue —ADR $387Occ ≈ —5★ (6)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 3BR Luxury Cabin W Hot Tub &breathtaking MTN Views

    3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue —ADR $390Occ ≈ —5★ (14)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 3 BR w/ New Furniture, Hot Tub, Wi-Fi, Pool Access

    3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue —ADR $309Occ ≈ —4.4★ (128)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Dec Discounts! Pvt Indoor Pool•Hot Tub•Arcades

    3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue —ADR $478Occ ≈ —5★ (46)

    Airbnb

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing

Est. revenue

$64,988

NOI

$32,353

Cash flow /mo

$2,696

Cash needed

$977,100

Cash-on-cash (all cash)

3.3%

ROE (yr 1)

6.1%

Cap rate

3.5%

DSCR

—

Year-1 write-off

$190,633

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$61,003

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)$32,353
  • Principal paydown (n/a, cash)$0
  • Appreciation at%$27,450
ROE6.1%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)12.4%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$12,998
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,950
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$3,249
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$948
  • Property tax$3,800
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$5,490

Cash needed to close

  • Purchase price (all cash)$915,000
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$36,600
  • Furnishing (bought new)$25,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$61,003

No county tax record split for property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split, so those use market defaults — edit the price above; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$778,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$163,000 · 21%

Year-1 deduction

$191,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$61,000

Land 15% (market default, no usable tax-record split) · building $615,000 over 39 years · new furniture $26,000

Based on: 2,589 sq ft, built 2025, 3 bd / 3 ba, unfurnished, listing features (deck, game room, fireplace, appliance list, septic, wooded lot).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $106,000 in year 1 (10% short-life, $34,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$116,800
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $11,500 new × 96% good × 1.59 allocation

    $17,500
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $9,400 new × 96% good × 1.59 allocation

    $14,400
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $4,500 new × 96% good × 1.59 allocation

    $6,900
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 92% good × 1.59 allocation

    $700
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 96% good × 1.59 allocation

    $1,800
  • Window coverings (26)default

    $6,500 new × 90% good × 1.59 allocation

    $9,300
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)default

    $6,700 new × 92% good × 1.59 allocation

    $9,700
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $8,900 new × 98% good × 1.59 allocation

    $13,900
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $5,400 new × 98% good × 1.59 allocation

    $8,400
  • Appliances (microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $5,900 new × 92% good × 1.59 allocation

    $8,600
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
  • Game-room equipment bought newlisting

    $6,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $6,000
15-year land improvements$71,800
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $10,500 new × 96% good × 1.59 allocation

    $16,100
  • Landscaping (minimal)listing

    $5,100 new × 96% good × 1.59 allocation

    $7,800
  • Patiosdefault

    $2,600 new × 96% good × 1.59 allocation

    $3,900
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $29,100 new × 95% good × 1.59 allocation

    $44,100
Building, 39-year$614,600
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $281,200 new × 98% good × 1.59 allocation

    $440,300
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $29,200 new × 98% good × 1.59 allocation

    $45,500
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $30,100 new × 98% good × 1.59 allocation

    $47,000
  • HVACdefault

    $29,200 new × 95% good × 1.59 allocation

    $44,100
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $10,000 new × 96% good × 1.59 allocation

    $15,300
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 96% good × 1.59 allocation

    $4,000
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 96% good × 1.59 allocation

    $18,300

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$116,800$71,800$2,000$190,600
2$0$0$15,800$15,800
3$0$0$15,800$15,800
4$0$0$15,800$15,800
5$0$0$15,800$15,800
6+$0$0$549,600$549,600
Total$116,800$71,800$614,600$803,300

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: Georgia disallows bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.