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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

37 Misty Mountain Overlook

37 Misty Mountain Overlook

Morganton, GA 30560

$689,000

3 bd · 3 ba · 2,244 sqft · Listed 25d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Rental historyLow confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

2003

Sqft

2,244

Lot sqft

61,855

HOA / mo

$21

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-02T18:56:54.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$57,140

ADR

$289

Occupancy

54%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$15,122

Confidence

Low (46.7), 5 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$31,259$59,400$79,915
  • Misty Mountain Treehouse - Hot Tub, Pet Friendly

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $31,259ADR $214Occ ≈ 40%4.3★ (41)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Lake Cabin Sleeps 8: Kayak, Fireplace, Views, Deck

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $59,400ADR $261Occ ≈ 62%4.8★ (33)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Lake Blue Ridge. National Forest, hiking, lake

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $79,915ADR $370Occ ≈ 59%4.9★ (74)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Hideaway on the Hook - Cozy Lakefront Cabin

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $25,284ADR $384Occ ≈ 18%—

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Classic Lake Blue Ridge Cabin | Rustic and Elegant

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.8 mi

    Revenue $99,143ADR $446Occ ≈ 61%5★ (120)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$57,140

NOI

$27,010

Cash flow /mo

-$1,462

Cash needed

$225,310

Cash-on-cash

-7.8%

ROE (yr 1)

3.4%

Cap rate

3.9%

DSCR

0.61

Year-1 write-off

$133,563

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$42,740

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$17,543
  • Principal paydown$4,509
  • Appreciation at%$20,670
ROE3.4%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)22.4%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$11,428
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,714
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,857
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$252
  • Property tax$2,341
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$7,338

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$172,250
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$27,560
  • Furnishing (bought new)$25,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$42,740

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$510,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$107,000 · 21%

Year-1 deduction

$134,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$43,000

Land 26% (county tax record, market value split) · building $403,000 over 39 years · new furniture $26,000

Based on: 2,244 sq ft, built 2003, 3 bd / 3 ba, unfurnished, listing features (hot tub, deck, patio, game room, fireplace, stone counters, flooring types, appliance list, septic).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $86,000 in year 1 (12% short-life, $28,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$77,500
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,700 new × 40% good × 2.01 allocation

    $8,600
  • Kitchen countertops (stone)listing

    $11,000 new × 40% good × 2.01 allocation

    $8,800
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,900 new × 40% good × 2.01 allocation

    $3,200
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 40% good × 2.01 allocation

    $400
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 2.01 allocation

    $1,000
  • Window coverings (22)default

    $5,500 new × 40% good × 2.01 allocation

    $4,400
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $8,300 new × 54% good × 2.01 allocation

    $9,000
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $5,000 new × 54% good × 2.01 allocation

    $5,500
  • Appliances (microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator, dryer)listing

    $4,900 new × 40% good × 2.01 allocation

    $3,900
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 2.01 allocation

    $7,200
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
  • Game-room equipment bought newlisting

    $6,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $6,000
15-year land improvements$54,800
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $9,800 new × 50% good × 2.01 allocation

    $9,900
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $9,400 new × 50% good × 2.01 allocation

    $9,500
  • Patioslisting

    $10,100 new × 50% good × 2.01 allocation

    $10,100
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $25,200 new × 50% good × 2.01 allocation

    $25,300
Building, 39-year$402,800
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $243,500 new × 62% good × 2.01 allocation

    $301,400
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $25,300 new × 54% good × 2.01 allocation

    $27,400
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $25,700 new × 54% good × 2.01 allocation

    $27,900
  • HVACdefault

    $25,300 new × 40% good × 2.01 allocation

    $20,300
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $14,400 new × 40% good × 2.01 allocation

    $11,600
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.01 allocation

    $2,100
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 50% good × 2.01 allocation

    $12,000

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$77,500$54,800$1,300$133,600
2$0$0$10,300$10,300
3$0$0$10,300$10,300
4$0$0$10,300$10,300
5$0$0$10,300$10,300
6+$0$0$360,200$360,200
Total$77,500$54,800$402,800$535,000

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: Georgia disallows bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Fannin and Gilmer counties require STR registration and lodging tax; no cap found. Blue Ridge and Ellijay city limits have their own rules; most cabins are in unincorporated county.