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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

3210 Pine Way

3210 Pine Way

Pigeon Forge, TN 37863

$1,050,000

3 bd · 3.5 ba · 2,393 sqft · Listed 1d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Rental historyEst. land %Negative cash flow

Year built

2026

Sqft

2,393

Lot sqft

436

HOA / mo

$142

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-27T16:20:16.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$75,213

ADR

$334

Occupancy

62%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$14,932

Confidence

Med (55.44), 50 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$48,201$67,341$80,095
  • New Cabin in Pigeon Forge, Smokies, Dollywood

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 14 · 52 ft

    Revenue $7,900ADR $321Occ ≈ 7%4.2★ (7)

    Airbnb

  • Hilltop Oasis / Strip 4 min/ HotTub / Games / Pets

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 112 ft

    Revenue $92,230ADR $339Occ ≈ 75%4.8★ (165)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 10 Min to Dollywood | Hot Tub, Fire Pit, Bunk Room

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 135 ft

    Revenue $92,183ADR $375Occ ≈ 67%5★ (156)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Family Cabin Near Dollywood | Game Rooms, Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $64,483ADR $372Occ ≈ 47%5★ (139)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Moose-Themed Cabin w/ Hot Tub & Arcade Games

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $68,148ADR $315Occ ≈ 59%4.8★ (58)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Mountain Retreat with Perfect for Groups in Pigeon Forge, Tennesee

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $21,322ADR $477Occ ≈ 12%5★

    Vrbo

  • Mountain Retreat with Perfect for Groups in Pigeon Forge, Tennesee

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $57,516ADR $555Occ ≈ 28%—

    Booking

  • Modern Chalet| Heated Pool | Pet Friendly |Hot Tub

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $74,286ADR $392Occ ≈ 52%4.8★ (42)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Quintessential Cabin/one mile to Pkwy/NO PETS!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $63,454ADR $250Occ ≈ 70%4.9★ (270)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Ideal Location! Pool & Hot Tub•10% First Responder

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $84,225ADR $435Occ ≈ 53%4.8★ (208)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Show all 50 comps
  • *Indoor Salt Heated Pool*HotTub*Games*BBQ

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $72,129ADR $321Occ ≈ 62%5★ (130)

    Airbnb

  • Indoor Heated Pool*Hot Tub*Fireplace*Game*Sleeps10

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $89,300ADR $357Occ ≈ 69%4.8★ (156)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Theater Room • Hot Tub • Game Loft

    Chalet · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $19,807ADR $400Occ ≈ 14%3.8★ (4)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 3BR near PF: Game Room+Theater+Hot tub!

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $76,767ADR $443Occ ≈ 47%4.9★ (22)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Low Rates/Modern Cabin close to Pkwy Hot Tub/Game

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $36,665ADR $253Occ ≈ 40%4.8★ (122)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Hot Tub·Arcade·New + Modern·5 Min to Parkway·Pets

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $74,066ADR $325Occ ≈ 62%5★ (175)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 1.5 Mile to Pkwy! HotTub, Game Room, Wi-Fi, Grill

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $72,919ADR $327Occ ≈ 61%4.9★ (165)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The Cozy Crest w Private Pool n Hot Tub

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $69,673ADR $349Occ ≈ 55%—

    Booking

  • Summer Sale! Hot Tub w TV, 1 Mile to The Island!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $79,728ADR $303Occ ≈ 72%5★ (271)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The Cozy Crest w Private Pool n Hot Tub

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $96,637ADR $432Occ ≈ 61%4.7★ (7)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 3BR 3BA 1 MI to Parkway Hot Tub & Pool Access!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $45,282ADR $290Occ ≈ 43%4★ (24)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Luxury Retreat in Town! Hot Tub + 2 Game Rooms

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $80,217ADR $341Occ ≈ 64%4.8★ (202)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Smoky Fall Escape | Dollywood • Games • Pets OK

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $65,680ADR $310Occ ≈ 58%5★ (48)

    Airbnb

  • Cozy Cuddles by American Patriot Getaways

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $5,980ADR $260Occ ≈ 6%—

    Booking

  • Marigold | Hot Tub + Game Room | Near Dollywood

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $22,386ADR $271Occ ≈ 23%4.2★ (5)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 3BR 3BA 1 MI to Parkway Hot Tub & Pool Access!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $54,794ADR $282Occ ≈ 53%4.5★ (41)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy Family Cabin w/ Hot Tub ~ 4 Mi to Dollywood!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $48,435ADR $249Occ ≈ 53%4.5★ (163)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 3BR 4BA 1 MI to Parkway Pool Table & Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $52,769ADR $300Occ ≈ 48%3.7★ (9)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Group Cabin with Game Room and Theater Space in Pigeon Forge, Tennessee

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 14 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $25,265ADR $617Occ ≈ 11%—

    VrboBooking

  • Close to all attractions

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $58,707ADR $294Occ ≈ 55%4.9★ (164)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • ER43 Cozy 3BR Cabin w/ HotTub, Arcade & PoolAccess

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $97,422ADR $357Occ ≈ 75%3★ (2)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 3BR | Near Parkway | Game Room + Theater Room

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 14 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $88,194ADR $366Occ ≈ 66%4.3★ (19)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Outdoor Heated Pool Oasis | 1 Mile To Parkway

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $140,534ADR $492Occ ≈ 78%4.9★ (84)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Peaceful, Views, Mins from Dollywood! Theatre Rm

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $43,656ADR $415Occ ≈ 29%5★ (26)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • *Stunning 3BDR Cabin w/ Hot Tub! Close to TOWN!*

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $76,916ADR $291Occ ≈ 72%4.9★ (76)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • ER35- 3BR Cabin | Game Room, Hot Tub & Pool Ac

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $72,365ADR $359Occ ≈ 55%5★ (26)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 4BR 4.5BA 1 MI to Parkway Pool Table & Pool Access

    Cabin · 3 bd · 4.5 ba · sleeps 15 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $83,230ADR $421Occ ≈ 54%4.5★ (12)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Firefly Holler by Beyond Expectations w Hot Tub

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $49,663ADR $305Occ ≈ 45%4.3★ (6)

    Booking

  • Firefly Holler by Beyond Expectations:w/EV Charger

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $48,208ADR $288Occ ≈ 46%4.6★ (12)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • ER62 - Luxury 3BR 3BA Cabin w/ Pool, Theater

    Cabin · 3 bd · 4.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $127,538ADR $525Occ ≈ 67%5★ (4)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Downtown 3BR Mountainview, Free Attraction Tickets

    Cabin · 3 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 16 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $37,118ADR $285Occ ≈ 36%4.2★ (193)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • ER74 - Gerrald's Chalet

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $80,931ADR $331Occ ≈ 67%—

    Booking

  • July Discounts*DogFriendly*HotTub*Dollywood*Ripken

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $61,572ADR $251Occ ≈ 67%4.8★ (207)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Updated 4 Kings • Hot Tub • Game Rm • Pool Access

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $77,575ADR $334Occ ≈ 64%4.3★ (35)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • New Cabin Rental-Bowling Alley-Hot Tub-Adjustable Beds-Luxury Cabin Rentals

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $66,533ADR $320Occ ≈ 57%5★ (3)

    VrboBooking

  • Views! Secluded Cabin, New Hot Tub, Fire Pit

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $48,199ADR $292Occ ≈ 45%5★ (46)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • New Cabin Rental-Bowling Alley-Hot Tub-Adjustable Beds-Luxury Cabin Rentals

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $25,523ADR $282Occ ≈ 25%5★ (4)

    VrboBooking

  • Pigeon Forge Luxury Cabin w/ Private Bowling Alley & Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $19,892ADR $282Occ ≈ 19%5★ (1)

    Vrbo

  • Hillside Haven by Avada Properties

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $75,466ADR $255Occ ≈ 81%5★ (3)

    Booking

  • Pet Friendly! Location! No Steep Roads

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $107,080ADR $440Occ ≈ 67%4.9★ (163)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$75,213

NOI

$41,841

Cash flow /mo

-$2,171

Cash needed

$330,000

Cash-on-cash

-7.9%

ROE (yr 1)

3.7%

Cap rate

4.0%

DSCR

0.62

Year-1 write-off

$250,790

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$80,253

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$26,056
  • Principal paydown$6,871
  • Appreciation at%$31,500
ROE3.7%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)28.1%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$15,043
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$2,256
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$3,761
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$1,704
  • Property tax$108
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$6,300

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$262,500
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$42,000
  • Furnishing (bought new)$25,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$80,253

No county tax record split for property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split, so those use market defaults — edit the price above; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$893,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$223,000 · 25%

Year-1 deduction

$251,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$80,000

Land 15% (market default, no usable tax-record split) · building $669,000 over 39 years · new furniture $26,000

Based on: 2,393 sq ft, built 2026, 3 bd / 3.5 ba, unfurnished, listing features (hot tub, deck, game room, fireplace, appliance list).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $151,000 in year 1 (14% short-life, $48,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$155,400
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $11,000 new × 100% good × 1.90 allocation

    $20,900
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $9,000 new × 100% good × 1.90 allocation

    $17,100
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $4,200 new × 100% good × 1.90 allocation

    $7,900
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 100% good × 1.90 allocation

    $900
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 100% good × 1.90 allocation

    $2,300
  • Window coverings (24)default

    $6,000 new × 100% good × 1.90 allocation

    $11,400
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)default

    $6,200 new × 100% good × 1.90 allocation

    $11,700
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $8,600 new × 100% good × 1.90 allocation

    $16,300
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $5,200 new × 100% good × 1.90 allocation

    $9,800
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $7,700 new × 100% good × 1.90 allocation

    $14,600
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 100% good × 1.90 allocation

    $17,100
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
  • Game-room equipment bought newlisting

    $6,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $6,000
15-year land improvements$93,200
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $10,100 new × 100% good × 1.90 allocation

    $19,200
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $9,800 new × 100% good × 1.90 allocation

    $18,500
  • Patiosdefault

    $2,400 new × 100% good × 1.90 allocation

    $4,500
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $26,900 new × 100% good × 1.90 allocation

    $51,000
Building, 39-year$669,400
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $259,800 new × 100% good × 1.90 allocation

    $492,400
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $27,000 new × 100% good × 1.90 allocation

    $51,100
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $27,600 new × 100% good × 1.90 allocation

    $52,300
  • HVACdefault

    $27,000 new × 100% good × 1.90 allocation

    $51,100
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $9,200 new × 100% good × 1.90 allocation

    $17,500
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 100% good × 1.90 allocation

    $5,000

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$155,400$93,200$2,100$250,800
2$0$0$17,200$17,200
3$0$0$17,200$17,200
4$0$0$17,200$17,200
5$0$0$17,200$17,200
6+$0$0$598,600$598,600
Total$155,400$93,200$669,400$918,000

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: Georgia disallows bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.