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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

14 Riverbend Mnr

14 Riverbend Mnr

Blue Ridge, GA 30513

$1,200,000

4 bd · 4 ba · 2,648 sqft · Listed 10d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Est. land %Negative cash flow

Year built

2026

Sqft

2,648

Lot sqft

95,396

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-17T01:36:31.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$78,013

ADR

$475

Occupancy

45%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$11,026

Confidence

Low (40.06), 17 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$54,729$71,542$127,660
  • Eagles on the Ridge- Hot Tub, Game Room, Elevator

    Cabin · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 10 · 226 ft

    Revenue $60,265ADR $450Occ ≈ 37%4.8★ (18)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Eagles on the Ridge

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 10 · 394 ft

    Revenue $62,067ADR $427Occ ≈ 40%—

    Booking

  • Cozy Cabin Retreat | 5 Acres in the Mountains!

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $37,763ADR $241Occ ≈ 43%5★ (44)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • HOOKED ON THE TOCCOA RIVER

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $77,308ADR $417Occ ≈ 51%5★ (215)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Unforgettable river front, sauna hot tup pool tabl

    Cabin · 4 bd · 5 ba · sleeps 14 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $194,334ADR $820Occ ≈ 65%5★ (113)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Toccoa River Dreams - Direct Riverfront Home - Very Private

    House · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $81,256ADR $572Occ ≈ 39%5★ (142)

    Vrbo

  • Upscale Cabin on Toccoa River with gorgeous views!

    House · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $127,660ADR $697Occ ≈ 50%5★ (47)

    Airbnb

  • Rushing River Retreat

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $157,826ADR $740Occ ≈ 58%—

    Booking

  • Rushing River Retreat- HotTub, Game Rm, Luxury!

    Cabin · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $143,944ADR $787Occ ≈ 50%4.8★ (17)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Hooked on Toccoa- River Front, Outdoor Fireplace

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $136,712ADR $591Occ ≈ 63%5★ (40)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Show all 17 comps
  • The Grand Toccoa Retreat | Blue Ridge, Ga

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $55,158ADR $433Occ ≈ 35%4.5★ (6)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • NEW! Chase Mountain Dreams | Blue Ridge Luxury

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $22,596ADR $562Occ ≈ 11%5★ (2)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The River House

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $71,542ADR $498Occ ≈ 39%4.9★ (140)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Toccoa Overlook - Panoramic Views, Pool Table

    Cabin · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $34,928ADR $299Occ ≈ 32%4.9★ (39)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • River Lodge | Blue Ridge, Ga

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $54,729ADR $543Occ ≈ 28%4.8★ (12)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Peaceful River Retreat in North GA Mountains

    Cabin · 4 bd · 4.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $86,778ADR $376Occ ≈ 63%4.9★ (171)

    Airbnb

  • The Wizard Hideout - Immersive Wizard-Themed Cabin for Groups Near Blue Ridge

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $24,868ADR $460Occ ≈ 15%5★

    Vrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$78,013

NOI

$30,069

Cash flow /mo

-$3,961

Cash needed

$371,000

Cash-on-cash

-12.8%

ROE (yr 1)

-1.0%

Cap rate

2.5%

DSCR

0.39

Year-1 write-off

$242,762

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$77,684

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$47,527
  • Principal paydown$7,853
  • Appreciation at%$36,000
ROE-1.0%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)19.9%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$15,603
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$2,340
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$3,901
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$9,120
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$12,780

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$300,000
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$48,000
  • Furnishing (bought new)$23,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$77,684

No county tax record split for property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split, so those use market defaults — edit the price above; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$1,020,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$217,000 · 21%

Year-1 deduction

$243,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$78,000

Land 15% (market default, no usable tax-record split) · building $803,000 over 39 years · new furniture $23,000

Based on: 2,648 sq ft, built 2026, 4 bd / 4 ba, unfurnished, listing features (deck, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list, septic).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $131,000 in year 1 (10% short-life, $42,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$136,100
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $11,600 new × 100% good × 1.95 allocation

    $22,700
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $9,500 new × 100% good × 1.95 allocation

    $18,500
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $4,600 new × 100% good × 1.95 allocation

    $9,000
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $600 new × 100% good × 1.95 allocation

    $1,200
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,500 new × 100% good × 1.95 allocation

    $2,900
  • Window coverings (26)default

    $6,500 new × 100% good × 1.95 allocation

    $12,700
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (20% of floors)listing

    $3,400 new × 100% good × 1.95 allocation

    $6,700
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $9,000 new × 100% good × 1.95 allocation

    $17,600
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $5,500 new × 100% good × 1.95 allocation

    $10,700
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator)listing

    $5,700 new × 100% good × 1.95 allocation

    $11,100
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $23,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $23,000
15-year land improvements$104,100
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $10,700 new × 100% good × 1.95 allocation

    $20,800
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $10,300 new × 100% good × 1.95 allocation

    $20,000
  • Patiosdefault

    $2,600 new × 100% good × 1.95 allocation

    $5,100
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $29,800 new × 100% good × 1.95 allocation

    $58,200
Building, 39-year$802,800
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $287,200 new × 100% good × 1.95 allocation

    $560,700
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $29,800 new × 100% good × 1.95 allocation

    $58,300
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $30,800 new × 100% good × 1.95 allocation

    $60,200
  • HVACdefault

    $29,800 new × 100% good × 1.95 allocation

    $58,200
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $13,600 new × 100% good × 1.95 allocation

    $26,600
  • Fireplaces (3)listing

    $7,900 new × 100% good × 1.95 allocation

    $15,400
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 100% good × 1.95 allocation

    $23,400

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$136,100$104,100$2,600$242,800
2$0$0$20,600$20,600
3$0$0$20,600$20,600
4$0$0$20,600$20,600
5$0$0$20,600$20,600
6+$0$0$717,900$717,900
Total$136,100$104,100$802,800$1,043,000

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: Georgia disallows bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Fannin and Gilmer counties require STR registration and lodging tax; no cap found. Blue Ridge and Ellijay city limits have their own rules; most cabins are in unincorporated county.