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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

1003 Sierra Way

1003 Sierra Way

Sevierville, TN 37876

$475,000

2 bd · 2 ba · 1,120 sqft · Listed 4d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Est. land %Negative cash flow

Year built

2008

Sqft

1,120

Lot sqft

797,148

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-23T21:52:32Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$34,058

ADR

$194

Occupancy

48%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$6,775

Confidence

Med (57.94), 13 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$23,868$36,326$37,911
  • Douglas Lake Front Cabin Retreat

    2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 515 ft

    Revenue —ADR $181Occ ≈ —4.7★ (160)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Tennessee Whiskey Cabin- Lake and Mtn Views- Pets

    2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue —ADR $255Occ ≈ —4.9★ (37)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The Lakehouse

    2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue —ADR $199Occ ≈ —4.8★ (172)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 2 Bed 3 Bath Barndominium | Hot Tub + Lake Access

    2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue —ADR $249Occ ≈ —5★ (8)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The Bears Den | Cabin w/ Hot Tub + Lake Access

    2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue —ADR $202Occ ≈ —4.9★ (12)

    Airbnb

  • The Bears Den at Smoky Mountains

    2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue —ADR $157Occ ≈ ——

    Airbnb

  • Deer Crossing at Smoky Mountains

    2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue —ADR $298Occ ≈ ——

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Deer Crossing | Hot Tub + Douglas Lake Access

    2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue —ADR $191Occ ≈ —5★ (15)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Grandview Lodge • Lakeview Cabin w/ Hot Tub

    2 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue —ADR $270Occ ≈ —5★ (21)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 2BR Log Cabin, Sleeps 6, Game Room, Douglas Lake

    2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue —ADR $198Occ ≈ —4★ (2)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$34,058

NOI

$13,482

Cash flow /mo

-$1,436

Cash needed

$153,750

Cash-on-cash

-11.2%

ROE (yr 1)

0.1%

Cap rate

2.8%

DSCR

0.44

Year-1 write-off

$95,012

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$30,404

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$17,234
  • Principal paydown$3,108
  • Appreciation at%$14,250
ROE0.1%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)19.9%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$6,812
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,022
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,703
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$3,848
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$2,992

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$118,750
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$19,000
  • Furnishing (bought new)$16,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$30,404

No county tax record split for property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split, so those use market defaults — edit the price above; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$404,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$78,000 · 19%

Year-1 deduction

$95,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$30,000

Land 15% (market default, no usable tax-record split) · building $326,000 over 39 years · new furniture $16,000

Based on: 1,120 sq ft, built 2008, 2 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (wooded lot).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $71,000 in year 1 (13% short-life, $23,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$75,000
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $8,300 new × 40% good × 3.05 allocation

    $10,100
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $6,800 new × 40% good × 3.05 allocation

    $8,200
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $2,000 new × 40% good × 3.05 allocation

    $2,400
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 3.05 allocation

    $400
  • Shelvingdefault

    $900 new × 40% good × 3.05 allocation

    $1,100
  • Window coverings (11)default

    $2,800 new × 40% good × 3.05 allocation

    $3,400
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)default

    $2,900 new × 40% good × 3.05 allocation

    $3,500
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $6,400 new × 64% good × 3.05 allocation

    $12,500
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $3,900 new × 64% good × 3.05 allocation

    $7,600
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 3.05 allocation

    $9,900
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $16,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $16,000
15-year land improvements$19,000
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $6,900 new × 50% good × 3.05 allocation

    $10,600
  • Landscaping (minimal)listing

    $3,300 new × 50% good × 3.05 allocation

    $5,100
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,100 new × 50% good × 3.05 allocation

    $1,700
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $1,100 new × 50% good × 3.05 allocation

    $1,700
Building, 39-year$325,800
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $121,200 new × 70% good × 3.05 allocation

    $258,300
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $12,500 new × 64% good × 3.05 allocation

    $24,500
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $11,500 new × 64% good × 3.05 allocation

    $22,400
  • HVACdefault

    $12,600 new × 40% good × 3.05 allocation

    $15,400
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $4,300 new × 40% good × 3.05 allocation

    $5,300

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$75,000$19,000$1,000$95,000
2$0$0$8,400$8,400
3$0$0$8,400$8,400
4$0$0$8,400$8,400
5$0$0$8,400$8,400
6+$0$0$291,300$291,300
Total$75,000$19,000$325,800$419,700

The building's share of the price ($404,000) is 3.0x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($133,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: Georgia disallows bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.