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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

21282 Tia Mia Ln

21282 Tia Mia Ln

Redding, CA 96003

$529,900

4 bd · 2 ba · 2,248 sqft · Listed 19d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1981

Sqft

2,248

Lot sqft

217,800

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-10T19:12:54.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$31,467

ADR

$210

Occupancy

41%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$4,469

Confidence

Low (19.92), 7 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$10,578$27,057$32,975
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  • -The Bluebird- Located on our Flower Farm

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    Revenue $70,144ADR $494Occ ≈ 39%5★ (11)

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  • Ballpark

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.8 mi

    Revenue $7,107ADR $197Occ ≈ 10%—

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  • Budget Friendly. Clean Updated & a little Quirky

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    Revenue $10,357ADR $80Occ ≈ 35%4.8★ (24)

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    Revenue $10,799ADR $221Occ ≈ 13%—

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Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$31,467

NOI

$9,527

Cash flow /mo

-$2,061

Cash needed

$176,671

Cash-on-cash

-14.0%

ROE (yr 1)

-3.0%

Cap rate

1.8%

DSCR

0.28

Year-1 write-off

$114,576

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$36,664

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$24,738
  • Principal paydown$3,468
  • Appreciation at%$15,897
ROE-3.0%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)17.7%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$6,293
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$944
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,573
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$6,624
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$3,100

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$132,475
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$21,196
  • Furnishing (bought new)$23,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$36,664

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$404,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$91,000 · 22%

Year-1 deduction

$115,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$37,000

Land 24% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $313,000 over 39 years · new furniture $23,000

Based on: 2,248 sq ft, built 1981, 4 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (fence, fireplace, flooring types, septic).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $89,000 in year 1 (16% short-life, $28,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$79,600
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,700 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $9,800
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $8,800 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $8,000
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,900 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $3,600
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $300
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,500 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $1,400
  • Window coverings (22)default

    $5,500 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $5,000
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (67% of floors)listing

    $9,600 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $8,800
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $8,300 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $7,600
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $5,000 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $4,600
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $7,400
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $23,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $23,000
15-year land improvements$34,000
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $9,800 new × 50% good × 2.29 allocation

    $11,200
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $9,500 new × 50% good × 2.29 allocation

    $10,800
  • Patiosdefault

    $2,200 new × 50% good × 2.29 allocation

    $2,500
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $2,200 new × 50% good × 2.29 allocation

    $2,500
  • Fencinglisting

    $6,000 new × 50% good × 2.29 allocation

    $6,900
Building, 39-year$313,400
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $243,800 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $223,000
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $25,300 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $23,200
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $25,800 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $23,600
  • HVACdefault

    $25,300 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $23,200
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $4,800 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $4,400
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $2,400
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 50% good × 2.29 allocation

    $13,700

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$79,600$34,000$1,000$114,600
2$0$0$8,000$8,000
3$0$0$8,000$8,000
4$0$0$8,000$8,000
5$0$0$8,000$8,000
6+$0$0$280,300$280,300
Total$79,600$34,000$313,400$427,000

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California and Georgia disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Rules differ by jurisdiction. City of Redding caps whole-home vacation rentals at 400 with a 600 ft spacing rule (300 ft with a physical buffer), and its permit is NOT transferable to a new owner. Shasta Lake city and unincorporated Shasta County allow permitted rentals with no cap found, but permits also do not transfer on sale. Lodging tax ~10% plus a 2% tourism assessment in Redding. Verify parcel eligibility with the city or county before you buy.