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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

1268 Oregon St

1268 Oregon St

Redding, CA 96001

$699,000

4 bd · 3.5 ba · 2,847 sqft · Listed 9d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

2023

Sqft

2,847

Lot sqft

6,534

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-20T01:27:02.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$21,382

ADR

$87

Occupancy

67%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$2,030

Confidence

Low (12.74), 11 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$4,193$16,381$35,129
  • HerHouse @Diestelhorst |Downtown Redding

    Bungalow · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $35,591ADR $162Occ ≈ 60%5★ (95)

    Airbnb

  • Light Filled Home with Beautiful Garden

    House · 5 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $4,276ADR $143Occ ≈ 8%4.5★ (4)

    Airbnb

  • Downtown Getaway - beautiful historic craftsman

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $46,790ADR $172Occ ≈ 75%5★ (145)

    Airbnb

  • Westside ^Cottage^

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $32,594ADR $111Occ ≈ 80%4.9★ (111)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Charming Vintage Home with Character and a View

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $4,110ADR $155Occ ≈ 7%4.7★ (23)

    Airbnb

  • Updated-3 bd with garage - 30+ Day Rental

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $16,381ADR $94Occ ≈ 48%5★ (2)

    Airbnb

  • Downtown Charmer

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $2,518ADR $119Occ ≈ 6%4★ (1)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Modern 3BR Extended Stay Retreat – 30+ Day

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $5,302ADR $96Occ ≈ 15%4.8★ (29)

    Airbnb

  • Charming and Spacious Renovated 1940’s Home

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $1,209ADR $0Occ ≈ —5★ (41)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Aloha House

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $34,666ADR $156Occ ≈ 61%4.8★ (166)

    Airbnb

Show all 11 comps
  • Exquisite home w/ pool, large vintage bar & garage

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $41,622ADR $342Occ ≈ 33%4.8★ (80)

    Airbnb

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$21,382

NOI

-$583

Cash flow /mo

-$3,815

Cash needed

$225,710

Cash-on-cash

-20.3%

ROE (yr 1)

-9.0%

Cap rate

-0.1%

DSCR

-0.01

Year-1 write-off

$95,526

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$30,568

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$45,783
  • Principal paydown$4,574
  • Appreciation at%$20,970
ROE-9.0%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)4.6%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$4,276
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$641
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,069
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$8,738
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$4,089

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$174,750
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$27,960
  • Furnishing (bought new)$23,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$30,568

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$570,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$71,000 · 12%

Year-1 deduction

$96,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$31,000

Land 18% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $500,000 over 39 years · new furniture $23,000

Based on: 2,847 sq ft, built 2023, 4 bd / 3.5 ba, unfurnished, listing features (deck, covered patio, stone counters, flooring types).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $61,000 in year 1 (6% short-life, $19,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$93,900
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $12,000 new × 88% good × 1.27 allocation

    $13,400
  • Kitchen countertops (stone)listing

    $12,300 new × 88% good × 1.27 allocation

    $13,700
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $5,000 new × 88% good × 1.27 allocation

    $5,600
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 75% good × 1.27 allocation

    $400
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,500 new × 88% good × 1.27 allocation

    $1,700
  • Window coverings (28)default

    $7,000 new × 70% good × 1.27 allocation

    $6,200
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (25% of floors)listing

    $4,600 new × 75% good × 1.27 allocation

    $4,300
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $9,400 new × 94% good × 1.27 allocation

    $11,100
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $5,700 new × 94% good × 1.27 allocation

    $6,700
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 75% good × 1.27 allocation

    $7,700
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $23,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $23,000
Building, 39-year$499,600
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $309,100 new × 95% good × 1.27 allocation

    $371,800
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $32,100 new × 94% good × 1.27 allocation

    $38,200
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $33,400 new × 94% good × 1.27 allocation

    $39,700
  • HVACdefault

    $32,100 new × 85% good × 1.27 allocation

    $34,500
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $13,700 new × 88% good × 1.27 allocation

    $15,300

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$93,900$0$1,600$95,500
2$0$0$12,800$12,800
3$0$0$12,800$12,800
4$0$0$12,800$12,800
5$0$0$12,800$12,800
6+$0$0$446,700$446,700
Total$93,900$0$499,600$593,500

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California and Georgia disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Rules differ by jurisdiction. City of Redding caps whole-home vacation rentals at 400 with a 600 ft spacing rule (300 ft with a physical buffer), and its permit is NOT transferable to a new owner. Shasta Lake city and unincorporated Shasta County allow permitted rentals with no cap found, but permits also do not transfer on sale. Lodging tax ~10% plus a 2% tourism assessment in Redding. Verify parcel eligibility with the city or county before you buy.