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1000 Willow Ln

1000 Willow Ln

Big Bear City, CA 92314

$475,000

3 bd · 2 ba · 1,850 sqft · Listed 29d ago

View on Realtor.com →

Year built

1985

Sqft

1,850

Lot sqft

15,390

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-08-31T00:04:02.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$21,072

ADR

$233

Occupancy

25%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$4,001

Confidence

Low (42.25), 26 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$12,427$18,112$29,738
  • 'The Bear's Den' Cabin: 8 Mi to Snow Summit!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 259 ft

    Revenue $20,669ADR $336Occ ≈ 17%4.2★ (55)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Home w/ SPA, Fire Pit, Yard near Ski Resort & Lake

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 479 ft

    Revenue $30,105ADR $252Occ ≈ 33%4.9★ (108)

    Airbnb

  • Peaceful, 3 BD Modern Cabin & Game Room

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 495 ft

    Revenue $10,578ADR $264Occ ≈ 11%4.9★ (20)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Gorgeous Newly Remodeled Cabin Minutes from slopes

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $14,251ADR $240Occ ≈ 16%5★ (35)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Starlight Hideaway: Big Bear Log Cabin w/ Hot tub!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $23,433ADR $342Occ ≈ 19%5★ (45)

    Airbnb

  • Spruce

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $16,467ADR $325Occ ≈ 14%—

    Booking

  • 3BR Starlight Stargaze Haus - EV & Fireplace

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $14,772ADR $246Occ ≈ 16%4.9★ (13)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Lincoln Log Cabin | Renovated | Near Attractions

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $13,764ADR $366Occ ≈ 10%4.5★ (8)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Whistling Birds ~ EV Charge

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $28,323ADR $236Occ ≈ 33%5★ (38)

    Airbnb

  • Cozy Cabin on Sixth - FREE EV Charging!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $446ADR $223Occ ≈ 1%4.9★ (41)

    AirbnbVrbo

Show all 26 comps
  • Big Bear Getaway!

    Chalet · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $28,638ADR $185Occ ≈ 42%4.7★ (222)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Mama Bear's Manor - Luxury Spa - No Cleaning Fee

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $32,049ADR $509Occ ≈ 17%4.9★ (55)

    Airbnb

  • 3rd Night FREE Blue Snowflake Big Bear Mtn. Resort

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $3,876ADR $343Occ ≈ 3%5★ (1)

    Airbnb

  • Cedar Creek

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $14,454ADR $229Occ ≈ 17%4.6★ (62)

    Airbnb

  • One Hundred Pines Equestrian Ranch at Big Bear Lake

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $8,559ADR $295Occ ≈ 8%—

    Booking

  • One Hundred Pines Equestrian Ranch at Big Bear

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $11,855ADR $312Occ ≈ 10%4.5★ (6)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • A Frame Escape ! Fully fenced!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $20,640ADR $134Occ ≈ 42%4.5★ (165)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Beach to Mountains Chalet

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $11,981ADR $212Occ ≈ 15%5★ (14)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Bluebird Haven

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $10,517ADR $272Occ ≈ 11%5★ (19)

    Airbnb

  • Entire Home • 4 Beds • 3 Bedroom Big Bear

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $19,757ADR $327Occ ≈ 17%5★ (135)

    Airbnb

  • Hershey Bear Cabin:NEW! Igloo,Hot Tub,Dog Friendly

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $38,403ADR $409Occ ≈ 26%4.9★ (47)

    Airbnb

  • STAR WARS family cabin+HOT TUB+EV outlet+GAME R00M

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $41,852ADR $321Occ ≈ 36%5★ (228)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Beary Peaceful Fam Retreat; Ping Pong, SPA & AC

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $43,436ADR $295Occ ≈ 40%4.8★ (75)

    Airbnb

  • Beary Peaceful

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $40,091ADR $249Occ ≈ 44%—

    Booking

  • Summer retreat-Hot Tub, Arcade, Play Room

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $41,395ADR $302Occ ≈ 38%4.8★ (87)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Warm, modern, rustic cabin, Dog friendly. Bravo.

    House · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $16,157ADR $293Occ ≈ 15%5★ (63)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing

Est. revenue

$21,072

NOI

$3,324

Cash flow /mo

$277

Cash needed

$513,500

Cash-on-cash (all cash)

0.6%

ROE (yr 1)

3.4%

Cap rate

0.7%

DSCR

—

Year-1 write-off

$106,417

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$34,053

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)$3,324
  • Principal paydown (n/a, cash)$0
  • Appreciation at%$14,250
ROE3.4%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)10.1%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$4,214
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$632
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,054
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$5,938
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$2,423

Cash needed to close

  • Purchase price (all cash)$475,000
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$19,000
  • Furnishing (bought new)$19,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$34,053

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$380,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$85,000 · 22%

Year-1 deduction

$106,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$34,000

Land 20% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $295,000 over 39 years · new furniture $20,000

Based on: 1,850 sq ft, built 1985, 3 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (fireplace).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $80,000 in year 1 (15% short-life, $25,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$76,300
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $9,900 new × 40% good × 2.70 allocation

    $10,600
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 2.70 allocation

    $8,700
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,200 new × 40% good × 2.70 allocation

    $3,500
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 2.70 allocation

    $300
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 2.70 allocation

    $1,300
  • Window coverings (19)default

    $4,800 new × 40% good × 2.70 allocation

    $5,100
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)default

    $4,800 new × 40% good × 2.70 allocation

    $5,100
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,700 new × 40% good × 2.70 allocation

    $8,300
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,600 new × 40% good × 2.70 allocation

    $5,000
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 2.70 allocation

    $8,700
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
15-year land improvements$28,600
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $8,900 new × 50% good × 2.70 allocation

    $12,000
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $8,600 new × 50% good × 2.70 allocation

    $11,600
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,800 new × 50% good × 2.70 allocation

    $2,500
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $1,800 new × 50% good × 2.70 allocation

    $2,500
Building, 39-year$294,700
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $200,600 new × 40% good × 2.70 allocation

    $216,700
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $20,800 new × 40% good × 2.70 allocation

    $22,500
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $20,700 new × 40% good × 2.70 allocation

    $22,400
  • HVACdefault

    $20,800 new × 40% good × 2.70 allocation

    $22,500
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $7,100 new × 40% good × 2.70 allocation

    $7,700
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.70 allocation

    $2,800

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$76,300$28,600$1,600$106,400
2$0$0$7,600$7,600
3$0$0$7,600$7,600
4$0$0$7,600$7,600
5$0$0$7,600$7,600
6+$0$0$262,900$262,900
Total$76,300$28,600$294,700$399,500

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California and Georgia disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.