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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

19408 Titleist Way

19408 Titleist Way

Redding, CA 96003

$769,000

5 bd · 3 ba · 2,971 sqft · Listed 15d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

2004

Sqft

2,971

Lot sqft

14,810

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-14T16:47:42.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$21,347

ADR

$180

Occupancy

32%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$1,689

Confidence

Low (21.73), 9 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$6,799$17,583$24,804
  • Hope Lane Hideaway

    House · 6 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $22,420ADR $432Occ ≈ 14%4.8★ (15)

    Airbnb

  • Fairway House/The 5th hole hideaway+Game basement

    House · 5 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $49,752ADR $474Occ ≈ 29%4.9★ (19)

    Airbnb

  • Pool/HotYoga/Cold Plunge/Sauna

    House · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $25,564ADR $449Occ ≈ 16%5★ (2)

    Airbnb

  • Pool Hot Tub Fire Pit Pet Friendly BBQ 4BR

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $6,713ADR $555Occ ≈ 3%—

    Booking

  • Family Escape | Dog Friendly + Hot Tub + Fire Pit

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $7,056ADR $588Occ ≈ 3%4.8★ (37)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 6b/3b home with Huge Lot, RV Parking! King Bed!

    House · 6 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $4,900ADR $189Occ ≈ 7%5★ (1)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 4BR Retreat - Pool & Sauna on site

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $29,671ADR $314Occ ≈ 26%4.5★ (13)

    Airbnb

  • Prime Estate: 4BR Spacious Luxury & Forest Views

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $3,739ADR $233Occ ≈ 4%5★ (1)

    Airbnb

  • Modern Boho pond escape

    House · 6 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 16 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $22,524ADR $732Occ ≈ 8%—

    Airbnb

  • Upscale Spacious Home Best Neighbhd 30 Day Minimum

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $12,745ADR $133Occ ≈ 26%—

    Airbnb

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$21,347

NOI

-$1,788

Cash flow /mo

-$4,293

Cash needed

$249,510

Cash-on-cash

-20.6%

ROE (yr 1)

-9.4%

Cap rate

-0.2%

DSCR

-0.04

Year-1 write-off

$134,649

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$43,088

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$51,514
  • Principal paydown$5,032
  • Appreciation at%$23,070
ROE-9.4%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)7.9%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$4,269
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$640
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,067
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$9,613
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$4,499

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$192,250
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$30,760
  • Furnishing (bought new)$26,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$43,088

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$596,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$107,000 · 18%

Year-1 deduction

$135,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$43,000

Land 23% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $489,000 over 39 years · new furniture $27,000

Based on: 2,971 sq ft, built 2004, 5 bd / 3 ba, unfurnished, listing features (covered patio, fireplace, flooring types).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $110,000 in year 1 (14% short-life, $35,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$83,900
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $12,300 new × 40% good × 1.88 allocation

    $9,200
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $10,100 new × 40% good × 1.88 allocation

    $7,600
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $5,200 new × 40% good × 1.88 allocation

    $3,900
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 40% good × 1.88 allocation

    $300
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,800 new × 40% good × 1.88 allocation

    $1,400
  • Window coverings (30)default

    $7,500 new × 40% good × 1.88 allocation

    $5,600
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (50% of floors)listing

    $9,600 new × 40% good × 1.88 allocation

    $7,200
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $9,600 new × 56% good × 1.88 allocation

    $10,100
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $5,800 new × 56% good × 1.88 allocation

    $6,100
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 1.88 allocation

    $6,100
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $26,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $26,500
15-year land improvements$49,200
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $14,100 new × 50% good × 1.88 allocation

    $13,200
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $10,900 new × 50% good × 1.88 allocation

    $10,200
  • Covered patiolisting

    $24,500 new × 50% good × 1.88 allocation

    $23,000
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $2,900 new × 50% good × 1.88 allocation

    $2,800
Building, 39-year$489,100
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $322,400 new × 63% good × 1.88 allocation

    $382,900
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $33,500 new × 56% good × 1.88 allocation

    $35,200
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $34,900 new × 56% good × 1.88 allocation

    $36,700
  • HVACdefault

    $33,500 new × 40% good × 1.88 allocation

    $25,100
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $9,600 new × 40% good × 1.88 allocation

    $7,200
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 1.88 allocation

    $2,000

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$83,900$49,200$1,600$134,600
2$0$0$12,500$12,500
3$0$0$12,500$12,500
4$0$0$12,500$12,500
5$0$0$12,500$12,500
6+$0$0$437,300$437,300
Total$83,900$49,200$489,100$622,200

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California and Georgia disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Rules differ by jurisdiction. City of Redding caps whole-home vacation rentals at 400 with a 600 ft spacing rule (300 ft with a physical buffer), and its permit is NOT transferable to a new owner. Shasta Lake city and unincorporated Shasta County allow permitted rentals with no cap found, but permits also do not transfer on sale. Lodging tax ~10% plus a 2% tourism assessment in Redding. Verify parcel eligibility with the city or county before you buy.