1169 Mitchell Ln
Big Bear City, CA 92314
$629,000
4 bd · 2 ba · 2,004 sqft · Listed 1d ago
View on Realtor.com →Year built
1982
Sqft
2,004
Lot sqft
10,001
HOA / mo
$0
Furnished
No
List date
2026-10-30T22:43:50.000000Z
Revenue
Annual revenue
$26,941
ADR
$237
Occupancy
31%
Cleaning fees (12 mo)
$5,195
Confidence
Low (43.34), 22 comps
Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)
Few similar-size comps were found, so all comps are shown.
Median revenue of shown comps: $20,411
Beary Peaceful
Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi
Revenue $41,220ADR $262Occ ≈ 43%—
Beary Peaceful Ski & SPA Retreat, Ping Pong
Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi
- Hot tub
- A/C
- Free parking
- Wifi
- +3
Revenue $43,148ADR $297Occ ≈ 40%4.8★ (79)
Entire Home • 4 Beds • 3 Bedroom Big Bear
House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.3 mi
- Free parking
- Wifi
- Kitchen
- Fireplace
Revenue $21,251ADR $320Occ ≈ 18%5★ (137)
Cedar Creek
House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi
Revenue $14,072ADR $230Occ ≈ 17%4.6★ (62)
Delisted
Hershey Bear Cabin:NEW! Igloo,Hot Tub,Dog Friendly
Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi
Revenue $36,294ADR $418Occ ≈ 24%4.9★ (47)
Delisted
Three Bears Big Bear Cabin
Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi
Revenue $12,808ADR $230Occ ≈ 15%4.8★ (48)
Delisted
| Listing | Size | Revenue (12 mo) | ADR | Occ ≈ | Rating | Distance | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cozy Fall Cabin-Hot Tub, Arcade, Play Room Cabin
| 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 | $44,109 | $305 | 40% | 4.8★ (88) | 469 ft | AirbnbVrbo |
StAr wArS exhibit Log Cabin, game room, hot tub Cabin
| 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 10 | $41,254 | $321 | 35% | 5★ (231) | 0.1 mi | AirbnbVrbo |
Beary Peaceful Vacation home | 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 | $41,220 | $262 | 43% | — | 0.2 mi | Booking |
Beary Peaceful Ski & SPA Retreat, Ping Pong Cabin
| 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 | $43,148 | $297 | 40% | 4.8★ (79) | 0.2 mi | Airbnb |
Entire Home • 4 Beds • 3 Bedroom Big Bear House
| 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 7 | $21,251 | $320 | 18% | 5★ (137) | 0.3 mi | Airbnb |
Beach to Mountains Chalet Cabin
| 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 | $15,670 | $192 | 22% | 5★ (14) | 0.3 mi | AirbnbVrbo |
Cedar Creek House | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 | $14,072 | $230 | 17% | 4.6★ (62) | 0.4 mi | Delisted |
Big Bear Getaway! Chalet
| 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 | $28,369 | $192 | 40% | 4.7★ (222) | 0.4 mi | AirbnbVrbo |
Hershey Bear Cabin:NEW! Igloo,Hot Tub,Dog Friendly Cabin | 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 | $36,294 | $418 | 24% | 4.9★ (47) | 0.5 mi | Delisted |
Three Bears Big Bear Cabin Cabin | 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 | $12,808 | $230 | 15% | 4.8★ (48) | 0.5 mi | Delisted |
Show 12 more
Starlight Hideaway: Big Bear Log Cabin w/ Hot tub!
Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi
- Hot tub
- Free parking
- Wifi
- Kitchen
- +3
Revenue $24,426ADR $336Occ ≈ 20%5★ (45)
Gorgeous Newly Remodeled Cabin Minutes from slopes
House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi
Revenue $14,690ADR $240Occ ≈ 17%5★ (35)
The Bears Den Cabin 8 Mi to Snow Summit!
Vacation home · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.7 mi
Revenue $18,976ADR $271Occ ≈ 19%—
'The Bear's Den' Cabin: 8 Mi to Snow Summit!
Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.7 mi
Revenue $19,570ADR $338Occ ≈ 16%4.2★ (55)
Home w/ SPA, Fire Pit, Yard near Ski Resort & Lake
Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi
- Hot tub
- Free parking
- Wifi
- Kitchen
- +3
Revenue $31,687ADR $247Occ ≈ 35%4.9★ (109)
Bluebird Haven
Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi
- Free parking
- Pets OK
- Wifi
- Kitchen
- +3
Revenue $10,520ADR $272Occ ≈ 11%5★ (19)
Cozy Cabin on Sixth - FREE EV Charging!
Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi
Revenue $446ADR $223Occ ≈ 1%4.9★ (41)
Peaceful, 3 BD Modern Cabin & Game Room
Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi
Revenue $10,578ADR $264Occ ≈ 11%4.9★ (20)
Surrounded by Fall Beauty • Hot Tub • EV • Hiking
Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi
- Hot tub
- Wifi
- Kitchen
- Washer
- +4
Revenue $37,740ADR $279Occ ≈ 37%5★ (301)
3rd Night FREE Blue Snowflake Big Bear Mtn. Resort
Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.7 mi
- Free parking
- Wifi
- Kitchen
- Fireplace
Revenue $3,876ADR $343Occ ≈ 3%5★ (1)
| Listing | Size | Revenue (12 mo) | ADR | Occ ≈ | Rating | Distance | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Starlight Hideaway: Big Bear Log Cabin w/ Hot tub! Cabin
| 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 | $24,426 | $336 | 20% | 5★ (45) | 0.6 mi | Airbnb |
Lincoln Log Cabin | Renovated | Near Attractions House
| 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 | $15,635 | $295 | 15% | 4.5★ (9) | 0.6 mi | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Gorgeous Newly Remodeled Cabin Minutes from slopes House | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 | $14,690 | $240 | 17% | 5★ (35) | 0.6 mi | Airbnb |
The Bears Den Cabin 8 Mi to Snow Summit! Vacation home | 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 | $18,976 | $271 | 19% | — | 0.7 mi | Booking |
'The Bear's Den' Cabin: 8 Mi to Snow Summit! Cabin | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 | $19,570 | $338 | 16% | 4.2★ (55) | 0.7 mi | Airbnb |
Home w/ SPA, Fire Pit, Yard near Ski Resort & Lake Cabin
| 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 | $31,687 | $247 | 35% | 4.9★ (109) | 0.7 mi | Airbnb |
A Frame Escape ! Fully fenced! Cabin
| 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 | $21,642 | $134 | 44% | 4.5★ (165) | 0.7 mi | AirbnbVrbo |
Bluebird Haven Cabin
| 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 | $10,520 | $272 | 11% | 5★ (19) | 0.7 mi | Airbnb |
Cozy Cabin on Sixth - FREE EV Charging! Cabin | 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 8 | $446 | $223 | 1% | 4.9★ (41) | 0.7 mi | Airbnb |
Peaceful, 3 BD Modern Cabin & Game Room Cabin | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 | $10,578 | $264 | 11% | 4.9★ (20) | 0.7 mi | Booking |
Surrounded by Fall Beauty • Hot Tub • EV • Hiking Cabin
| 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 | $37,740 | $279 | 37% | 5★ (301) | 0.7 mi | Airbnb |
3rd Night FREE Blue Snowflake Big Bear Mtn. Resort Cabin
| 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 10 | $3,876 | $343 | 3% | 5★ (1) | 0.7 mi | Airbnb |
Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.
Cash flow calculator
Rate 7.99% = 7.24% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 29) + 0.75% investor premium
Est. revenue
$26,941
NOI
$5,071
Cash flow /mo
-$3,036
Cash needed
$211,410
Cash-on-cash
-17.2%
ROE (yr 1)
-6.4%
Cap rate
0.8%
DSCR
0.12
Year-1 write-off
$188,129
Year-1 tax shield @ 32%
$60,201
Year-1 return on equity
- Cash flow (annual)-$36,428
- Principal paydown$3,949
- Appreciation at%$18,870
Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown
Annual operating expenses
- Management (20% of revenue)$5,388
- Platform fees (3% of revenue)$808
- Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,347
- Utilities & supplies$4,200
- HOA$0
- Property tax$7,863
- Insurance (STR-rated)$3,208
Cash needed to close
- Down payment (25%)$157,250
- Closing costs (4.0%)$25,160
- Furnishing (bought new)$29,000
Tax savings if the STR loophole applies
- Tax shield @ 32%$60,201
Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).
The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.
Cost segregation estimate
An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.
Depreciable basis
$503,000
Short-life (5/15-yr)
$159,000 · 32%
Year-1 deduction
$188,000
Year-1 tax shield @ 32%
$60,000
Land 20% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $344,000 over 39 years · new furniture $29,000
Based on: 2,004 sq ft, built 1982, 4 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (hot tub, deck, patio, fence, game room, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list).
Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →
IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $128,000 in year 1 (20% short-life, $41,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.
- $11,900
Kitchen cabinetsdefault
$10,200 new × 40% good × 2.91 allocation
- $9,700
Kitchen countertopsdefault
$8,300 new × 40% good × 2.91 allocation
- $4,100
Decorative trimdefault
$3,500 new × 40% good × 2.91 allocation
- $300
Mirrorsdefault
$300 new × 40% good × 2.91 allocation
- $1,700
Shelvingdefault
$1,500 new × 40% good × 2.91 allocation
- $5,800
Window coverings (20)default
$5,000 new × 40% good × 2.91 allocation
- $5,000
Carpet, vinyl & laminate (33% of floors)listing
$4,300 new × 40% good × 2.91 allocation
- $9,200
Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault
$7,900 new × 40% good × 2.91 allocation
- $5,600
Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault
$4,800 new × 40% good × 2.91 allocation
- $6,600
Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator)listing
$5,700 new × 40% good × 2.91 allocation
- $10,500
Hot tub (freestanding)listing
$9,000 new × 40% good × 2.91 allocation
- $23,000
Furniture bought newlisting
$23,000 new × 100% good · bought separately
- $6,000
Game-room equipment bought newlisting
$6,000 new × 100% good · bought separately
- $13,500
Paving: driveway & walks (paved)listing
$9,300 new × 50% good × 2.91 allocation
- $13,000
Landscaping (typical)default
$8,900 new × 50% good × 2.91 allocation
- $13,100
Patioslisting
$9,000 new × 50% good × 2.91 allocation
- $32,800
Decks & porches (attached)listing
$22,500 new × 50% good × 2.91 allocation
- $8,700
Fencinglisting
$6,000 new × 50% good × 2.91 allocation
- $7,300
Gazebo / pergolalisting
$5,000 new × 50% good × 2.91 allocation
- $252,500
Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault
$217,200 new × 40% good × 2.91 allocation
- $26,200
Building plumbing & fixturesdefault
$22,600 new × 40% good × 2.91 allocation
- $26,400
Building electrical & lightingdefault
$22,700 new × 40% good × 2.91 allocation
- $26,300
HVACdefault
$22,600 new × 40% good × 2.91 allocation
- $10,000
Hardwood & tile floorsdefault
$8,600 new × 40% good × 2.91 allocation
- $3,100
Fireplacelisting
$2,600 new × 40% good × 2.91 allocation
About the property
Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study
| Year | 5-yr | 15-yr | Building | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $99,400 | $88,300 | $400 | $188,100 |
| 2 | $0 | $0 | $8,800 | $8,800 |
| 3 | $0 | $0 | $8,800 | $8,800 |
| 4 | $0 | $0 | $8,800 | $8,800 |
| 5 | $0 | $0 | $8,800 | $8,800 |
| 6+ | $0 | $0 | $308,700 | $308,700 |
| Total | $99,400 | $88,300 | $344,400 | $532,200 |
Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.
Market note
Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.