STR Yield
← Back to deals

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

1009 White Mountain Dr

1009 White Mountain Dr

Big Bear City, CA 92314

$499,900

3 bd · 2 ba · 1,321 sqft · Listed 4d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1987

Sqft

1,321

Lot sqft

8,102

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-25T16:59:43Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$32,755

ADR

$285

Occupancy

31%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$6,701

Confidence

Low (32.76), 50 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$14,584$23,908$39,425
  • Hot Tub, Game Room, AC, EV Charging & Fire Pit-WHI

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 144 ft

    Revenue $38,496ADR $557Occ ≈ 19%4.9★ (19)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • New! Bearadise ~ Peaceful Pinegrove Chalet

    Chalet · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 174 ft

    Revenue $60,292ADR $251Occ ≈ 66%4.7★ (208)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Paradise Cabin

    Place · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 174 ft

    Revenue $24,834ADR $411Occ ≈ 17%4.5★ (28)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Boo Boo Bear Chalet

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 282 ft

    Revenue $18,119ADR $290Occ ≈ 17%5★ (20)

    Airbnb

  • Big Comfort, Large Home in Big Bear

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 305 ft

    Revenue $55,074ADR $379Occ ≈ 40%5★ (137)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Top 1% Clean & Cozy Family Cabin with A/C

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $29,546ADR $252Occ ≈ 32%5★ (135)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cute family cabin with hot tub and hiking trails.

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $23,054ADR $347Occ ≈ 18%4.9★ (123)

    Airbnb

  • Peaceful Rustic Escape, Cool Deck, Firepit Table

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $17,279ADR $294Occ ≈ 16%5★ (26)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Corner Hideaway I Quiet Location, Cozy Interiors

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $10,682ADR $292Occ ≈ 10%5★ (22)

    Airbnb

  • Lookout Lodge: Hilltop Views, HotTub, Games, AC!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $4,157ADR $192Occ ≈ 6%5★ (6)

    Airbnb

Show all 50 comps
  • Big Blue Retreat Dog-Friendly Cabin, Spa, Near Village

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $24,762ADR $215Occ ≈ 32%—

    Booking

  • Big Blue | Charming Chalet Nestled Next To Trails!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $58,405ADR $261Occ ≈ 61%4.8★ (55)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Lookout Lodge Family Chalet at Big Bear w/ Games

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $60,569ADR $515Occ ≈ 32%4.5★ (10)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Large Family Home, sleeps 6+

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $18,908ADR $178Occ ≈ 29%4.7★ (339)

    Airbnb

  • Hillside Haven/Views/Quiet Area/Next to Forest

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $26,279ADR $220Occ ≈ 33%4.8★ (37)

    Airbnb

  • Lookout Lodge Family Chalet at Big Bear w/ Games

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $47,315ADR $511Occ ≈ 25%—

    Booking

  • Big Bear Retreat w Fire Pit, Deck, & Cabin Vibes

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $28,182ADR $288Occ ≈ 27%3.8★ (10)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Eagle Mountain Retreat

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $10,131ADR $295Occ ≈ 9%5★ (27)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Peaceful 3 bdr cabin w/ hot tub! Close to hiking!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $12,633ADR $334Occ ≈ 10%4.9★ (252)

    Airbnb

  • Double Deck Cabin w/ Spa, Hanging Chairs, Fire Pit

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $31,190ADR $376Occ ≈ 23%4.9★ (122)

    Airbnb

  • Sleepy Bear Cabin | Near slopes

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $18,669ADR $348Occ ≈ 15%5★ (21)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Spacious Cabin With Games, Pool Table & Hot Tub

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $9,239ADR $658Occ ≈ 4%5★ (18)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Escape Close to Lake, AC, Killer Hot Tub and Deck

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $22,173ADR $306Occ ≈ 20%4.9★ (75)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The Fox Den #2568

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $87,855ADR $651Occ ≈ 37%—

    Booking

  • The Fox Den Big Bear ~ Modern Mountain View Retreat w/ Hot Tub

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $78,773ADR $596Occ ≈ 36%4★ (1)

    Booking

  • The Fox Den Big Bear ~ Modern Mountain View Retrea

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $47,651ADR $472Occ ≈ 28%4.8★ (11)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Summit View Cabin–Game Room, Family Memories & Fun

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $25,347ADR $346Occ ≈ 20%4.9★ (85)

    Airbnb

  • Luxury Log Cabin! Panoramic views, game room! FOST

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $39,735ADR $477Occ ≈ 23%4.8★ (16)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Whitney Manor/ W Spa Near the lake

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $43,897ADR $324Occ ≈ 37%4.9★ (35)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Sasquatch Cottage:Fun & Enchanting Themed Cabin!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $22,749ADR $212Occ ≈ 29%4.8★ (37)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Big Hot Tub! - 5 Mins to Slopes!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $19,427ADR $260Occ ≈ 20%4.3★ (24)

    Airbnb

  • Big Bear Ultimate Stay Away

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $2,728ADR $532Occ ≈ 1%5★ (2)

    Airbnb

  • Woodsy Cozy Glam, Hot Tub, Pirate Ship and Xbox

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $22,279ADR $285Occ ≈ 21%5★ (6)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Mountain View Escape: Pool Table! WiFi! TV!

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $44,336ADR $282Occ ≈ 43%4.8★ (129)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Luxury Mountain Chalet in Big Bear|Ski Queen Lodge

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $13,103ADR $517Occ ≈ 7%5★ (1)

    Airbnb

  • Eagles Landing - Family Friendly Holiday Space

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $11,517ADR $127Occ ≈ 25%5★ (69)

    Airbnb

  • Aframe, Huge Yard, Escooters, SUP Board, Kayak, EV

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $16,895ADR $310Occ ≈ 15%5★ (16)

    Airbnb

  • Charming Rustic Pet Friendly Mountain Cabin, with Deck, BBQ, Firepit, Fireplace

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $4,029ADR $263Occ ≈ 4%—

    Vrbo

  • Charming Woodsy Dog Friendly HomeHot

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $7,530ADR $235Occ ≈ 9%—

    Vrbo

  • 2577-The Cave

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $13,813ADR $445Occ ≈ 9%—

    Booking

  • Fireplace, Deck, Barbecue

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $41,936ADR $316Occ ≈ 36%3.9★ (12)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The Duran Cabin - Vintage Big Bear Cabin In Big Bear City

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $25,535ADR $172Occ ≈ 41%—

    Booking

  • Cozy 3bd 2ba Cabin minutes to the ski resort

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $8,862ADR $323Occ ≈ 8%4.8★ (29)

    Airbnb

  • Mama’s Lake House: Spacious 3 bedroom retreat

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $34,498ADR $350Occ ≈ 27%5★ (24)

    Airbnb

  • Bear Cub Cabin + Hot-Tub & Outdoor Patio w/ BBQ!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $36,052ADR $284Occ ≈ 35%4.7★ (16)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Home w/ Spa near Ski Resort, VIEW, Pet Friendly!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $31,770ADR $387Occ ≈ 22%4.8★ (177)

    Airbnb

  • Unwind in Style: Premier Location Cabin with Hot Tub in California

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $4,363ADR $256Occ ≈ 5%—

    Vrbo

  • Charming Modern Mountain Retreat: Full Amenities

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $21,587ADR $335Occ ≈ 18%5★ (40)

    Airbnb

  • Big Bear Cabin: Hot Tub, Pet-Friendly, Fenced

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $48,898ADR $330Occ ≈ 41%4.7★ (395)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Winding Retreat | Walk to Oktoberfest & Adventure

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $21,672ADR $355Occ ≈ 17%4.8★ (12)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$32,755

NOI

$11,335

Cash flow /mo

-$1,749

Cash needed

$164,471

Cash-on-cash

-12.8%

ROE (yr 1)

-1.7%

Cap rate

2.3%

DSCR

0.35

Year-1 write-off

$143,901

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$46,048

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$20,990
  • Principal paydown$3,271
  • Appreciation at%$14,997
ROE-1.7%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)26.3%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$6,551
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$983
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,638
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$6,771
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$2,549

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$124,975
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$19,996
  • Furnishing (bought new)$19,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$46,048

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$404,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$124,000 · 31%

Year-1 deduction

$144,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$46,000

Land 19% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $280,000 over 39 years · new furniture $20,000

Based on: 1,321 sq ft, built 1987, 3 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (patio, fence, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $113,000 in year 1 (23% short-life, $36,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$91,100
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $8,700 new × 40% good × 3.70 allocation

    $12,900
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $7,100 new × 40% good × 3.70 allocation

    $10,500
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $2,300 new × 40% good × 3.70 allocation

    $3,400
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 3.70 allocation

    $400
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 3.70 allocation

    $1,800
  • Window coverings (13)default

    $3,300 new × 40% good × 3.70 allocation

    $4,800
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (100% of floors)listing

    $8,500 new × 40% good × 3.70 allocation

    $12,600
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $6,800 new × 40% good × 3.70 allocation

    $10,000
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,100 new × 40% good × 3.70 allocation

    $6,100
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator)listing

    $6,100 new × 40% good × 3.70 allocation

    $9,000
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
15-year land improvements$51,900
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)listing

    $7,500 new × 50% good × 3.70 allocation

    $14,000
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $7,200 new × 50% good × 3.70 allocation

    $13,400
  • Patioslisting

    $5,900 new × 50% good × 3.70 allocation

    $11,000
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $1,300 new × 50% good × 3.70 allocation

    $2,400
  • Fencinglisting

    $6,000 new × 50% good × 3.70 allocation

    $11,100
Building, 39-year$280,300
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $142,800 new × 40% good × 3.70 allocation

    $211,600
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $14,800 new × 40% good × 3.70 allocation

    $22,000
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $14,000 new × 40% good × 3.70 allocation

    $20,800
  • HVACdefault

    $14,900 new × 40% good × 3.70 allocation

    $22,000
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 3.70 allocation

    $3,900

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$91,100$51,900$900$143,900
2$0$0$7,200$7,200
3$0$0$7,200$7,200
4$0$0$7,200$7,200
5$0$0$7,200$7,200
6+$0$0$250,600$250,600
Total$91,100$51,900$280,300$423,300

The building's share of the price ($404,000) is 3.7x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($109,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California and Georgia disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.