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Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 8) + 0.75% investor premium

8064 Churn Creek Rd

8064 Churn Creek Rd

Redding, CA 96002

$490,000

4 bd · 2 ba · 2,441 sqft · Listed 1d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

1959

Sqft

2,441

Lot sqft

141,570

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-12T16:59:35.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$43,474

ADR

$204

Occupancy

58%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$6,779

Confidence

Low (45.37), 15 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$26,707$39,391$49,014

Few similar-size comps were found, so all comps are shown.

Median revenue of shown comps: $39,391

  • Renovated Home - 3Bd/2Ba, Washer & Dryer

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.8 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $52,578ADR $197Occ ≈ 73%5★ (183)

    Airbnb

  • Evergreen Retreat | Spacious + family friendly

    House · 5 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 1.0 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $90,751ADR $552Occ ≈ 45%4.8★ (34)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • GHouse@ Lilac | Redding (Airport) Her.Hauspitality

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.1 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $21,909ADR $142Occ ≈ 42%5★ (2)

    Airbnb

  • Redding retreat for Large Family / Entire house

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 1.4 mi

    • A/C
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $37,145ADR $227Occ ≈ 45%5★ (123)

    Airbnb

  • Newly Remodeled Charming home!

    House · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 1.6 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen

    Revenue $31,504ADR $190Occ ≈ 45%4.8★ (32)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Hidden Charm- A cozy home with Pool & Game room

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.6 mi

    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $35,990ADR $180Occ ≈ 55%4.8★ (134)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The Rivercrest Branch House | Spacious + Bright

    House · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 9 · 1.8 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $47,857ADR $391Occ ≈ 34%4.7★ (20)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Large 4 bedroom w/ play space, office, 3 king beds

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 1.8 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +2

    Revenue $50,170ADR $247Occ ≈ 56%5★ (43)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Foosball+King Bed Costco Closeby Huge Master Suite

    House · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 1.8 mi

    Revenue $42,149ADR $270Occ ≈ 43%4.2★ (17)

    Airbnb

  • Sweet Escape. Cozy, central, fireplace & Netflix.

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 1.9 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $46,477ADR $162Occ ≈ 79%4.8★ (399)

    Airbnb

Show 5 more
  • LUXE Modern getaway retreat

    House · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.9 mi

    Revenue $10,293ADR $155Occ ≈ 18%4.8★ (7)

    Delisted

  • Modern Comforts at Olney Creek Outpost

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 2.0 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $21,476ADR $321Occ ≈ 18%4.9★ (11)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Comfortable home near river access trail

    House · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 2.1 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $64,716ADR $311Occ ≈ 57%4.8★ (48)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Large Redding, CA Oasis

    House · 5 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 15 · 2.1 mi

    Revenue $2,895ADR $505Occ ≈ 2%4★ (6)

    Booking

  • Gorgeous Riverside Home Close to Bethel Church

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 2.1 mi

    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $39,391ADR $328Occ ≈ 33%4.9★ (98)

    Airbnb

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 8) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$43,474

NOI

$18,845

Cash flow /mo

-$1,165

Cash needed

$165,100

Cash-on-cash

-8.5%

ROE (yr 1)

2.2%

Cap rate

3.8%

DSCR

0.57

Year-1 write-off

$109,684

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$35,099

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$13,977
  • Principal paydown$2,980
  • Appreciation at%$14,700
ROE2.2%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$8,695
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,304
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,174
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$6,125
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$2,867

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$122,500
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$19,600
  • Furnishing (bought new)$23,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$35,099

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$420,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$86,000 · 21%

Year-1 deduction

$110,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$35,000

Land 14% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $334,000 over 39 years · new furniture $23,000

Based on: 2,441 sq ft, built 1959, 4 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (fireplace, flooring types, septic).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $83,000 in year 1 (14% short-life, $27,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$81,300
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $11,200 new × 40% good × 2.25 allocation

    $10,000
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $9,100 new × 40% good × 2.25 allocation

    $8,200
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $4,300 new × 40% good × 2.25 allocation

    $3,800
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 2.25 allocation

    $300
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,500 new × 40% good × 2.25 allocation

    $1,300
  • Window coverings (24)default

    $6,000 new × 40% good × 2.25 allocation

    $5,400
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (67% of floors)listing

    $10,500 new × 40% good × 2.25 allocation

    $9,400
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $8,700 new × 40% good × 2.25 allocation

    $7,800
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $5,200 new × 40% good × 2.25 allocation

    $4,700
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 2.25 allocation

    $7,300
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $23,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $23,000
15-year land improvements$28,000
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $10,200 new × 50% good × 2.25 allocation

    $11,500
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $9,900 new × 50% good × 2.25 allocation

    $11,100
  • Patiosdefault

    $2,400 new × 50% good × 2.25 allocation

    $2,700
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $2,400 new × 50% good × 2.25 allocation

    $2,700
Building, 39-year$333,700
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $264,900 new × 40% good × 2.25 allocation

    $238,300
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $27,500 new × 40% good × 2.25 allocation

    $24,700
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $28,200 new × 40% good × 2.25 allocation

    $25,400
  • HVACdefault

    $27,500 new × 40% good × 2.25 allocation

    $24,700
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $5,200 new × 40% good × 2.25 allocation

    $4,700
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.25 allocation

    $2,400
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 50% good × 2.25 allocation

    $13,500

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$81,300$28,000$400$109,700
2$0$0$8,600$8,600
3$0$0$8,600$8,600
4$0$0$8,600$8,600
5$0$0$8,600$8,600
6+$0$0$299,100$299,100
Total$81,300$28,000$333,700$443,000

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Rules differ by jurisdiction. City of Redding caps whole-home vacation rentals at 400 with a 600 ft spacing rule (300 ft with a physical buffer), and its permit is NOT transferable to a new owner. Shasta Lake city and unincorporated Shasta County allow permitted rentals with no cap found, but permits also do not transfer on sale. Lodging tax ~10% plus a 2% tourism assessment in Redding. Verify parcel eligibility with the city or county before you buy.