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Rate 8.03% = 7.28% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 1) + 0.75% investor premium

42824 Cedar Ave

42824 Cedar Ave

Big Bear Lake, CA 92315

$542,500

4 bd · 3 ba · Listed 1d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1977

Sqft

—

Lot sqft

5,000

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

Yes

List date

2026-10-06T20:05:26.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$56,818

ADR

$459

Occupancy

34%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$10,587

Confidence

Low (37.33), 47 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$28,314$45,753$61,490

Median revenue of shown comps: $45,042

  • 3BR Family Compound, Walk to Golf, Hiking, Near Zoo, Pet Friendly

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 292 ft

    Revenue $51,233ADR $1,452Occ ≈ 10%5★ (2)

    Booking

  • Club View Cabin with Hot Tub & Game Room

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 351 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $86,012ADR $329Occ ≈ 72%4.8★ (174)

    Airbnb

  • Golf/Ski/Hike/Zoo-Pool Table-Fireplaces-Essentials

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 436 ft

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace
    • +2

    Revenue $47,174ADR $565Occ ≈ 23%3.9★ (11)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 173 - Silvertip Retreat

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $17,640ADR $315Occ ≈ 15%4.5★ (1)

    Booking

  • Cabin with Gameroom | Dogs OK | BBQ | Decks

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $27,204ADR $329Occ ≈ 23%—

    Delisted

  • Cabin with Game Room | Dog-Friendly | BBQ | Decks

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $35,720ADR $279Occ ≈ 35%—

    Delisted

  • Cabin with Gameroom Dogs OK BBQ Decks

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $41,987ADR $309Occ ≈ 37%4.5★ (8)

    Airbnb

  • Lux 4 Bdrm! Central A/C! Hot Tub! Near Bear Mtn!

    House · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $97,162ADR $631Occ ≈ 42%4.8★ (64)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • YellowDeerLodge/GameRoom/AC/Spa/Lake/Ski/petsOk

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +6

    Revenue $36,238ADR $706Occ ≈ 14%5★ (192)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Blue Moonridge Cabin: Arcade/Games/SwimSpa

    House · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +6

    Revenue $49,481ADR $569Occ ≈ 24%4.8★ (85)

    Airbnb

Show 27 more
  • Grizzly Mountain Retreat

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.3 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +2

    Revenue $63,301ADR $517Occ ≈ 34%4.7★ (39)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Moonridge Retreat ~ MTN Summit Views & Game Room

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $10,764ADR $283Occ ≈ 10%5★ (8)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Hot Tub + Game Room w/ Pool Table + Near Slopes

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $36,740ADR $474Occ ≈ 21%4.7★ (13)

    Booking

  • Bear Mountain Chalet w/ views, Hot Tub, and Games!

    Cabin · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $57,018ADR $790Occ ≈ 20%5★ (7)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Moonridge Ski&Zoo Chalet HotTub/4BB/BBQ/Fr Pit/AC*

    Chalet · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $80,274ADR $522Occ ≈ 42%5★ (63)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 4BR Retreat | Central AIr Conditioning | Gameroom

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +4

    Revenue $45,042ADR $353Occ ≈ 35%5★ (104)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Charming Mountain Cabin Near

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $30,166ADR $200Occ ≈ 41%3.2★ (6)

    Airbnb

  • Teddy Bear Chalet: Hot Tub, Game Room, Firepit

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $102,529ADR $488Occ ≈ 58%5★ (78)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 1 min walk to Ski Shuttle/Zoo! Fenced in backyard!

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +6

    Revenue $28,672ADR $295Occ ≈ 27%4.8★ (130)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Bear Mountain Ski Resort 5bd 3ba sleeps 12

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $38,948ADR $477Occ ≈ 22%4.9★ (167)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Fairway to Heaven | Views of Golf Course & Hot Tub

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $50,635ADR $498Occ ≈ 28%5★ (4)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Hot Tub & Game Room: Spacious Big Bear Lake Cabin

    Cabin · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $75,709ADR $538Occ ≈ 39%4★ (18)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Big Cub Cabin Big Bear- Hot Tub- Games- Stargazing

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $125,246ADR $1,320Occ ≈ 26%5★ (15)

    Airbnb

  • Eagles Nest Best Place To Rest with generator

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $60,886ADR $563Occ ≈ 30%4.6★ (12)

    Airbnb

  • Big Bear Hideaway Cabin.

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $3,103ADR $948Occ ≈ 1%1★ (1)

    Delisted

  • Relaxing Big Cub Cabin at Big Bear

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $101,863ADR $1,247Occ ≈ 22%—

    Booking

  • HOT TUB! Garage Parking! Slope Views! Game Table!

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $44,622ADR $374Occ ≈ 33%4.5★ (152)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 4bdr Big bear cabin/hot tub +pool table

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $16,419ADR $328Occ ≈ 14%4.9★ (8)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The Great Escape: Hot Tub! Air Hockey Table!

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $27,240ADR $245Occ ≈ 30%4.4★ (109)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Moonridge Golf Escape | Firepit | Walk to Slopes

    House · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $40,534ADR $625Occ ≈ 18%4.8★ (13)

    Delisted

  • Le Grand Bear, Modern and Spacious Cabin

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +2

    Revenue $8,241ADR $724Occ ≈ 3%5★ (8)

    Airbnb

  • Spacious - New Spa W/ Pool Table

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $24,672ADR $466Occ ≈ 15%4.9★ (47)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Moonridge Chateau • Hot Tub + Game Room • Escape

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $50,635ADR $491Occ ≈ 28%4.9★ (25)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Newly Remodeled! Spa, FencedYard, PetsOK, Igloo!

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $124,929ADR $727Occ ≈ 47%4.9★ (23)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Silvertip Perch: Bear Mountain Views! Hot Tub!

    House · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $52,207ADR $485Occ ≈ 29%4.8★ (34)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Mooncrest Manor: Pet Friendly! Full Game Room!

    House · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.4 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $54,078ADR $470Occ ≈ 32%4.7★ (96)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • State of the Art Mountain Retreat w/ EV Charging

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $42,723ADR $420Occ ≈ 28%5★ (102)

    Airbnb

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.03% = 7.28% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 1) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$56,818

NOI

$27,975

Cash flow /mo

-$663

Cash needed

$157,325

Cash-on-cash

-5.1%

ROE (yr 1)

7.4%

Cap rate

5.2%

DSCR

0.78

Year-1 write-off

$130,543

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$41,774

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$7,954
  • Principal paydown$3,379
  • Appreciation at%$16,275
ROE7.4%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$11,364
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,705
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,841
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$7,780
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$2,767

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$135,625
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$21,700
  • Furnishing (conveyed with the sale)$0

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$41,774

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$436,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$130,000 · 30%

Year-1 deduction

$131,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$42,000

Land 20% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $306,000 over 39 years

Based on: ~2,400 sq ft (from beds), built 1977, 4 bd / 3 ba, furnished, listing features (deck, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $77,000 in year 1 (18% short-life, $25,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$70,000
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $11,100 new × 40% good × 2.22 allocation

    $9,800
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 2.22 allocation

    $8,000
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $4,200 new × 40% good × 2.22 allocation

    $3,700
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 40% good × 2.22 allocation

    $400
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,500 new × 40% good × 2.22 allocation

    $1,300
  • Window coverings (24)default

    $6,000 new × 40% good × 2.22 allocation

    $5,300
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (100% of floors)listing

    $15,400 new × 40% good × 2.22 allocation

    $13,700
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $8,600 new × 40% good × 2.22 allocation

    $7,600
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $5,200 new × 40% good × 2.22 allocation

    $4,600
  • Appliances (range, microwave, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $7,100 new × 40% good × 2.22 allocation

    $6,300
  • Furniture conveyed with the sale (used)listing

    $23,000 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $9,200
15-year land improvements$60,200
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $10,200 new × 50% good × 2.22 allocation

    $11,300
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $9,800 new × 50% good × 2.22 allocation

    $10,800
  • Patiosdefault

    $2,400 new × 50% good × 2.22 allocation

    $2,600
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $27,000 new × 50% good × 2.22 allocation

    $29,900
  • Gazebo / pergolalisting

    $5,000 new × 50% good × 2.22 allocation

    $5,500
Building, 39-year$305,600
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $260,300 new × 40% good × 2.22 allocation

    $230,800
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $27,000 new × 40% good × 2.22 allocation

    $24,000
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $27,700 new × 40% good × 2.22 allocation

    $24,600
  • HVACdefault

    $27,000 new × 40% good × 2.22 allocation

    $24,000
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.22 allocation

    $2,300

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$70,000$60,200$300$130,500
2$0$0$7,800$7,800
3$0$0$7,800$7,800
4$0$0$7,800$7,800
5$0$0$7,800$7,800
6+$0$0$274,000$274,000
Total$70,000$60,200$305,600$435,800

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.