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Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 8) + 0.75% investor premium

14780 Marin Dr

14780 Marin Dr

Redding, CA 96003

$279,900

3 bd · 2 ba · 1,380 sqft · Listed 1d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidence

Year built

2005

Sqft

1,380

Lot sqft

8,276

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-14T19:42:04.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$40,878

ADR

$210

Occupancy

53%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$6,952

Confidence

Low (14.47), 6 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$10,193$37,350$53,987

Median revenue of shown comps: $45,741

  • Romantic Farmhouse 10 min. to Shasta Lake .

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 5.4 mi

    Revenue $544ADR $272Occ ≈ 1%4.5★ (6)

    Airbnb

  • Hot Tub, Dog-Friendly Yard! 3-Acre Redding Retreat

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 5.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +3

    Revenue $45,741ADR $239Occ ≈ 52%4.7★ (22)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Redding Retreat Ranch

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 5.6 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +3

    Revenue $78,626ADR $517Occ ≈ 42%4.9★ (224)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Beautiful Country House.

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 6.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $56,735ADR $291Occ ≈ 53%4.8★ (152)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Hot Tub, Game Room, Playset & Fire Pits!

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 6.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +6

    Revenue $3,937ADR $328Occ ≈ 3%5★ (1)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 8) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$40,878

NOI

$20,516

Cash flow /mo

$147

Cash needed

$100,671

Cash-on-cash

1.8%

ROE (yr 1)

11.8%

Cap rate

7.3%

DSCR

1.09

Year-1 write-off

$78,062

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$24,980

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)$1,767
  • Principal paydown$1,702
  • Appreciation at%$8,397
ROE11.8%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$8,176
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,226
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,044
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$3,682
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$1,637

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$69,975
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$11,196
  • Furnishing (bought new)$19,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$24,980

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$238,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$58,000 · 25%

Year-1 deduction

$78,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$25,000

Land 15% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $180,000 over 39 years · new furniture $20,000

Based on: 1,380 sq ft, built 2005, 3 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (deck, fence, fireplace, flooring types, septic).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $56,000 in year 1 (15% short-life, $18,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$51,200

  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $8,800 new × 40% good × 1.40 allocation

    $5,000

  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $7,200 new × 40% good × 1.40 allocation

    $4,100

  • Decorative trimdefault

    $2,400 new × 40% good × 1.40 allocation

    $1,400

  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 1.40 allocation

    $200

  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 1.40 allocation

    $700

  • Window coverings (14)default

    $3,500 new × 40% good × 1.40 allocation

    $2,000

  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (100% of floors)listing

    $8,900 new × 40% good × 1.40 allocation

    $5,000

  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $6,900 new × 58% good × 1.40 allocation

    $5,600

  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,200 new × 58% good × 1.40 allocation

    $3,400

  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 1.40 allocation

    $4,500

  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
15-year land improvements$26,700

  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $7,700 new × 50% good × 1.40 allocation

    $5,400

  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $7,400 new × 50% good × 1.40 allocation

    $5,200

  • Patiosdefault

    $1,400 new × 50% good × 1.40 allocation

    $1,000

  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $15,500 new × 50% good × 1.40 allocation

    $10,900

  • Fencinglisting

    $6,000 new × 50% good × 1.40 allocation

    $4,200
Building, 39-year$179,500

  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $149,300 new × 65% good × 1.40 allocation

    $136,300

  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $15,500 new × 58% good × 1.40 allocation

    $12,600

  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $14,800 new × 58% good × 1.40 allocation

    $12,000

  • HVACdefault

    $15,500 new × 40% good × 1.40 allocation

    $8,700

  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 1.40 allocation

    $1,500

  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 50% good × 1.40 allocation

    $8,400

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$51,200$26,700$200$78,100
2$0$0$4,600$4,600
3$0$0$4,600$4,600
4$0$0$4,600$4,600
5$0$0$4,600$4,600
6+$0$0$160,900$160,900
Total$51,200$26,700$179,500$257,400

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Rules differ by jurisdiction. City of Redding caps whole-home vacation rentals at 400 with a 600 ft spacing rule (300 ft with a physical buffer), and its permit is NOT transferable to a new owner. Shasta Lake city and unincorporated Shasta County allow permitted rentals with no cap found, but permits also do not transfer on sale. Lodging tax ~10% plus a 2% tourism assessment in Redding. Verify parcel eligibility with the city or county before you buy.