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Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

19754 Solus Campground Rd

19754 Solus Campground Rd

Lakehead, CA 96051

$724,700

4 bd · 3 ba · 2,636 sqft · Listed 6d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1972

Sqft

2,636

Lot sqft

108,900

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-11-06T23:29:23.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$58,913

ADR

$454

Occupancy

36%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$8,543

Confidence

Med (59.71), 7 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$44,025$55,195$69,432

Few similar-size comps were found, so all comps are shown.

Median revenue of shown comps: $55,195

  • Shasta Lake Log Cabin: Hot tub & Pool

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 161 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $64,411ADR $459Occ ≈ 38%5★ (224)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Relaxing Lake Retreat • Pool • Hot Tub • Game Room

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 404 ft

    Revenue $50,136ADR $554Occ ≈ 25%5★ (26)

    Delisted

  • Private Oasis with amazing views

    Chalet · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 14 · 482 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $74,452ADR $696Occ ≈ 29%4.8★ (23)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Lower Salt Creek Cabin

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 15 · 1.1 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $20,169ADR $441Occ ≈ 13%5★ (16)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Beautiful Cabin at Lakehead

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 12 · 1.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $37,914ADR $466Occ ≈ 22%4.7★ (95)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Private Cabin w/ Forest Views & Grill in Lakehead!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 1.8 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $55,195ADR $259Occ ≈ 58%4.3★ (48)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Wonderland: Alice-Themed, Hot Tub, Lake & Forest

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 13 · 1.9 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +6

    Revenue $86,895ADR $476Occ ≈ 50%4.8★ (119)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$58,913

NOI

$26,006

Cash flow /mo

-$1,795

Cash needed

$233,163

Cash-on-cash

-9.2%

ROE (yr 1)

2.1%

Cap rate

3.6%

DSCR

0.55

Year-1 write-off

$251,470

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$80,470

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$21,534
  • Principal paydown$4,604
  • Appreciation at%$21,741
ROE2.1%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$11,783
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,767
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,946
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$9,059
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$4,239

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$181,175
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$28,988
  • Furnishing (bought new)$23,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$80,470

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$634,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$228,000 · 36%

Year-1 deduction

$251,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$80,000

Land 13% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $405,000 over 39 years · new furniture $23,000

Based on: 2,636 sq ft, built 1972, 4 bd / 3 ba, unfurnished, listing features (hot tub, pool, deck, fireplace, flooring types, septic).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $186,000 in year 1 (26% short-life, $59,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$101,100
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $11,600 new × 40% good × 2.54 allocation

    $11,800
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $9,500 new × 40% good × 2.54 allocation

    $9,600
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $4,600 new × 40% good × 2.54 allocation

    $4,700
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 40% good × 2.54 allocation

    $500
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,500 new × 40% good × 2.54 allocation

    $1,500
  • Window coverings (26)default

    $6,500 new × 40% good × 2.54 allocation

    $6,600
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (67% of floors)listing

    $11,300 new × 40% good × 2.54 allocation

    $11,500
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 2.54 allocation

    $9,100
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $5,400 new × 40% good × 2.54 allocation

    $5,500
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 2.54 allocation

    $8,200
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 2.54 allocation

    $9,100
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $23,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $23,000
15-year land improvements$149,900
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $10,600 new × 50% good × 2.54 allocation

    $13,500
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $10,200 new × 50% good × 2.54 allocation

    $13,000
  • Patiosdefault

    $2,600 new × 50% good × 2.54 allocation

    $3,300
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $29,700 new × 50% good × 2.54 allocation

    $37,600
  • Pool (in-ground)listing

    $65,000 new × 50% good × 2.54 allocation

    $82,500
Building, 39-year$405,500
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $286,100 new × 40% good × 2.54 allocation

    $290,400
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $29,700 new × 40% good × 2.54 allocation

    $30,200
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $30,700 new × 40% good × 2.54 allocation

    $31,100
  • HVACdefault

    $29,700 new × 40% good × 2.54 allocation

    $30,100
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $5,700 new × 40% good × 2.54 allocation

    $5,700
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.54 allocation

    $2,700
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 50% good × 2.54 allocation

    $15,200

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$101,100$149,900$400$251,500
2$0$0$10,400$10,400
3$0$0$10,400$10,400
4$0$0$10,400$10,400
5$0$0$10,400$10,400
6+$0$0$363,400$363,400
Total$101,100$149,900$405,500$656,500

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Rules differ by jurisdiction. City of Redding caps whole-home vacation rentals at 400 with a 600 ft spacing rule (300 ft with a physical buffer), and its permit is NOT transferable to a new owner. Shasta Lake city and unincorporated Shasta County allow permitted rentals with no cap found, but permits also do not transfer on sale. Lodging tax ~10% plus a 2% tourism assessment in Redding. Verify parcel eligibility with the city or county before you buy.