39207 Robin Rd
Big Bear Lake, CA 92315
$519,000
2 bd · 2 ba · 905 sqft · Listed today
View on Realtor.com →Year built
1971
Sqft
905
Lot sqft
8,342
HOA / mo
$0
Furnished
No
List date
2026-10-03T00:34:22.000000Z
Revenue
Annual revenue
$22,821
ADR
$186
Occupancy
34%
Cleaning fees (12 mo)
$5,057
Confidence
Low (48.37), 48 comps
Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)
Median revenue of shown comps: $21,593
Modern Cabin that sleeps 6: Hot Tub, Firepit, BBQ
Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi
Revenue $8,269ADR $226Occ ≈ 10%5★ (6)
Modern Cabin that sleeps 6: Hot Tub, Firepit, BBQ
Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi
Revenue $337ADR $168Occ ≈ 1%—
Nostalgic midcentury log cabin with hot tub more
House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi
Revenue $16,214ADR $231Occ ≈ 19%—
Boulder Bay Getaway
Vacation home · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi
Revenue $35,914ADR $226Occ ≈ 44%4★ (1)
| Listing | Size | Revenue (12 mo) | ADR | Occ ≈ | Rating | Distance | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timber Pines Chalet Retreat Cottage w/ Hot Tub Cabin | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 | $27,220 | $331 | 23% | 4.5★ (19) | 449 ft | AirbnbVrboBooking |
2 Fireplaces, Deck, Barbecue, Fenced Yard Cabin | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 | $15,440 | $313 | 14% | 4★ (43) | 0.1 mi | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Modern Cabin that sleeps 6: Hot Tub, Firepit, BBQ Cabin | 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 | $8,269 | $226 | 10% | 5★ (6) | 0.1 mi | Airbnb |
Modern Cabin that sleeps 6: Hot Tub, Firepit, BBQ Cabin | 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 | $337 | $168 | 1% | — | 0.1 mi | Vrbo |
Nostalgic vibe with modern amenities in midcentury log cabin with hot tub + more House | 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 | $7,035 | $294 | 7% | — | 0.1 mi | VrboBooking |
Relaxing Cabin w/ Peek-a-Boo Lake View Cabin | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 | $24,171 | $300 | 22% | 4.2★ (5) | 0.1 mi | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Nostalgic midcentury log cabin with hot tub more House | 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 | $28,397 | $314 | 25% | 4.2★ (28) | 0.1 mi | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Nostalgic midcentury log cabin with hot tub more House | 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 | $16,214 | $231 | 19% | — | 0.1 mi | Vrbo |
Boulder Bay Mountain View Getaway, Large Deck & AC Cabin | 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 | $26,162 | $192 | 37% | 5★ (83) | 0.1 mi | AirbnbVrbo |
Boulder Bay Getaway Vacation home | 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 | $35,914 | $226 | 44% | 4★ (1) | 0.1 mi | Booking |
Show 37 more
Blissful Bay Cabin
Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi
Revenue $23,214ADR $257Occ ≈ 25%5★ (2)
Bayview Cottage-Studio McGee inspired near lake
House · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi
Revenue $46,330ADR $290Occ ≈ 44%5★ (72)
The Cozy Cottage Condo - Jacuzzi/3mi to slopes
Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi
Revenue $23,212ADR $246Occ ≈ 26%4.9★ (215)
Blue Jay Getaway #2082 by Big Bear Vacations
Apartment · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi
Revenue $9,922ADR $553Occ ≈ 5%—
Family Fireplace Cabin
Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi
Revenue $19,193ADR $198Occ ≈ 27%3.5★ (6)
Casita Condo | Jacuzzi | 3mi to slopes
Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi
Revenue $32,378ADR $216Occ ≈ 41%5★ (198)
Bearadise condo/free EV charge/lake beach/pool/spa
Apartment · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi
Revenue $29,452ADR $128Occ ≈ 63%5★ (42)
Lakeside Lumberjack Lodge - Condo *Pool/Jacuzzi*
Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi
Revenue $27,300ADR $165Occ ≈ 45%4.9★ (229)
Lake Loft+2 Bed Big Bear Lake 2ba Boulder Bay
Cabin · 2 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi
Revenue $16,038ADR $59Occ ≈ 74%4★ (3)
Two bedroom rustic cabin #10
Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi
Revenue $26,120ADR $87Occ ≈ 82%4.5★ (122)
Modern Farmhouse Condo steps from Lake | Jacuzzi
Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi
Revenue $27,537ADR $203Occ ≈ 37%4.9★ (374)
Condo in Boulder Bay, 3 miles to village, Lakeview
Townhouse · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi
Revenue $4,150ADR $227Occ ≈ 5%4.8★ (42)
Lakeside Condo 2B/2B - Jacuzzi, 3mi to slopes
Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi
Revenue $21,593ADR $221Occ ≈ 27%4.9★ (387)
Two bed room family cabin with no fireplace.
Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi
Revenue $24,881ADR $417Occ ≈ 16%4★ (1)
Cozy mountain haven with spa, game room, close to all Big Bear Lake attractions!
Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.4 mi
Revenue $2,760ADR $230Occ ≈ 3%—
| Listing | Size | Revenue (12 mo) | ADR | Occ ≈ | Rating | Distance | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Magical Boulder Bay Cottage Near Lake & Trails Cabin | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 | $37,433 | $227 | 45% | 4.5★ (26) | 0.2 mi | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Big Bear Cabin w/ Large Fenced Yard & Fire Pit Cabin | 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 | $17,862 | $227 | 22% | 4.7★ (26) | 0.2 mi | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Retro Mountain Condo w/ Lake Views & Pool Condominium (condo) | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 | $36,022 | $167 | 59% | 4.5★ (4) | 0.2 mi | AirbnbBooking |
Mary's Lake Cabin: Near Lake and Boulder Bay Park! House | 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 7 | $28,769 | $236 | 33% | 4.3★ (60) | 0.2 mi | AirbnbVrbo |
2BR Blissful Lake View Cabin - Block 2 Boulder Bay Cabin | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 | $20,973 | $231 | 25% | 5★ (30) | 0.2 mi | AirbnbVrbo |
Blissful Bay Cabin Vacation home | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 | $23,214 | $257 | 25% | 5★ (2) | 0.2 mi | Booking |
Bayview Cottage-Studio McGee inspired near lake House | 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 | $46,330 | $290 | 44% | 5★ (72) | 0.2 mi | Airbnb |
Lake View+Game Room! Fire Pit! Walk to Boulder Bay Cabin | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 | $21,350 | $415 | 14% | 5★ (7) | 0.2 mi | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Lakefront Luxury Home - Sauna, Hot Tub, Fire Pit House | 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 | $27,290 | $762 | 10% | 5★ (4) | 0.2 mi | AirbnbVrbo |
2 Bedroom Cndo Big Bear Lake Boulder Bay 2ba 大雄湖月租 Condominium (condo) | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 | $13,933 | $61 | 63% | 4.8★ (99) | 0.2 mi | AirbnbVrbo |
Lakefront! New Renovations! Hot Tub Views - LFH Cabin | 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 | $47,341 | $542 | 24% | 4.1★ (104) | 0.2 mi | AirbnbVrboBooking |
The Cozy Cottage Condo - Jacuzzi/3mi to slopes Condominium (condo) | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 | $23,212 | $246 | 26% | 4.9★ (215) | 0.2 mi | Airbnb |
Lakeside Gem: Walk to Park w/ Hot Tub & Fireplace Condominium (condo) | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 | $12,607 | $264 | 13% | 3.9★ (41) | 0.2 mi | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Blue Jay Getaway #2082 by Big Bear Vacations Apartment | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 | $9,922 | $553 | 5% | — | 0.3 mi | Booking |
The best memories are made here. Condominium (condo) | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 | $22,634 | $245 | 25% | 4.9★ (51) | 0.3 mi | AirbnbVrbo |
Family Fireplace Cabin Cabin | 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 | $19,193 | $198 | 27% | 3.5★ (6) | 0.3 mi | Airbnb |
Next to Lake. Close to Village and Slopes. BBQ. Condominium (condo) | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 | $22,852 | $214 | 29% | 4.8★ (233) | 0.3 mi | AirbnbVrbo |
Casita Condo | Jacuzzi | 3mi to slopes Condominium (condo) | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 | $32,378 | $216 | 41% | 5★ (198) | 0.3 mi | Airbnb |
Bearadise condo/free EV charge/lake beach/pool/spa Apartment | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 | $29,452 | $128 | 63% | 5★ (42) | 0.3 mi | Airbnb |
Steps to Boulder Bay & 4.3 miles to Snow Summit Condominium (condo) | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 | $19,916 | $227 | 24% | 5★ (27) | 0.3 mi | AirbnbVrbo |
Lakeside Haven: Walk to Park w/ Pool & Hot Tub Condominium (condo) | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 | $8,211 | $159 | 14% | 4.4★ (22) | 0.3 mi | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Lakeside Lumberjack Lodge - Condo *Pool/Jacuzzi* Condominium (condo) | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 | $27,300 | $165 | 45% | 4.9★ (229) | 0.3 mi | Airbnb |
Blue Jay Lakeside Condo*Pool & Spa*Walk to Lake* Condominium (condo) | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 | $9,730 | $272 | 10% | 4★ (24) | 0.3 mi | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Lake Loft+2 Bed Big Bear Lake 2ba Boulder Bay Cabin | 2 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 5 | $16,038 | $59 | 74% | 4★ (3) | 0.3 mi | Airbnb |
Two bedroom rustic cabin #10 Cabin | 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 | $26,120 | $87 | 82% | 4.5★ (122) | 0.3 mi | Airbnb |
Charming Condo W/ Pool, Hot Tub & Pet Friendly Condominium (condo) | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 | $20,793 | $237 | 24% | 4.8★ (51) | 0.3 mi | AirbnbVrboBooking |
 Modern Farmhouse Condo steps from Lake | Jacuzzi Condominium (condo) | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 | $27,537 | $203 | 37% | 4.9★ (374) | 0.3 mi | Airbnb |
Lakefront Complex + Heated Pool + Walk to Lake Condominium (condo) | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 | $10,209 | $304 | 9% | 4.6★ (23) | 0.3 mi | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Condo in Boulder Bay, 3 miles to village, Lakeview Townhouse | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 | $4,150 | $227 | 5% | 4.8★ (42) | 0.3 mi | Airbnb |
Steps to Lake. Close to Village and Spa. Pool/Spa Condominium (condo) | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 | $26,682 | $192 | 38% | 4.8★ (339) | 0.3 mi | AirbnbVrbo |
Mountain Charm! Condo Steps from Boulder Bay Condominium (condo) | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 | $2,978 | $221 | 4% | 3.7★ (6) | 0.3 mi | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Boulder Bay Condo w/ Heated Pool & Views Condominium (condo) | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 | $20,056 | $278 | 20% | 4.2★ (8) | 0.3 mi | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Lakeside Condo 2B/2B - Jacuzzi, 3mi to slopes Condominium (condo) | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 | $21,593 | $221 | 27% | 4.9★ (387) | 0.3 mi | Airbnb |
Walk to Lake, Hot Tub, Fenced Yard, Pet Friendly Cabin | 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 | $4,197 | $269 | 4% | 4.4★ (16) | 0.3 mi | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Boulder Bay Fun Retreat, Steps to the Lake & SPA Condominium (condo) | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 | $28,303 | $178 | 44% | 4.9★ (133) | 0.3 mi | AirbnbVrbo |
Two bed room family cabin with no fireplace. Cabin | 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 | $24,881 | $417 | 16% | 4★ (1) | 0.3 mi | Airbnb |
Cozy mountain haven with spa, game room, close to all Big Bear Lake attractions! Cabin | 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 | $2,760 | $230 | 3% | — | 0.4 mi | Vrbo |
Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.
Cash flow calculator
Rate 8.03% = 7.28% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 1) + 0.75% investor premium
Est. revenue
$22,821
NOI
$3,875
Cash flow /mo
-$2,541
Cash needed
$166,510
Cash-on-cash
-18.3%
ROE (yr 1)
-7.0%
Cap rate
0.7%
DSCR
0.11
Year-1 write-off
$143,214
Year-1 tax shield @ 32%
$45,829
Year-1 return on equity
- Cash flow (annual)-$30,497
- Principal paydown$3,232
- Appreciation at%$15,570
Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown
Annual operating expenses
- Management (20% of revenue)$4,564
- Platform fees (3% of revenue)$685
- Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,141
- Utilities & supplies$4,200
- HOA$0
- Property tax$6,488
- Insurance (STR-rated)$2,647
Cash needed to close
- Down payment (25%)$129,750
- Closing costs (4.0%)$20,760
- Furnishing (bought new)$16,000
Tax savings if the STR loophole applies
- Tax shield @ 32%$45,829
Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).
The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.
Cost segregation estimate
An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.
Depreciable basis
$352,000
Short-life (5/15-yr)
$127,000 · 36%
Year-1 deduction
$143,000
Year-1 tax shield @ 32%
$46,000
Land 32% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $225,000 over 39 years · new furniture $16,000
Based on: 905 sq ft, built 1971, 2 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (patio, fence, fireplace, stone counters, flooring types, appliance list).
Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →
IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $111,000 in year 1 (27% short-life, $35,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.
- $13,000
Kitchen cabinetsdefault
$7,800 new × 40% good × 4.16 allocation
- $13,300
Kitchen countertops (stone)listing
$8,000 new × 40% good × 4.16 allocation
- $2,600
Decorative trimdefault
$1,600 new × 40% good × 4.16 allocation
- $500
Mirrorsdefault
$300 new × 40% good × 4.16 allocation
- $1,500
Shelvingdefault
$900 new × 40% good × 4.16 allocation
- $3,700
Window coverings (9)default
$2,300 new × 40% good × 4.16 allocation
- $10,100
Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault
$6,100 new × 40% good × 4.16 allocation
- $6,100
Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault
$3,700 new × 40% good × 4.16 allocation
- $10,200
Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator)listing
$6,100 new × 40% good × 4.16 allocation
- $16,000
Furniture bought newlisting
$16,000 new × 100% good · bought separately
- $13,000
Paving: driveway & walks (paved)listing
$6,200 new × 50% good × 4.16 allocation
- $12,500
Landscaping (typical)default
$6,000 new × 50% good × 4.16 allocation
- $8,500
Patioslisting
$4,100 new × 50% good × 4.16 allocation
- $7,300
Irrigationlisting
$3,500 new × 50% good × 4.16 allocation
- $1,900
Decks & porches (attached)default
$900 new × 50% good × 4.16 allocation
- $12,500
Fencinglisting
$6,000 new × 50% good × 4.16 allocation
- $10,400
Gazebo / pergolalisting
$5,000 new × 50% good × 4.16 allocation
- $162,700
Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault
$97,700 new × 40% good × 4.16 allocation
- $16,800
Building plumbing & fixturesdefault
$10,100 new × 40% good × 4.16 allocation
- $14,600
Building electrical & lightingdefault
$8,700 new × 40% good × 4.16 allocation
- $17,000
HVACdefault
$10,200 new × 40% good × 4.16 allocation
- $9,700
Hardwood & tile floorsdefault
$5,800 new × 40% good × 4.16 allocation
- $4,400
Fireplacelisting
$2,600 new × 40% good × 4.16 allocation
About the property
Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study
| Year | 5-yr | 15-yr | Building | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $77,000 | $66,000 | $200 | $143,200 |
| 2 | $0 | $0 | $5,800 | $5,800 |
| 3 | $0 | $0 | $5,800 | $5,800 |
| 4 | $0 | $0 | $5,800 | $5,800 |
| 5 | $0 | $0 | $5,800 | $5,800 |
| 6+ | $0 | $0 | $201,900 | $201,900 |
| Total | $77,000 | $66,000 | $225,200 | $368,200 |
The building's share of the price ($352,000) is 4.2x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($85,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.
Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.
Market note
Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.