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Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 15) + 0.75% investor premium

39196 Starview Ln

39196 Starview Ln

Big Bear Lake, CA 92315

$650,000

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,584 sqft · Listed today

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1971

Sqft

1,584

Lot sqft

8,398

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-17T02:13:42.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$55,543

ADR

$433

Occupancy

35%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$9,956

Confidence

Low (28.6), 49 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$26,523$45,024$59,676

Median revenue of shown comps: $50,833

  • Pool Table! Lake views! Flat Fenced Yard+Foosball!

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $98,644ADR $908Occ ≈ 30%3.6★ (3)

    Airbnb

  • Steps to Lake • Pool Table | Lakeside in Bearadise

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    • A/C
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $28,506ADR $458Occ ≈ 17%4.5★ (30)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • ✦Modern Lakeview Cabin @Big Bear | Hot Tub | BBQ ✦

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $126,602ADR $599Occ ≈ 58%4.8★ (201)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Lakeview Haven- Game Room + Spa Walk to the Marina

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $49,517ADR $990Occ ≈ 14%4★ (5)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Lakeview Haven- Luxury Retreat

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $46,677ADR $566Occ ≈ 23%5★ (1)

    Booking

  • Beautiful rustic abode with private hot tub, BBQ, yard, pool table and more!

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $16,268ADR $411Occ ≈ 11%3★ (1)

    Delisted

  • Beautiful rustic abode with private hot tub, BBQ, yard, pool table and more!

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $8,279ADR $517Occ ≈ 4%5★ (1)

    Delisted

  • Rustic Ridge | Gated, Jacuzzi, Pool Table, Village

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $26,523ADR $389Occ ≈ 19%4.8★ (12)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Lake View, Game Room, Hot Tub

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $79,816ADR $706Occ ≈ 31%4.7★ (17)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Waterview Lodge. New Addition. Spa. Lake views.

    House · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +3

    Revenue $40,063ADR $670Occ ≈ 16%4.8★ (28)

    AirbnbVrbo

Show 21 more
  • Bay Views-7mins walk to lake-SPA & BBQ-Home Cinema

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $58,764ADR $630Occ ≈ 26%5★ (191)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Crystal Pines #2605

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $30,357ADR $563Occ ≈ 15%—

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Family Fun Cozy Cabin Game Room Foosball Near Lake

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $28,706ADR $726Occ ≈ 11%3.5★ (2)

    Delisted

  • Willow Retro Fun - Spa, Games, Photo Booth, AC

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $24,121ADR $346Occ ≈ 19%4.8★ (9)

    Delisted

  • NEW! Boulder Bay Cabin Retreat

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $2,834ADR $354Occ ≈ 2%4.4★ (22)

    Airbnb

  • Designer Cabin - 3 min walk to Lake & Private Dock

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +2

    Revenue $39,262ADR $547Occ ≈ 20%5★ (15)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Willow Playhouse | Spa, Games, Photo Booth, AC

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +4

    Revenue $6,818ADR $279Occ ≈ 7%5★ (3)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Rustic abode with spa BBQ yard and pool table

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $59,676ADR $559Occ ≈ 29%4.4★ (20)

    AirbnbBooking

  • 5-Star Lakefront Cabin FIRE PIT Game Room! LE

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $115,201ADR $929Occ ≈ 34%5★ (39)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 4BR Lakefront Vibes Getaway | Dock, Spa & Games

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $151,600ADR $769Occ ≈ 54%5★ (31)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Boulder Landing|EV Charger, Private Dock, Hot Tub!

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $52,324ADR $558Occ ≈ 26%5★ (19)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The Black Cormorant | On the Lake

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $119,774ADR $1,133Occ ≈ 29%5★ (21)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • LAKEfront HOT TUB Views! BEST lake location LRN

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $82,585ADR $640Occ ≈ 35%4.3★ (129)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Lakefront Raccoon's Nest - On the Lake

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $52,096ADR $599Occ ≈ 24%5★ (1)

    Booking

  • Near the Lake!Breathtaking Views! Hot Tub!

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $124,254ADR $842Occ ≈ 40%4.9★ (46)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Boulder Bay Villa: Luxury Lakefront! Views! BBQ!

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $54,352ADR $1,292Occ ≈ 12%—

    Airbnb

  • Pet Friendly! Hot Tub! Outdoor Oasis! Firepit!

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $74,723ADR $684Occ ≈ 30%5★ (43)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Unwind in a Serene Mountain Lodge with Lake Views!

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $40,470ADR $399Occ ≈ 28%4.8★ (210)

    Airbnb

  • NEW! Pine Cabin Getaway by the Lake - Now with SPA

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $29,204ADR $535Occ ≈ 15%4.8★ (77)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Moab Cozy Lane + Hot-tub & Game Room w/ Pool Table

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $50,833ADR $489Occ ≈ 28%4.8★ (26)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Inspiration Point Retreat- Boat Dock + Game Room

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $97,259ADR $659Occ ≈ 40%4★ (10)

    AirbnbBooking

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 15) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$55,543

NOI

$25,326

Cash flow /mo

-$1,518

Cash needed

$217,500

Cash-on-cash

-8.4%

ROE (yr 1)

2.4%

Cap rate

3.9%

DSCR

0.58

Year-1 write-off

$167,867

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$53,718

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$18,213
  • Principal paydown$3,953
  • Appreciation at%$19,500
ROE2.4%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$11,109
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,666
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,777
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$8,125
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$3,315

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$162,500
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$26,000
  • Furnishing (bought new)$29,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$53,718

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$477,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$139,000 · 29%

Year-1 deduction

$168,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$54,000

Land 27% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $339,000 over 39 years · new furniture $29,000

Based on: 1,584 sq ft, built 1971, 4 bd / 2.5 ba, unfurnished, listing features (deck, patio, game room, fireplace, appliance list).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $104,000 in year 1 (16% short-life, $33,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$92,800
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $9,300 new × 40% good × 3.63 allocation

    $13,500
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $7,600 new × 40% good × 3.63 allocation

    $11,000
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $2,800 new × 40% good × 3.63 allocation

    $4,000
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 3.63 allocation

    $400
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,500 new × 40% good × 3.63 allocation

    $2,200
  • Window coverings (16)default

    $4,000 new × 40% good × 3.63 allocation

    $5,800
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)default

    $4,100 new × 40% good × 3.63 allocation

    $5,900
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,200 new × 40% good × 3.63 allocation

    $10,500
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,400 new × 40% good × 3.63 allocation

    $6,300
  • Appliances (range, dishwasher)listing

    $2,800 new × 40% good × 3.63 allocation

    $4,100
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $23,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $23,000
  • Game-room equipment bought newlisting

    $6,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $6,000
15-year land improvements$74,700
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $8,300 new × 50% good × 3.63 allocation

    $15,000
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $7,900 new × 50% good × 3.63 allocation

    $14,400
  • Patioslisting

    $7,100 new × 50% good × 3.63 allocation

    $12,900
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $17,800 new × 50% good × 3.63 allocation

    $32,400
Building, 39-year$338,600
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $171,300 new × 40% good × 3.63 allocation

    $248,900
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $17,800 new × 40% good × 3.63 allocation

    $25,900
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $17,400 new × 40% good × 3.63 allocation

    $25,200
  • HVACdefault

    $17,800 new × 40% good × 3.63 allocation

    $25,900
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $6,100 new × 40% good × 3.63 allocation

    $8,900
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 3.63 allocation

    $3,800

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$92,800$74,700$400$167,900
2$0$0$8,700$8,700
3$0$0$8,700$8,700
4$0$0$8,700$8,700
5$0$0$8,700$8,700
6+$0$0$303,600$303,600
Total$92,800$74,700$338,600$506,200

The building's share of the price ($477,000) is 3.6x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($131,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.