STR Yield
← Back to deals

Rate 7.99% = 7.24% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 29) + 0.75% investor premium

40270 Narrow Ln

40270 Narrow Ln

Big Bear Lake, CA 92315

$929,000

4 bd · 2 ba · Listed 1d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1980

Sqft

—

Lot sqft

8,961

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-30T22:03:12.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$62,603

ADR

$465

Occupancy

37%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$10,019

Confidence

Low (25.16), 49 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$22,369$51,182$71,809

Median revenue of shown comps: $53,995

  • Luxury Lakeview Cabin w/ Deck, Fireplace & Views

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 12 · 10 ft

    Revenue $13,853ADR $576Occ ≈ 7%—

    Booking

  • Lake House Charm Close to Village W/Spacious Deck

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 148 ft

    • A/C
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $25,538ADR $278Occ ≈ 25%4.7★ (196)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Big Bear Lake House with Hot Tub and EV Charger

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 154 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $43,162ADR $510Occ ≈ 23%4.8★ (96)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • **LOCATION!!** Lake View, Hot Tub & Game Room

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 240 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +4

    Revenue $76,654ADR $536Occ ≈ 39%5★ (172)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Bearlagio on the Lake with Dock Access

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 266 ft

    Revenue $1,900ADR $323Occ ≈ 2%—

    Booking

  • Lakefront Chalet near Village and Slopes

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 285 ft

    Revenue $167,615ADR $653Occ ≈ 70%4.9★ (174)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy Lakeview Retreat • GameRoom • Walk to Village

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 345 ft

    Revenue $31,968ADR $636Occ ≈ 14%5★ (4)

    Airbnb

  • Lakeview | Game Room | BBQ

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 407 ft

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +2

    Revenue $942ADR $279Occ ≈ 1%5★ (2)

    Airbnb

  • BEAUTIFUL LAKE VIEW, 5min walk to Village!

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 502 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $51,182ADR $462Occ ≈ 30%4.9★ (176)

    Vrbo

  • 1 Mi to Lake: Home w/ Hot Tub & Gazebo in Big Bear

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 515 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $56,808ADR $470Occ ≈ 33%4.5★ (61)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Show 20 more
  • Luxury Lakeview Cabin w/ Deck, Fireplace & Views

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $24,272ADR $437Occ ≈ 15%5★ (13)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Hot Tub + Game Room + Walk to Village

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $24,243ADR $472Occ ≈ 14%5★ (7)

    Airbnb

  • Bear Claw Cabin - Walk to Village Cabin w/ Hot Tub and Game Room

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $58,842ADR $914Occ ≈ 18%4★ (6)

    Booking

  • Cozy cabin w/ hot tub, backyard & BBQ grill

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +6

    Revenue $22,369ADR $586Occ ≈ 10%5★ (245)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Lakefront Village Castle- Foosball- Boat Dock-

    Chalet · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $72,135ADR $921Occ ≈ 21%5★ (2)

    Booking

  • Walk to Village & Lake | Game Room + Yard

    Chalet · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +2

    Revenue $19,323ADR $495Occ ≈ 11%4.6★ (14)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 4BR Lakeview Cabin | Hot Tub • Firepit • Game Room

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $124,147ADR $669Occ ≈ 51%4.9★ (82)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Across from Lake! EV charger/Jacuzzi/ Pool table!

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $63,900ADR $597Occ ≈ 29%5★ (242)

    Airbnb

  • Storybook Summit: Theater, Arcade, Spa, and more!

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $122,659ADR $655Occ ≈ 51%5★ (8)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Lakeview Lookout: Pool & Poker Table! Hot Tub!

    House · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $84,277ADR $625Occ ≈ 37%4.8★ (92)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Big Bear Hideout Retreat+Game Room+Near Village

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $17,908ADR $548Occ ≈ 9%5★ (4)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy Big Bear Hideout Retreat + Game Room

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $68,160ADR $607Occ ≈ 31%4.8★ (79)

    Airbnb

  • Lakefront Pines w/ Hot Tub & Panoramic Views

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $61,738ADR $464Occ ≈ 36%5★ (20)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Walk to Lake & Village | Fireplace, Deck

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.3 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +2

    Revenue $24,616ADR $417Occ ≈ 16%4.8★ (36)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Storybook Summit: Theater, Arcade, Spa, and more!

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +4

    Revenue $134,817ADR $676Occ ≈ 55%4.9★ (12)

    Airbnb

  • Lakefront w/ Dock, Hot Tub, Swingset, & Deck Views

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $100,403ADR $820Occ ≈ 34%4.8★ (98)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Safari lodge Cabin

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $3,300ADR $825Occ ≈ 1%3.8★ (15)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Modoc Cabin at Big Bear Village - Charming Downtown Family Retreat - Foosball - Fireplace - Sun Deck

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $96,142ADR $862Occ ≈ 31%—

    Booking

  • Modoc Cabin at Big Bear Village - Family Retreat

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.3 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $11,562ADR $557Occ ≈ 6%5★ (3)

    Airbnb

  • Walk to Lake, Sand Volleyball+Pool Table | Gambler

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +4

    Revenue $71,809ADR $503Occ ≈ 39%4.8★ (33)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.99% = 7.24% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 29) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$62,603

NOI

$25,917

Cash flow /mo

-$2,948

Cash needed

$298,410

Cash-on-cash

-11.9%

ROE (yr 1)

-0.6%

Cap rate

2.8%

DSCR

0.42

Year-1 write-off

$217,178

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$69,497

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$35,375
  • Principal paydown$5,832
  • Appreciation at%$27,870
ROE-0.6%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$12,521
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,878
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$3,130
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$11,613
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$4,738

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$232,250
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$37,160
  • Furnishing (bought new)$29,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$69,497

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$743,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$188,000 · 25%

Year-1 deduction

$217,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$69,000

Land 20% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $556,000 over 39 years · new furniture $29,000

Based on: ~2,400 sq ft (from beds), built 1980, 4 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (deck, game room, fireplace, flooring types).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $124,000 in year 1 (13% short-life, $40,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$120,900
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $11,100 new × 40% good × 3.88 allocation

    $17,200
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 3.88 allocation

    $14,100
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $4,200 new × 40% good × 3.88 allocation

    $6,500
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 3.88 allocation

    $500
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,500 new × 40% good × 3.88 allocation

    $2,300
  • Window coverings (24)default

    $6,000 new × 40% good × 3.88 allocation

    $9,300
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (33% of floors)listing

    $5,100 new × 40% good × 3.88 allocation

    $8,000
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $8,600 new × 40% good × 3.88 allocation

    $13,400
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $5,200 new × 40% good × 3.88 allocation

    $8,100
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 3.88 allocation

    $12,600
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $23,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $23,000
  • Game-room equipment bought newlisting

    $6,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $6,000
15-year land improvements$95,700
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $10,200 new × 50% good × 3.88 allocation

    $19,700
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $9,800 new × 50% good × 3.88 allocation

    $19,000
  • Patiosdefault

    $2,400 new × 50% good × 3.88 allocation

    $4,600
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $27,000 new × 50% good × 3.88 allocation

    $52,400
Building, 39-year$555,600
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $260,400 new × 40% good × 3.88 allocation

    $404,500
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $27,000 new × 40% good × 3.88 allocation

    $42,000
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $27,700 new × 40% good × 3.88 allocation

    $43,000
  • HVACdefault

    $27,000 new × 40% good × 3.88 allocation

    $42,000
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $10,300 new × 40% good × 3.88 allocation

    $16,000
  • Fireplaces (2)listing

    $5,300 new × 40% good × 3.88 allocation

    $8,200

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$120,900$95,700$600$217,200
2$0$0$14,200$14,200
3$0$0$14,200$14,200
4$0$0$14,200$14,200
5$0$0$14,200$14,200
6+$0$0$498,000$498,000
Total$120,900$95,700$555,600$772,200

The building's share of the price ($743,000) is 3.9x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($191,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.