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Rate 7.86% = 7.11% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 12) + 0.75% investor premium

518 Vista Ln

518 Vista Ln

Big Bear Lake, CA 92315

$374,999

3 bd · 1 ba · Listed 71d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1965

Sqft

—

Lot sqft

5,450

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

Yes

List date

2026-09-03T15:04:01.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$37,271

ADR

$247

Occupancy

41%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$8,345

Confidence

Low (39.83), 50 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$17,650$31,402$43,202

Median revenue of shown comps: $31,402

  • * SNOW BUNNY * Game Room - Hot Tub - Fire Pit

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 167 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $73,129ADR $389Occ ≈ 52%4.9★ (269)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Peek-A-Boo Lake View, Dog Yard, Near Village

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 226 ft

    Revenue $32,283ADR $341Occ ≈ 26%4.9★ (150)

    Delisted

  • Lakewood Timber Lodge/ Peaceful, Private & Serene

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 233 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $47,498ADR $227Occ ≈ 57%5★ (28)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • The Grand Holiday Cottage

    Bungalow · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 240 ft

    Revenue $16,238ADR $397Occ ≈ 11%4.8★ (19)

    Delisted

  • High Altitude Modern Retreat, Game Room & Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 289 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $62,014ADR $363Occ ≈ 47%5★ (45)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Mi Cabaña Big Bear Lake - Comfort and Location!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 289 ft

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +3

    Revenue $33,359ADR $390Occ ≈ 23%4.9★ (49)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Dream Catcher - Massive Deck & Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 331 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $42,621ADR $405Occ ≈ 29%4.7★ (3)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Vista de Oso + Hot-Tub + Blackstone/BBQ!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 502 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $962ADR $270Occ ≈ 1%4.5★ (2)

    Airbnb

  • Big Bear's Casa Oso - Near the Lake & Ski Resorts-

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 512 ft

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +3

    Revenue $19,888ADR $320Occ ≈ 17%4.9★ (13)

    Airbnb

  • Attitude Adjustment

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 525 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $43,395ADR $238Occ ≈ 50%4.8★ (81)

    Airbnb

Show 26 more
  • Hot Tub, Grill & Fire Pit: Cabin in Big Bear Lake

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $44,061ADR $298Occ ≈ 41%4.7★ (22)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Modern Lake Cabin for Family, Friends and Pets!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $17,247ADR $230Occ ≈ 21%4.8★ (45)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Less Than 1 Mi to Big Bear Lake Cabin with Hot Tub

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $26,734ADR $259Occ ≈ 28%4★ (1)

    Booking

  • Family Cabin, Playroom w/ Slide, Walkable, Dog Run

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +4

    Revenue $18,858ADR $303Occ ≈ 17%5★ (17)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy Cabin Full of Fun - Lake,Marina,Village,Slope

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +4

    Revenue $24,189ADR $266Occ ≈ 25%4.7★ (291)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Chateau Wonderland-0.9 mi-Village♦️walk to lake✨SPA

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $34,290ADR $415Occ ≈ 23%5★ (198)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Happy Lake Cottage: Lake Views and Rustic Charm!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $50,049ADR $247Occ ≈ 56%4.6★ (132)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy Bear Cabin- 3bed-2bath w/ Spa

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $16,472ADR $705Occ ≈ 6%4.7★ (88)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Take a Break Big Bear Lake

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $3,719ADR $192Occ ≈ 5%5★ (1)

    Delisted

  • Highland Cabin Jacuzzi Close To Slopes & Village

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $7,383ADR $149Occ ≈ 14%3.5★ (2)

    Booking

  • Cozy Modern Cabin Close To Slopes/Village

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $23,906ADR $211Occ ≈ 31%4.5★ (63)

    Airbnb

  • Cavern Cabin • AC • Renovated Rustic Modern

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +4

    Revenue $41,954ADR $309Occ ≈ 37%4.7★ (143)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Pine Nest Relaxing Walk to Marina Cozy Chalet

    Chalet · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $9,984ADR $221Occ ≈ 12%4★ (3)

    Booking

  • Happy Bear Cabin - Minutes to Village!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $15,590ADR $316Occ ≈ 14%4.3★ (16)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Bear Hug Cabin- Arcade Game! Centrally Located!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $26,688ADR $286Occ ≈ 26%5★ (38)

    Airbnb

  • Mountain Cabin Walk to Village, Hot Tub & Games

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $42,399ADR $379Occ ≈ 31%4.6★ (10)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Bearadise ~ Enchanted Dream ~ Mountain Escape

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $60,377ADR $249Occ ≈ 66%5★ (83)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy Bear Cabin

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $36,308ADR $245Occ ≈ 41%4.8★ (13)

    Delisted

  • New Cozy Cabin -close to lake and Village!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $37,760ADR $265Occ ≈ 39%4.9★ (151)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Decked Out Lake House ~ Near Village and Lake

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $19,771ADR $477Occ ≈ 11%5★ (41)

    Delisted

  • Green Squirrel Chateau w/ Pool Table + Games

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $30,521ADR $689Occ ≈ 12%4.2★ (7)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Green Squirrel Chateau by Big Bear Vacations

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $37,166ADR $711Occ ≈ 14%2.8★ (2)

    Booking

  • Dream Street Retreat - lake, village, trails, more

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $36,346ADR $189Occ ≈ 53%4.9★ (148)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Family Fun close to hiking trails and lake

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +4

    Revenue $22,402ADR $221Occ ≈ 28%5★ (67)

    Airbnb

  • Kelley's Kabin Downtown Retreat w/ Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $19,503ADR $457Occ ≈ 12%3.3★ (10)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Kelley's Kabin-290 by Big Bear Vacations

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $32,919ADR $492Occ ≈ 18%—

    Booking

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.86% = 7.11% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 12) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$37,271

NOI

$16,598

Cash flow /mo

-$653

Cash needed

$108,750

Cash-on-cash

-7.2%

ROE (yr 1)

5.4%

Cap rate

4.4%

DSCR

0.68

Year-1 write-off

$95,863

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$30,676

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$7,838
  • Principal paydown$2,415
  • Appreciation at%$11,250
ROE5.4%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$7,454
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,118
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,864
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$4,687
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$1,912

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$93,750
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$15,000
  • Furnishing (conveyed with the sale)$0

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$30,676

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$302,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$95,000 · 32%

Year-1 deduction

$96,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$31,000

Land 20% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $206,000 over 39 years

Based on: ~1,900 sq ft (from beds), built 1965, 3 bd / 1 ba, furnished, listing features (deck, fence, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $59,000 in year 1 (19% short-life, $19,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$50,800
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,000 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $7,500
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $8,200 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $6,200
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,300 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $2,500
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $200 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $100
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $900
  • Window coverings (19)default

    $4,800 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $3,600
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (100% of floors)listing

    $12,200 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $9,200
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,800 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $5,900
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,700 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $3,500
  • Appliances (range, microwave, refrigerator)listing

    $4,700 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $3,600
  • Furniture conveyed with the sale (used)listing

    $19,500 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $7,800
15-year land improvements$44,400
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $9,000 new × 50% good × 1.89 allocation

    $8,500
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $8,700 new × 50% good × 1.89 allocation

    $8,200
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,900 new × 50% good × 1.89 allocation

    $1,800
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $21,400 new × 50% good × 1.89 allocation

    $20,200
  • Fencinglisting

    $6,000 new × 50% good × 1.89 allocation

    $5,700
Building, 39-year$206,400
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $206,300 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $155,900
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $21,400 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $16,200
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $21,400 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $16,100
  • HVACdefault

    $21,400 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $16,200
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $2,000

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$50,800$44,400$700$95,900
2$0$0$5,300$5,300
3$0$0$5,300$5,300
4$0$0$5,300$5,300
5$0$0$5,300$5,300
6+$0$0$184,500$184,500
Total$50,800$44,400$206,400$301,600

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.