STR Yield
← Back to deals

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

518 Vista Ln

518 Vista Ln

Big Bear Lake, CA 92315

$374,999

3 bd · 1 ba · Listed 26d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Rental historyLow confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1965

Sqft

—

Lot sqft

5,450

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

Yes

List date

2026-09-03T15:04:01.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$37,271

ADR

$247

Occupancy

41%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$8,345

Confidence

Low (39.83), 50 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$17,650$31,402$43,202
  • Vista Cottage • Hot Tub • Walk to Lake | Pups OK!

    House · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 13 ft

    Revenue $43,447ADR $232Occ ≈ 51%4.6★ (260)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • * SNOW BUNNY * Game Room - Hot Tub - Fire Pit

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 167 ft

    Revenue $73,129ADR $389Occ ≈ 52%4.9★ (269)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Peek-A-Boo Lake View, Dog Yard, Near Village

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 226 ft

    Revenue $32,283ADR $341Occ ≈ 26%4.9★ (150)

    Airbnb

  • Lakewood Timber Lodge/ Peaceful, Private & Serene

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 233 ft

    Revenue $47,498ADR $227Occ ≈ 57%5★ (28)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • The Grand Holiday Cottage

    Bungalow · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 240 ft

    Revenue $16,238ADR $397Occ ≈ 11%4.8★ (19)

    Airbnb

  • High Altitude Retreat

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 272 ft

    Revenue $73,244ADR $451Occ ≈ 44%—

    Booking

  • Redwood Cottage; Family/Romance/Friends Getaway/ WiFi /Near Lake, Village, Park

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 279 ft

    Revenue $17,183ADR $246Occ ≈ 19%4.9★ (6)

    Vrbo

  • High Altitude Modern Retreat, Game Room & Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 289 ft

    Revenue $62,014ADR $363Occ ≈ 47%5★ (45)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Mi Cabaña Big Bear Lake - Comfort and Location!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 289 ft

    Revenue $33,359ADR $390Occ ≈ 23%4.9★ (49)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Upscale Cabin by Village, Lake, Slopes+ EV Charger

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 315 ft

    Revenue $66,683ADR $248Occ ≈ 74%5★ (217)

    Airbnb

Show all 50 comps
  • Dream Catcher - Massive Deck & Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 331 ft

    Revenue $42,621ADR $405Occ ≈ 29%4.7★ (3)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Bears Den Cabin with Fire Pit & Fireplace

    House · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 4 · 335 ft

    Revenue $21,599ADR $129Occ ≈ 46%4.2★ (23)

    Airbnb

  • NEW HotTub • Near Big Bear Lake & Village • Family

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 341 ft

    Revenue $49,828ADR $365Occ ≈ 37%5★ (119)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Central Heat AC • Walk2Lake • 4 min 2 Village • EV

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 345 ft

    Revenue $35,895ADR $264Occ ≈ 37%5★ (94)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Vista de Oso + Hot-Tub + Blackstone/BBQ!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 502 ft

    Revenue $962ADR $270Occ ≈ 1%4.5★ (2)

    Airbnb

  • Fox Woods: Spa, Sauna and Firepit

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 505 ft

    Revenue $68,471ADR $332Occ ≈ 57%4.8★ (182)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Big Bear's Casa Oso - Near the Lake & Ski Resorts-

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 512 ft

    Revenue $19,888ADR $320Occ ≈ 17%4.9★ (13)

    Airbnb

  • Attitude Adjustment

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 525 ft

    Revenue $43,395ADR $238Occ ≈ 50%4.8★ (81)

    Airbnb

  • Hot Tub, Grill & Fire Pit: Cabin in Big Bear Lake

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $44,061ADR $298Occ ≈ 41%4.7★ (22)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Modern Lake Cabin for Family, Friends and Pets!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $17,247ADR $230Occ ≈ 21%4.8★ (45)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Less Than 1 Mi to Big Bear Lake Cabin with Hot Tub

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $26,734ADR $259Occ ≈ 28%4★ (1)

    Booking

  • Family Cabin, Playroom w/ Slide, Walkable, Dog Run

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $18,858ADR $303Occ ≈ 17%5★ (17)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy Cabin Full of Fun - Lake,Marina,Village,Slope

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $24,189ADR $266Occ ≈ 25%4.7★ (291)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Chateau Wonderland-0.9 mi-Village♦️walk to lake✨SPA

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $34,290ADR $415Occ ≈ 23%5★ (198)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Bear Bungalow, 3B/2Ba, SPA,AC, Views, Walk to Lake

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $85,252ADR $401Occ ≈ 58%4.8★ (261)

    Airbnb

  • Happy Lake Cottage: Lake Views and Rustic Charm!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $50,049ADR $247Occ ≈ 56%4.6★ (132)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy Bear Cabin- 3bed-2bath w/ Spa

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $16,472ADR $705Occ ≈ 6%4.7★ (88)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Take a Break Big Bear Lake

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $3,719ADR $192Occ ≈ 5%5★ (1)

    Vrbo

  • Hearthmoon Haven ~ AC & SPA, Near Village

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $12,239ADR $217Occ ≈ 15%4.8★ (7)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Highland Cabin Jacuzzi Close To Slopes & Village

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $7,383ADR $149Occ ≈ 14%3.5★ (2)

    Booking

  • Cozy Modern Cabin Close To Slopes/Village

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $23,906ADR $211Occ ≈ 31%4.5★ (63)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cavern Cabin • AC • Renovated Rustic Modern

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $41,954ADR $309Occ ≈ 37%4.7★ (143)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Pine Nest Relaxing Walk to Marina Cozy Chalet

    Chalet · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $9,984ADR $221Occ ≈ 12%4★ (3)

    Booking

  • Happy Bear Cabin - Minutes to Village!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $15,590ADR $316Occ ≈ 14%4.3★ (16)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Bear Hug Cabin- Arcade Game! Centrally Located!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $26,688ADR $286Occ ≈ 26%5★ (38)

    Airbnb

  • Clancy's Cabin close to Village, lake & summit

    House · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $29,150ADR $207Occ ≈ 39%4.8★ (30)

    Airbnb

  • Mountain Cabin Walk to Village, Hot Tub & Games

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $42,399ADR $379Occ ≈ 31%4.6★ (10)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Modern Big Bear Lake Cabin w/ Lake Access!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $6,349ADR $248Occ ≈ 7%3.5★ (7)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Bearadise ~ Enchanted Dream ~ Mountain Escape

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $60,377ADR $249Occ ≈ 66%5★ (83)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Modern Big Bear Lake Cabin w/ Lake Access!

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $15,527ADR $1,151Occ ≈ 4%4★ (1)

    Booking

  • Cozy Bear Cabin

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $36,308ADR $245Occ ≈ 41%4.8★ (13)

    Airbnb

  • New Cozy Cabin -close to lake and Village!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $37,760ADR $265Occ ≈ 39%4.9★ (151)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Decked Out Lake House ~ Near Village and Lake

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $19,771ADR $477Occ ≈ 11%5★ (41)

    Airbnb

  • Green Squirrel Chateau w/ Pool Table + Games

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $30,521ADR $689Occ ≈ 12%4.2★ (7)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Bear 'n Tree - Cozy cabin near the Village

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $8,342ADR $276Occ ≈ 8%0.5★ (1)

    Booking

  • Green Squirrel Chateau by Big Bear Vacations

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $37,166ADR $711Occ ≈ 14%2.8★ (2)

    Booking

  • Dream Street Retreat - lake, village, trails, more

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $36,346ADR $189Occ ≈ 53%4.9★ (148)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Family Fun close to hiking trails and lake

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $22,402ADR $221Occ ≈ 28%5★ (67)

    Airbnb

  • Kelley's Kabin Downtown Retreat w/ Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $19,503ADR $457Occ ≈ 12%3.3★ (10)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Kelley's Kabin-290 by Big Bear Vacations

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $32,919ADR $492Occ ≈ 18%—

    Booking

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$37,271

NOI

$16,598

Cash flow /mo

-$638

Cash needed

$108,750

Cash-on-cash

-7.0%

ROE (yr 1)

5.6%

Cap rate

4.4%

DSCR

0.68

Year-1 write-off

$95,863

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$30,676

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$7,651
  • Principal paydown$2,454
  • Appreciation at%$11,250
ROE5.6%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)33.8%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$7,454
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,118
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,864
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$4,687
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$1,912

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$93,750
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$15,000
  • Furnishing (conveyed with the sale)$0

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$30,676

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$302,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$95,000 · 32%

Year-1 deduction

$96,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$31,000

Land 20% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $206,000 over 39 years

Based on: ~1,900 sq ft (from beds), built 1965, 3 bd / 1 ba, furnished, listing features (deck, fence, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $59,000 in year 1 (19% short-life, $19,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$50,800
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,000 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $7,500
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $8,200 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $6,200
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,300 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $2,500
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $200 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $100
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $900
  • Window coverings (19)default

    $4,800 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $3,600
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (100% of floors)listing

    $12,200 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $9,200
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,800 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $5,900
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,700 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $3,500
  • Appliances (range, microwave, refrigerator)listing

    $4,700 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $3,600
  • Furniture conveyed with the sale (used)listing

    $19,500 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $7,800
15-year land improvements$44,400
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $9,000 new × 50% good × 1.89 allocation

    $8,500
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $8,700 new × 50% good × 1.89 allocation

    $8,200
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,900 new × 50% good × 1.89 allocation

    $1,800
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $21,400 new × 50% good × 1.89 allocation

    $20,200
  • Fencinglisting

    $6,000 new × 50% good × 1.89 allocation

    $5,700
Building, 39-year$206,400
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $206,300 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $155,900
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $21,400 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $16,200
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $21,400 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $16,100
  • HVACdefault

    $21,400 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $16,200
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 1.89 allocation

    $2,000

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$50,800$44,400$700$95,900
2$0$0$5,300$5,300
3$0$0$5,300$5,300
4$0$0$5,300$5,300
5$0$0$5,300$5,300
6+$0$0$184,500$184,500
Total$50,800$44,400$206,400$301,600

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California and Georgia disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.