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Rate 8.03% = 7.28% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 1) + 0.75% investor premium

481 Vista Ln

481 Vista Ln

Big Bear Lake, CA 92315

$639,000

2 bd · 2 ba · Listed 2d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

1930

Sqft

—

Lot sqft

7,500

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

Yes

List date

2026-10-05T16:29:41.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$30,976

ADR

$224

Occupancy

38%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$7,001

Confidence

Med (54.89), 48 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$22,820$31,275$38,033

Median revenue of shown comps: $31,285

  • Cozy cabin-Hot tub-fenced yard- A/C - Pet friendly

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 62 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +4

    Revenue $30,758ADR $319Occ ≈ 26%5★ (88)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Eagle Peak Walk to Village & Lake Fire Pit

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 151 ft

    • A/C
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen

    Revenue $37,778ADR $246Occ ≈ 42%4.8★ (64)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Hot Tub, BBQ, Close to Lake, Pets OK

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 220 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +6

    Revenue $53,151ADR $245Occ ≈ 59%5★ (221)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • walking distance to lake & village , Hot Tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 226 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $38,796ADR $229Occ ≈ 46%5★ (331)

    Airbnb

  • < 1 Mi to Big Bear Lake: Cabin w/ Hot Tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 410 ft

    Revenue $32,147ADR $356Occ ≈ 25%5★ (6)

    Airbnb

  • Ursa Minor Cabin | BBQ | Fire Pit on Deck | Max 4

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 433 ft

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace
    • +1

    Revenue $23,368ADR $202Occ ≈ 32%4.8★ (35)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • No Worries! Cozy Big Bear Cabin with Hot Tub!

    House · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 4 · 492 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $27,881ADR $182Occ ≈ 42%4.5★ (81)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Charming Big Bear Cabin + Fireplace + Walk to Lake

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +2

    Revenue $14,561ADR $259Occ ≈ 15%4★ (8)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy Den - AC, Pets, Sled Hill, BBQ, Ski, By Lake

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $37,726ADR $206Occ ≈ 50%4.9★ (130)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Wine Down Cabin - great LOCATION + SPA + PET ok

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $49,892ADR $252Occ ≈ 54%5★ (1035)

    AirbnbVrbo

Show 30 more
  • Private Hot Tub | Walk to Lake + Village

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +2

    Revenue $15,450ADR $297Occ ≈ 14%4★ (27)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 3 story cabin In the heart of Big Bear Lake

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +3

    Revenue $34,954ADR $177Occ ≈ 54%4.9★ (367)

    Airbnb

  • Hot Tub View-Walk to Lake & Village

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $33,184ADR $203Occ ≈ 45%4.8★ (570)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Serenity's Whisper: Peaceful Lakeside Cabin

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $39,768ADR $138Occ ≈ 79%4.9★ (84)

    Airbnb

  • Lakewood Landing / Near the Lake!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace
    • +1

    Revenue $5,591ADR $265Occ ≈ 6%4.8★ (7)

    Airbnb

  • VISTA HOUSE - 2 Cabins for one price Walk to LAKE!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $31,812ADR $264Occ ≈ 33%4.8★ (125)

    Airbnb

  • Open Concept w Hot Tub, Kayaks, & Mountain View’s

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $59,300ADR $189Occ ≈ 86%5★ (511)

    Airbnb

  • Starbright Cabin-AC, hot tub, close to everything

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $40,923ADR $210Occ ≈ 53%4.9★ (377)

    Airbnb

  • Hot Tub + Fenced Yard

    Chalet · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $13,640ADR $226Occ ≈ 17%3.9★ (13)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Little Lake Lodge

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $8,789ADR $266Occ ≈ 9%4.9★ (16)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • DreamcatcherCabin, BBQ! TV in Bedroom&Living-room!

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $10,785ADR $2,261Occ ≈ 1%4.8★ (94)

    Delisted

  • Walk to the lake, pickleball,retro arcade & kayak

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $21,842ADR $277Occ ≈ 22%4.7★ (84)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Modern Rustic Escape, Romantic Loft, Cozy Hot Tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $43,499ADR $250Occ ≈ 48%5★ (180)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • L'Abri Cozy Cottage - Vintage charm near Village

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $29,906ADR $206Occ ≈ 40%5★ (31)

    Airbnb

  • Lil Oso Bonita Cabin

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $46,602ADR $172Occ ≈ 74%4.5★ (1)

    Booking

  • Vista Pines at Big Bear Lake– Mountain Retreat

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +2

    Revenue $26,939ADR $710Occ ≈ 10%3.5★ (7)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Midnight Chalet A-Frame | Spa, Fireplace, BBQ

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace
    • +1

    Revenue $54,252ADR $229Occ ≈ 65%4.9★ (176)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Lil' Oso Bonita | Walk 2 the Village, Games & SPA

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +4

    Revenue $47,719ADR $190Occ ≈ 69%4.8★ (91)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Modern Cabin, Fully Fenced Yard Hot Tub, Waterfall

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $25,405ADR $398Occ ≈ 17%5★ (81)

    Airbnb

  • Sweet Dream Cabin on Dream Street | Walk to Alpine Slide, Dining, & Big Bear Fun

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $33,080ADR $295Occ ≈ 31%—

    Booking

  • Dream Lake Cabin | Hot Tub, EV & Walk to Lake

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +4

    Revenue $51,072ADR $183Occ ≈ 76%4.8★ (42)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Temple treasure #1699

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $4,193ADR $188Occ ≈ 6%—

    Booking

  • Cozy Cabin Close to the Village

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $23,832ADR $164Occ ≈ 40%4.8★ (164)

    Airbnb

  • Owl Cabin: Lakeside Serenity (house for sale)

    House · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $20,298ADR $179Occ ≈ 31%5★ (56)

    Delisted

  • Secret Hideaway Big Bear Lake (VRR-2023-0970)

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $8,897ADR $202Occ ≈ 12%4.7★ (68)

    Airbnb

  • Hot Tub Retreat Close to Slopes & Village

    Chalet · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $11,418ADR $328Occ ≈ 10%4.8★ (14)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Sweet Dream Cabin Walk to Alpine Slide

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $23,864ADR $234Occ ≈ 28%4.2★ (6)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • COZY BEAR Cabin- AC! Fenced Yard! Near Lake!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $35,276ADR $187Occ ≈ 52%4.9★ (238)

    Airbnb

  • Pine Nest Marina Retreat at Big Bear- Marina Area

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +2

    Revenue $14,122ADR $570Occ ≈ 7%4★ (7)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Esterly Hideaway • Spa • Fenced Yard • Firepit

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $34,913ADR $214Occ ≈ 45%4.8★ (319)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.03% = 7.28% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 1) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$30,976

NOI

$7,815

Cash flow /mo

-$2,875

Cash needed

$185,310

Cash-on-cash

-18.6%

ROE (yr 1)

-6.1%

Cap rate

1.2%

DSCR

0.18

Year-1 write-off

$155,664

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$49,813

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$34,504
  • Principal paydown$3,980
  • Appreciation at%$19,170
ROE-6.1%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$6,195
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$929
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,549
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$7,988
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$3,259

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$159,750
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$25,560
  • Furnishing (conveyed with the sale)$0

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$49,813

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$486,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$155,000 · 32%

Year-1 deduction

$156,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$50,000

Land 24% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $331,000 over 39 years

Based on: ~1,400 sq ft (from beds), built 1930, 2 bd / 2 ba, furnished, listing features (deck, fence, fireplace, appliance list).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $92,000 in year 1 (19% short-life, $30,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$78,500
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $8,900 new × 40% good × 4.01 allocation

    $14,200
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $7,300 new × 40% good × 4.01 allocation

    $11,600
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $2,500 new × 40% good × 4.01 allocation

    $3,900
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 4.01 allocation

    $500
  • Shelvingdefault

    $900 new × 40% good × 4.01 allocation

    $1,400
  • Window coverings (14)default

    $3,500 new × 40% good × 4.01 allocation

    $5,600
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)default

    $3,600 new × 40% good × 4.01 allocation

    $5,800
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $6,900 new × 40% good × 4.01 allocation

    $11,100
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,200 new × 40% good × 4.01 allocation

    $6,700
  • Appliances (range, dishwasher, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $7,000 new × 40% good × 4.01 allocation

    $11,200
  • Furniture conveyed with the sale (used)listing

    $16,000 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $6,400
15-year land improvements$76,900
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $7,800 new × 50% good × 4.01 allocation

    $15,500
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $7,500 new × 50% good × 4.01 allocation

    $15,000
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,400 new × 50% good × 4.01 allocation

    $2,800
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $15,800 new × 50% good × 4.01 allocation

    $31,600
  • Fencinglisting

    $6,000 new × 50% good × 4.01 allocation

    $12,000
Building, 39-year$330,700
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $151,800 new × 40% good × 4.01 allocation

    $243,300
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $15,700 new × 40% good × 4.01 allocation

    $25,200
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $15,000 new × 40% good × 4.01 allocation

    $24,100
  • HVACdefault

    $15,800 new × 40% good × 4.01 allocation

    $25,300
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $5,400 new × 40% good × 4.01 allocation

    $8,700
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 4.01 allocation

    $4,200

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$78,500$76,900$400$155,700
2$0$0$8,500$8,500
3$0$0$8,500$8,500
4$0$0$8,500$8,500
5$0$0$8,500$8,500
6+$0$0$296,500$296,500
Total$78,500$76,900$330,700$486,100

The building's share of the price ($480,000) is 4.0x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($120,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.