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Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 8) + 0.75% investor premium

3334 Hotlam Rd

3334 Hotlam Rd

Redding, CA 96002

$475,000

4 bd · 2 ba · 1,850 sqft · Listed 2d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

2018

Sqft

1,850

Lot sqft

9,148

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-09T22:59:23.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$61,123

ADR

$291

Occupancy

58%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$9,469

Confidence

Low (25.95), 7 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$29,527$52,578$108,588

Few similar-size comps were found, so all comps are shown.

Median revenue of shown comps: $52,578

  • Redding retreat for Large Family / Entire house

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 492 ft

    • A/C
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $37,145ADR $227Occ ≈ 45%5★ (123)

    Airbnb

  • GHouse@ Lilac | Redding (Airport) Her.Hauspitality

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $21,909ADR $142Occ ≈ 42%5★ (2)

    Airbnb

  • Renovated Home - 3Bd/2Ba, Washer & Dryer

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.6 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $52,578ADR $197Occ ≈ 73%5★ (183)

    Airbnb

  • Evergreen Retreat | Spacious + family friendly

    House · 5 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 1.7 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $90,751ADR $552Occ ≈ 45%4.8★ (34)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • LUXE Modern getaway retreat

    House · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 2.0 mi

    Revenue $10,293ADR $155Occ ≈ 18%4.8★ (7)

    Delisted

  • *Oasis Place* game room • heated pool • hot tub

    House · 5 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 2.0 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $126,425ADR $599Occ ≈ 58%4.9★ (259)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The W Resort Outdoor Kitchen Pool Hot Tub Oasis

    House · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 2.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $135,416ADR $615Occ ≈ 60%4.8★ (37)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 8) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$61,123

NOI

$31,805

Cash flow /mo

-$1

Cash needed

$160,750

Cash-on-cash

-0.0%

ROE (yr 1)

10.7%

Cap rate

6.7%

DSCR

1.00

Year-1 write-off

$93,972

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$30,071

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$12
  • Principal paydown$2,889
  • Appreciation at%$14,250
ROE10.7%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$12,225
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,834
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$3,056
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$5,938
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$2,779

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$118,750
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$19,000
  • Furnishing (bought new)$23,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$30,071

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$388,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$71,000 · 18%

Year-1 deduction

$94,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$30,000

Land 18% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $317,000 over 39 years · new furniture $23,000

Based on: 1,850 sq ft, built 2018, 4 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (fireplace, stone counters, flooring types).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $69,000 in year 1 (12% short-life, $22,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$71,600
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $9,900 new × 68% good × 1.40 allocation

    $9,400
  • Kitchen countertops (stone)listing

    $10,100 new × 68% good × 1.40 allocation

    $9,600
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,200 new × 68% good × 1.40 allocation

    $3,100
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 1.40 allocation

    $200
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,500 new × 68% good × 1.40 allocation

    $1,400
  • Window coverings (19)default

    $4,800 new × 40% good × 1.40 allocation

    $2,700
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (50% of floors)listing

    $6,000 new × 40% good × 1.40 allocation

    $3,300
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,700 new × 84% good × 1.40 allocation

    $9,000
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,600 new × 84% good × 1.40 allocation

    $5,400
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 1.40 allocation

    $4,500
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $23,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $23,000
15-year land improvements$22,000
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $11,100 new × 68% good × 1.40 allocation

    $10,600
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $8,600 new × 68% good × 1.40 allocation

    $8,200
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,800 new × 68% good × 1.40 allocation

    $1,700
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $1,800 new × 60% good × 1.40 allocation

    $1,500
Building, 39-year$317,300
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $200,300 new × 87% good × 1.40 allocation

    $242,800
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $20,800 new × 84% good × 1.40 allocation

    $24,400
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $20,700 new × 84% good × 1.40 allocation

    $24,300
  • HVACdefault

    $20,800 new × 60% good × 1.40 allocation

    $17,500
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $6,000 new × 68% good × 1.40 allocation

    $5,700
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 68% good × 1.40 allocation

    $2,500

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$71,600$22,000$300$94,000
2$0$0$8,100$8,100
3$0$0$8,100$8,100
4$0$0$8,100$8,100
5$0$0$8,100$8,100
6+$0$0$284,400$284,400
Total$71,600$22,000$317,300$410,900

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Rules differ by jurisdiction. City of Redding caps whole-home vacation rentals at 400 with a 600 ft spacing rule (300 ft with a physical buffer), and its permit is NOT transferable to a new owner. Shasta Lake city and unincorporated Shasta County allow permitted rentals with no cap found, but permits also do not transfer on sale. Lodging tax ~10% plus a 2% tourism assessment in Redding. Verify parcel eligibility with the city or county before you buy.