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Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 15) + 0.75% investor premium

42770 Cedar Ave

42770 Cedar Ave

Big Bear Lake, CA 92315

$349,000

2 bd · 1 ba · 556 sqft · Listed today

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

1948

Sqft

556

Lot sqft

5,001

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-17T02:13:42.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$26,371

ADR

$214

Occupancy

34%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$5,514

Confidence

Low (49.89), 50 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$13,819$25,156$31,469

Median revenue of shown comps: $24,282

  • Summit Happy Mountain Cabin w\ Hot tub\EV Charger.

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 26 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +4

    Revenue $37,121ADR $277Occ ≈ 37%4.5★ (198)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Relax in Pines: Cabin Near Slopes & Lake

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 62 ft

    Revenue $17,485ADR $286Occ ≈ 17%4.1★ (15)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Gambrel Boho Cabin Vibes, Hot Tub & Firepit

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 112 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $40,389ADR $229Occ ≈ 48%4.8★ (94)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • AC/Hot Tub/EV Chg/Wlk to Shuttle+Free Beanie Bear!

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 128 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $28,735ADR $274Occ ≈ 29%5★ (188)

    Airbnb

  • Walk to Bear Mtn • 2BR • New Spa • Pet Friendly

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 230 ft

    Revenue $14,200ADR $267Occ ≈ 15%4.8★ (241)

    Delisted

  • Forest Valley

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 5 · 240 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $27,368ADR $349Occ ≈ 21%5★ (11)

    Airbnb

  • Ponderosa walking distance to the Zoo

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 331 ft

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace

    Revenue $6,254ADR $340Occ ≈ 5%5★ (3)

    Airbnb

  • Little Cedar~With Spa; Pets Ok

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 348 ft

    Revenue $25,634ADR $238Occ ≈ 30%5★ (25)

    Delisted

  • Bristlecone Cottage ~ Ideally Located Cabin Near Skiing & Hiking w/ Wood Stove & Full Kitchen

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 348 ft

    Revenue $31,115ADR $527Occ ≈ 16%—

    Booking

  • Dreamy Retreat – Walk to Mountain, Zoo & Golf

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 367 ft

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $26,384ADR $253Occ ≈ 29%5★ (25)

    AirbnbBooking

Show 37 more
  • Mountain Retreat ~ Great Location!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 367 ft

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $18,000ADR $98Occ ≈ 50%4.8★ (251)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 3 miles from Oktoberfest-Backs to National Forest

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 397 ft

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $36,612ADR $179Occ ≈ 56%4.8★ (476)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Moonridge Retreat•Spa•Ski-Trails•Bike•Golf•Zoo

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 400 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $24,282ADR $202Occ ≈ 33%5★ (70)

    Airbnb

  • Snowbound Escape | <1mi Zoo • Trails • Bear Mtn

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 4 · 436 ft

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $26,423ADR $296Occ ≈ 24%5★ (30)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Little Bear Cubs Lodge

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 463 ft

    Revenue $13,078ADR $226Occ ≈ 16%4.6★ (90)

    Delisted

  • Modern Moonridge Cabin w Deck by Lake, Slopes

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 486 ft

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $6,010ADR $169Occ ≈ 10%5★ (4)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Dog Friendly Rustic MoonRidge Flats Cabin Tesla-EV

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 492 ft

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $37,715ADR $261Occ ≈ 40%5★ (94)

    Airbnb

  • Moonridge Cabin+AC+Hot Tub + Pet Friendly+Fire Pit

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 495 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $37,896ADR $287Occ ≈ 36%4.9★ (58)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Nicoles Happy Place hosted by Big Bear Cool Cabins

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 525 ft

    Revenue $8,698ADR $132Occ ≈ 18%4.3★ (32)

    Booking

  • Walk to Bear Mountain~Putting Green~Cozy Cabin

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $18,091ADR $235Occ ≈ 21%4.9★ (208)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Relaxing Modern Cabin •2mi to Lake•Hot tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $37,596ADR $347Occ ≈ 30%5★ (88)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Modern 2 Bedroom with jacuzzi near forest/slopes

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $24,678ADR $179Occ ≈ 38%4.8★ (344)

    Delisted

  • Storybook Cottage with Hot Tub-

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $26,085ADR $587Occ ≈ 12%4.7★ (49)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Sunflower Chalet~Pets ok

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $13,692ADR $255Occ ≈ 15%5★ (14)

    Airbnb

  • The Twisted Twig hosted by Big Bear Cool Cabins

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $31,587ADR $352Occ ≈ 25%4.8★ (27)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Grizzly Hollow - Close to Bear Mtn, & Alpine Zoo

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $23,532ADR $140Occ ≈ 46%4.9★ (16)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Beautiful Big Bear Cabin with Large Jacuzzi

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $17,229ADR $284Occ ≈ 17%4.9★ (67)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Bearadise Lodge- Hot Tub, Arcade, next to ski runs

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $22,814ADR $276Occ ≈ 23%4.8★ (260)

    Airbnb

  • Heavenly Hideaway ~ Pets OK

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $9,929ADR $286Occ ≈ 10%5★ (27)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Dog-Friendly Moonridge Cabin | Near Lake, Slopes

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $28,508ADR $286Occ ≈ 27%5★ (239)

    Delisted

  • Mins to Ski Resorts!+Center of Moonridge+PetsOK!

    House · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $12,918ADR $167Occ ≈ 21%4.9★ (8)

    Airbnb

  • Large, centrally cabin, 10 min walk to ski & lake

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $27,104ADR $167Occ ≈ 44%5★ (80)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Starway to Heaven: BBQ! Internet! Open Space!

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $29,919ADR $245Occ ≈ 33%4.7★ (139)

    Airbnb

  • Cozy Cabin w/ Hot Tub Near Slopes & Lake

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $11,775ADR $311Occ ≈ 10%4.5★ (16)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Cozy 2br Cabin Walk to Zoo Golf - Near Bear Mtn

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace

    Revenue $10,590ADR $192Occ ≈ 15%4.7★ (147)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 4 J’s Cabin | Walk to Bear Mountain, Zoo & Trails

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $15,347ADR $210Occ ≈ 20%4.5★ (16)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • < 3 Mi to Lake: Pet-Friendly Big Bear Cabin

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $22,697ADR $181Occ ≈ 34%4.3★ (64)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • COZY Vibe - Hot Tub - Karaoke - We Love Dogs

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $58,969ADR $333Occ ≈ 49%—

    Booking

  • Relax in Elevation - hike, ski, zoo + ev charger

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $29,198ADR $177Occ ≈ 45%5★ (6)

    Delisted

  • 4Bed Loft Style - Great location-Walk to the Zoo

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $19,812ADR $140Occ ≈ 39%5★ (3)

    Delisted

  • New Mid-Century Cabin, Near Lake, Pet- Friendly

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $12,316ADR $320Occ ≈ 11%5★ (34)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Boho Bearadise-Spa-Near Ski Resort-EV Charger

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $39,964ADR $287Occ ≈ 38%5★ (239)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Modern Cabin | Hot Tub + Fire Pit, Mins to Slopes!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $41,667ADR $329Occ ≈ 35%5★ (90)

    Airbnb

  • Retreat To The Mountains/Modern/2Bed/2Bath

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $39,167ADR $212Occ ≈ 51%4.9★ (189)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Sleepy Hollow-Walk to CoffeeShop/Mountain Shuttle

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $6,774ADR $151Occ ≈ 12%—

    Delisted

  • Tres Osos Family Cabin

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $12,639ADR $205Occ ≈ 17%4.7★ (221)

    Airbnb

  • Moonridge Cabin + Fireplace + Pet Friendly

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $6,137ADR $252Occ ≈ 7%4.7★ (4)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 15) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$26,371

NOI

$9,168

Cash flow /mo

-$1,184

Cash needed

$117,210

Cash-on-cash

-12.1%

ROE (yr 1)

-1.4%

Cap rate

2.6%

DSCR

0.39

Year-1 write-off

$145,213

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$46,468

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$14,209
  • Principal paydown$2,122
  • Appreciation at%$10,470
ROE-1.4%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$5,274
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$791
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,319
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$4,592
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$1,780

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$87,250
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$13,960
  • Furnishing (bought new)$16,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$46,468

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$279,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$129,000 · 46%

Year-1 deduction

$145,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$46,000

Land 20% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $150,000 over 39 years · new furniture $16,000

Based on: 556 sq ft, built 1948, 2 bd / 1 ba, unfurnished, listing features (hot tub, deck, patio, fence, fireplace, stone counters, flooring types, appliance list).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $101,000 in year 1 (30% short-life, $32,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$88,500
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $7,000 new × 40% good × 4.64 allocation

    $13,000
  • Kitchen countertops (stone)listing

    $7,200 new × 40% good × 4.64 allocation

    $13,300
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $1,000 new × 40% good × 4.64 allocation

    $1,800
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $200 new × 40% good × 4.64 allocation

    $300
  • Shelvingdefault

    $900 new × 40% good × 4.64 allocation

    $1,700
  • Window coverings (6)default

    $1,500 new × 40% good × 4.64 allocation

    $2,800
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (50% of floors)listing

    $1,800 new × 40% good × 4.64 allocation

    $3,300
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $5,500 new × 40% good × 4.64 allocation

    $10,100
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $3,300 new × 40% good × 4.64 allocation

    $6,100
  • Appliances (range)listing

    $1,800 new × 40% good × 4.64 allocation

    $3,300
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 4.64 allocation

    $16,700
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $16,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $16,000
15-year land improvements$56,500
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)listing

    $4,900 new × 50% good × 4.64 allocation

    $11,300
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $4,700 new × 50% good × 4.64 allocation

    $10,900
  • Patioslisting

    $2,500 new × 50% good × 4.64 allocation

    $5,800
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $6,300 new × 50% good × 4.64 allocation

    $14,500
  • Fencinglisting

    $6,000 new × 50% good × 4.64 allocation

    $13,900
Building, 39-year$150,100
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $59,700 new × 40% good × 4.64 allocation

    $110,800
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $6,200 new × 40% good × 4.64 allocation

    $11,400
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $4,300 new × 40% good × 4.64 allocation

    $8,000
  • HVACdefault

    $6,300 new × 40% good × 4.64 allocation

    $11,600
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $1,800 new × 40% good × 4.64 allocation

    $3,300
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 4.64 allocation

    $4,900

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$88,500$56,500$200$145,200
2$0$0$3,800$3,800
3$0$0$3,800$3,800
4$0$0$3,800$3,800
5$0$0$3,800$3,800
6+$0$0$134,600$134,600
Total$88,500$56,500$150,100$295,200

The building's share of the price ($279,000) is 4.6x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($60,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.