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Rate 8.03% = 7.28% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 1) + 0.75% investor premium

41073 Pennsylvania Ave

41073 Pennsylvania Ave

Big Bear Lake, CA 92315

$775,000

2 bd · 2 ba · Listed 1d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

1963

Sqft

—

Lot sqft

7,260

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

Yes

List date

2026-10-05T16:47:43.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$34,371

ADR

$261

Occupancy

36%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$6,903

Confidence

Low (41.36), 49 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$15,592$27,399$40,772

Median revenue of shown comps: $26,060Checking amenities for 39 listings…

  • Moulin Rouge Village Retreat w/ Hot Tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 82 ft

    Revenue $53,704ADR $479Occ ≈ 31%4.3★ (67)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Moulin rouge #2055

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 108 ft

    Revenue $65,048ADR $496Occ ≈ 36%5★ (1)

    Booking

  • Walk to the Village ~ Yellow Pine Lodge

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 138 ft

    Revenue $12,745ADR $316Occ ≈ 11%5★ (27)

    Airbnb

  • Grandpas axe # 1775

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 177 ft

    Revenue $37,468ADR $335Occ ≈ 31%—

    Booking

  • Grandpas Axe Village Retreat w/ Hot Tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 184 ft

    Revenue $31,413ADR $347Occ ≈ 25%4.3★ (79)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Village Hut

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 259 ft

    Revenue $16,385ADR $205Occ ≈ 22%4.8★ (58)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Marin Getaway Retreat at Big Bear Village

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 345 ft

    Revenue $43,789ADR $294Occ ≈ 41%4.6★ (81)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Blue sky getaway five minute walk to Village

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 5 · 377 ft

    Revenue $15,327ADR $219Occ ≈ 19%5★ (77)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Marin getaway #2013

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 394 ft

    Revenue $62,115ADR $360Occ ≈ 47%—

    Booking

  • Walk To The Village! Fully Fenced and Spacious!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 407 ft

    Revenue $52,415ADR $300Occ ≈ 48%5★ (204)

    AirbnbVrbo

Show 37 more
  • Village and Lake Escape - Walk to the Lake and Village

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 417 ft

    Revenue $43,086ADR $326Occ ≈ 36%3.5★ (1)

    Booking

  • Cabin Inn The Pines~w Spa~Walk to Village

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 453 ft

    Revenue $21,175ADR $291Occ ≈ 20%4.9★ (36)

    Airbnb

  • Walk to Village & Lake | Hot Tub + Arcade

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 463 ft

    Revenue $29,163ADR $231Occ ≈ 35%4.5★ (21)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The Ireland Lake House

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 522 ft

    Revenue $46,231ADR $400Occ ≈ 32%5★ (46)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy 2B Cabin, Minutes from Village & Ski Resorts

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $31,929ADR $149Occ ≈ 59%5★ (87)

    Airbnb

  • Eagles Nest | Walk to Village | Hot Tub | Max 6

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $74,809ADR $296Occ ≈ 69%5★ (64)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Village Hideaway walking to the village/ W Spa

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $34,008ADR $351Occ ≈ 27%4.5★ (35)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Knight Sky Cabin - Walk to Lake & Village BBQ Deck

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $41,236ADR $223Occ ≈ 51%5★ (53)

    Airbnb

  • Luxury Retreat -Walk to Ski Shuttle, Village, Lake

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $21,144ADR $243Occ ≈ 24%5★ (223)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Hot Tub! Cute! Walk to Village & Slopes Trolley

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $6,011ADR $342Occ ≈ 5%5★ (3)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Walk To The Village! Cozy Fall Days In Big Bear!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $25,731ADR $398Occ ≈ 18%5★ (84)

    Airbnb

  • Oak Tree Retreat: Near Village! Spa! WiFi! BBQ!

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $17,479ADR $2,911Occ ≈ 2%4.3★ (57)

    Airbnb

  • Walk To Village Dog Friendly! Enjoy Big Bear Lake!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $24,581ADR $410Occ ≈ 16%4.9★ (219)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Big Bear Chalet

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $36,810ADR $196Occ ≈ 51%4.8★ (175)

    Airbnb

  • Cowboy Cabin~Walk to the Village

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $25,350ADR $291Occ ≈ 24%5★ (33)

    Airbnb

  • Cozy Cabin Walk to Village! Hot Tub! Pets! Fenced!

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $34,473ADR $232Occ ≈ 41%4.5★ (34)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Walk to the Village | Hot tub+Fenced Yard

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $73,147ADR $243Occ ≈ 82%5★ (312)

    Airbnb

  • Cabin In Village•Hot Tub•Walk to Shops/Lake• Pets

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $43,676ADR $216Occ ≈ 55%4.7★ (112)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Forest Cottage with Outdoor Jacuzzi and Picnic Space in California

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $493ADR $246Occ ≈ 1%—

    Vrbo

  • Forest Cottage · Hot Tub · Firepit · Fenced Yard

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $28,737ADR $242Occ ≈ 33%4.6★ (39)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Clean and Comfy Cabin, close to The Lake!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $13,014ADR $176Occ ≈ 20%4.8★ (352)

    Airbnb

  • Big Bear Lake Village Getaway

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $23,727ADR $233Occ ≈ 28%5★ (34)

    Airbnb

  • Black Knight Cabin•Close to Summit•Walk to Village

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $35,833ADR $220Occ ≈ 45%4.8★ (216)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Walk to Village & Lake | Fireplace + Fenced Yard

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $25,124ADR $318Occ ≈ 22%4.8★ (60)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Applewood Cabin & Guest Cabin Near the Village

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $14,177ADR $247Occ ≈ 16%4.5★ (15)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Village Cabin - EV & RV parking

    House · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $12,403ADR $322Occ ≈ 11%4.8★ (146)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • NEW Hot Tub, Walk to Lake/Village, Pool Table, BBQ

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $9,015ADR $446Occ ≈ 6%4.3★ (3)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cute & Cozy, Walk to The Village Shops and Lake!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $20,688ADR $202Occ ≈ 28%5★ (84)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Marin Lodge, Near Slopes w/ Large Backyard, Pets

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $10,772ADR $154Occ ≈ 19%5★ (1)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy Cabin next to the Village, skiing and the Lake Welcome to Marinara Bear

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $13,230ADR $199Occ ≈ 18%—

    Vrbo

  • Big Bear Lake cabin, backs to forest, sledding

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $14,392ADR $312Occ ≈ 13%4.9★ (107)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Big Bear cabin, backs to forest, shedding

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $2,875ADR $409Occ ≈ 2%5★ (3)

    Airbnb

  • The Village Glow~ modern cabin next to village!

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $30,800ADR $325Occ ≈ 26%5★ (156)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Lake view walk to lake, village or ski resort

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $39,381ADR $196Occ ≈ 55%4.8★ (195)

    Airbnb

  • Lawliss Hideout | Steps to Village, Hot Tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $61,208ADR $253Occ ≈ 66%4.8★ (46)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • High Hopes hosted by Big Bear Cool Cabins

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $26,060ADR $247Occ ≈ 29%4.8★ (18)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Lovely 2-bedroom cozy cabin in center of Big Bear Lake, close to all attractions

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $14,458ADR $269Occ ≈ 15%4.9★ (25)

    Vrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.03% = 7.28% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 1) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$34,371

NOI

$8,070

Cash flow /mo

-$3,605

Cash needed

$224,750

Cash-on-cash

-19.2%

ROE (yr 1)

-6.8%

Cap rate

1.0%

DSCR

0.16

Year-1 write-off

$222,882

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$71,322

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$43,256
  • Principal paydown$4,827
  • Appreciation at%$23,250
ROE-6.8%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$6,874
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,031
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,719
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$9,688
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$3,953

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$193,750
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$31,000
  • Furnishing (conveyed with the sale)$0

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$71,322

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$697,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$222,000 · 32%

Year-1 deduction

$223,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$71,000

Land 10% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $474,000 over 39 years

Based on: ~1,400 sq ft (from beds), built 1963, 2 bd / 2 ba, furnished, listing features (deck, patio, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $132,000 in year 1 (19% short-life, $42,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$114,800
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $8,900 new × 40% good × 5.77 allocation

    $20,500
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $7,300 new × 40% good × 5.77 allocation

    $16,800
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $2,500 new × 40% good × 5.77 allocation

    $5,700
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 5.77 allocation

    $700
  • Shelvingdefault

    $900 new × 40% good × 5.77 allocation

    $2,100
  • Window coverings (14)default

    $3,500 new × 40% good × 5.77 allocation

    $8,100
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (50% of floors)listing

    $4,500 new × 40% good × 5.77 allocation

    $10,400
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $6,900 new × 40% good × 5.77 allocation

    $15,900
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,200 new × 40% good × 5.77 allocation

    $9,600
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 5.77 allocation

    $18,700
  • Furniture conveyed with the sale (used)listing

    $16,000 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $6,400
15-year land improvements$107,600
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $7,800 new × 50% good × 5.77 allocation

    $22,400
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $7,500 new × 50% good × 5.77 allocation

    $21,500
  • Patioslisting

    $6,300 new × 50% good × 5.77 allocation

    $18,200
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $15,800 new × 50% good × 5.77 allocation

    $45,500
Building, 39-year$474,300
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $151,800 new × 40% good × 5.77 allocation

    $350,400
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $15,700 new × 40% good × 5.77 allocation

    $36,300
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $15,000 new × 40% good × 5.77 allocation

    $34,700
  • HVACdefault

    $15,800 new × 40% good × 5.77 allocation

    $36,400
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $4,500 new × 40% good × 5.77 allocation

    $10,400
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 5.77 allocation

    $6,100

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$114,800$107,600$500$222,900
2$0$0$12,200$12,200
3$0$0$12,200$12,200
4$0$0$12,200$12,200
5$0$0$12,200$12,200
6+$0$0$425,100$425,100
Total$114,800$107,600$474,300$696,700

The building's share of the price ($690,000) is 5.8x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($120,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.