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Rate 7.99% = 7.24% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 29) + 0.75% investor premium

43067 Monterey St

43067 Monterey St

Big Bear Lake, CA 92315

$409,000

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,564 sqft · Listed today

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1972

Sqft

1,564

Lot sqft

5,218

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

Yes

List date

2026-10-30T02:36:56.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$37,911

ADR

$307

Occupancy

34%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$7,031

Confidence

Low (36.49), 50 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$22,721$31,239$50,084

Median revenue of shown comps: $31,239

  • Cozy Haven Central Cottage at Big Bear

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 210 ft

    Revenue $37,743ADR $682Occ ≈ 15%—

    Booking

  • Vacation Art Gallery: Houz of Ozzi (ev charging)

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 230 ft

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $47,513ADR $297Occ ≈ 44%4.8★ (53)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Big Bear Mountain Cabin • Hot Tub • Golf & Zoo!

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 305 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $18,347ADR $489Occ ≈ 10%4.8★ (27)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Overlook Chalet: Foosball! Peekaboo Slope Views!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 371 ft

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $31,821ADR $276Occ ≈ 32%4.9★ (70)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Moonridge Hideaway near Bear Mountain Resort

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 371 ft

    Revenue $12,438ADR $233Occ ≈ 15%4.9★ (10)

    Airbnb

  • Big Bear Cabin*Fireplace*Deck*BBQ*Ski Resort&Lake

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 371 ft

    Revenue $4,063ADR $180Occ ≈ 6%4.6★ (5)

    Airbnb

  • Louie Bear | Spa, Bbq, Cozy, Moonridge!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 374 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $1,966ADR $163Occ ≈ 3%5★ (4)

    Airbnb

  • Moonridge: Hot Tub + Fire Table, Slopes/Lake

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 384 ft

    Revenue $52,172ADR $269Occ ≈ 53%5★ (335)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Winter Getaway Spa Fire-table Close to slopes

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 407 ft

    Revenue $67,887ADR $375Occ ≈ 50%4.9★ (27)

    Booking

  • Stunning Moonridge Retreat Jacuzzi, firetable, BBQ

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 456 ft

    Revenue $39,129ADR $310Occ ≈ 35%4.8★ (206)

    AirbnbVrbo

Show 40 more
  • Nit's Cabin | by Snow Summit and Big Bear Airport

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 456 ft

    Revenue $14,183ADR $335Occ ≈ 12%4.8★ (7)

    Airbnb

  • Modern, Hot Tub, Baby Items, Kids Play Set

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 459 ft

    Revenue $1,292ADR $0Occ ≈ —4.9★ (12)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Bear’s Lair by AvantStay | 3mins to Bear Mountain

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 469 ft

    Revenue $2,604ADR $309Occ ≈ 2%—

    Delisted

  • La Grande Ourse-Beautiful 3 Bedroom - Spa - Fire Pit

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 469 ft

    Revenue $22,693ADR $413Occ ≈ 15%4.8★ (44)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Nine Pines Lodge Retreat in the Pines at Big Bear

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 522 ft

    Revenue $34,829ADR $574Occ ≈ 17%—

    Booking

  • Large Deck • Firepit • 3 Mins to Bear Mountain

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $39,832ADR $322Occ ≈ 34%4.7★ (54)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Walk to Bear Mtn | Hot Tub + Game Room

    Chalet · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $23,402ADR $393Occ ≈ 16%4.2★ (20)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy Cabin perfect for 2 Families

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $58,281ADR $252Occ ≈ 63%4.7★ (76)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Under the Starry Skies

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $24,524ADR $209Occ ≈ 32%4.7★ (60)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Blissful Butte Retreat A Modern Winter Escape

    House · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $35,418ADR $243Occ ≈ 40%5★ (12)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Silver Lining / SPA & EV Prime Location Moonridge

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $37,924ADR $228Occ ≈ 46%4.8★ (64)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Big Deck Energy, VIEWS, private sled hill + hottub

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $40,879ADR $412Occ ≈ 27%5★ (429)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • NEW Hot Tub • Central Heat • NearZoo • Fenced Yard

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $30,657ADR $288Occ ≈ 29%4.9★ (67)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Large Deck • Firepit • 3 Mins to Bear Mountain

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $3,271ADR $239Occ ≈ 4%—

    Delisted

  • Huge Yard • Hot Tub • EV • Fire Pit • Treehouse

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $87,403ADR $419Occ ≈ 57%5★ (68)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Amazing Views, Hot Tub, Foosball, Barbecue

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $87,540ADR $774Occ ≈ 31%4.8★ (17)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Welcome to the Moonridge Chalet

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $18,788ADR $245Occ ≈ 21%4.8★ (40)

    Airbnb

  • Sunshine Cabin: Comfortable, Cozy 2-Story Getaway

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace

    Revenue $23,598ADR $211Occ ≈ 31%4.1★ (27)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Switzerland - Close to Slopes & Zoo, Fireplace, Deck, Barbecue

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $24,956ADR $422Occ ≈ 16%—

    Booking

  • Mountain Chic Cabin: Scenic Deck, Trails & Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $41,452ADR $514Occ ≈ 22%4.9★ (100)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Summit Views-Mins from Bear Mtn., Golf, and Zoo

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $23,276ADR $256Occ ≈ 25%4.9★ (17)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Hot Tub, 2 Fireplaces, Covered Patio

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $22,806ADR $326Occ ≈ 19%4.2★ (13)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Cozy 3 Bed, 1 Bath Cabin. Just $10 Per Pet Per Nt.

    House · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $34,656ADR $169Occ ≈ 56%4.8★ (316)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Charming 3BR Cabin -Quiet Hot Tub close to slopes

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $50,941ADR $287Occ ≈ 49%4.8★ (201)

    Airbnb

  • Bear Moon Manor with a Hot Tub

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $78,247ADR $342Occ ≈ 63%—

    Booking

  • Walk to Bear Mtn. Jacuzzi New Kitchen King Bed

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $29,849ADR $279Occ ≈ 29%4.8★ (261)

    Airbnb

  • Classic Cabin Feel, Modern Comfort

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace
    • +1

    Revenue $20,753ADR $360Occ ≈ 16%4.5★ (13)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Bear Hug Hideaway

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $39,211ADR $343Occ ≈ 31%4.9★ (167)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cabin on the Corner

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $15,990ADR $284Occ ≈ 15%4.9★ (100)

    Booking

  • Panoramic Views • Hot Tub • Moonridge • 3BR

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $68,550ADR $304Occ ≈ 62%5★ (52)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The perfect gathering place for family & friends!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $92,419ADR $715Occ ≈ 35%5★ (173)

    Delisted

  • Cabin Home+Hot Tub+Tesla Charger+ WiFi+Fireplace

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $30,182ADR $442Occ ≈ 19%4.3★ (11)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Moonridge Family Lodge, Sleeps 8, Pool Table

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $22,911ADR $325Occ ≈ 19%5★ (43)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Golf & Ski Retreat at Bear Mountain by Big Bear Vacations

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $55,303ADR $620Occ ≈ 24%—

    Booking

  • 1443-Golf & Ski Retreat

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $56,316ADR $535Occ ≈ 29%—

    Booking

  • Golf & Ski Retreat: 3BR w/ Deck, Fire Pit & Views

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +2

    Revenue $26,327ADR $450Occ ≈ 16%4.3★ (35)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy Big Bear Cabin near town & BearMtn Ski Resort

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $19,834ADR $224Occ ≈ 24%4.8★ (355)

    Airbnb

  • kayak, SUP Boards, Hot Tub, Games Room, Central

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $72,535ADR $471Occ ≈ 42%5★ (47)

    Airbnb

  • Cute! Lower Moonridge! Walk to Zoo-Golf-Slopes ADS

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $23,517ADR $443Occ ≈ 15%4.6★ (76)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Moose Mountain Manor Ski Retreat w/ Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $56,036ADR $407Occ ≈ 38%4.2★ (15)

    AirbnbBooking

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.99% = 7.24% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 29) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$37,911

NOI

$16,511

Cash flow /mo

-$873

Cash needed

$118,610

Cash-on-cash

-8.8%

ROE (yr 1)

3.7%

Cap rate

4.0%

DSCR

0.61

Year-1 write-off

$120,785

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$38,651

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$10,473
  • Principal paydown$2,568
  • Appreciation at%$12,270
ROE3.7%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$7,582
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,137
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,896
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$5,113
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$2,086

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$102,250
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$16,360
  • Furnishing (conveyed with the sale)$0

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$38,651

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$329,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$121,000 · 37%

Year-1 deduction

$121,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$39,000

Land 20% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $209,000 over 39 years

Based on: 1,564 sq ft, built 1972, 3 bd / 1.5 ba, furnished, listing features (hot tub, deck, patio, fence, game room, fireplace, stone counters, flooring types).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $80,000 in year 1 (24% short-life, $26,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$67,100
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $9,200 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $8,500
  • Kitchen countertops (stone)listing

    $9,400 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $8,600
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $2,700 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $2,500
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $200 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $100
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $1,100
  • Window coverings (16)default

    $4,000 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $3,700
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (67% of floors)listing

    $6,700 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $6,100
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,200 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $6,600
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,300 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $4,000
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $7,400
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $8,200
  • Furniture conveyed with the sale (used)listing

    $19,500 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $7,800
  • Game-room equipment (used)listing

    $6,000 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $2,400
15-year land improvements$53,500
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)listing

    $8,200 new × 50% good × 2.29 allocation

    $9,400
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $7,900 new × 50% good × 2.29 allocation

    $9,000
  • Patioslisting

    $7,000 new × 50% good × 2.29 allocation

    $8,100
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $17,600 new × 50% good × 2.29 allocation

    $20,100
  • Fencinglisting

    $6,000 new × 50% good × 2.29 allocation

    $6,900
Building, 39-year$208,700
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $169,500 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $155,300
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $17,600 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $16,100
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $17,100 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $15,700
  • HVACdefault

    $17,600 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $16,100
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $3,400 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $3,100
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.29 allocation

    $2,400

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$67,100$53,500$200$120,800
2$0$0$5,400$5,400
3$0$0$5,400$5,400
4$0$0$5,400$5,400
5$0$0$5,400$5,400
6+$0$0$187,100$187,100
Total$67,100$53,500$208,700$329,200

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.