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Rate 8.03% = 7.28% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 1) + 0.75% investor premium

43320 Sand Canyon Rd

43320 Sand Canyon Rd

Big Bear Lake, CA 92315

$600,000

3 bd · 2 ba · Listed today

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

1973

Sqft

—

Lot sqft

7,800

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-06T01:50:15.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$34,546

ADR

$272

Occupancy

35%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$7,771

Confidence

Low (45.3), 48 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$19,862$31,990$42,604

Median revenue of shown comps: $31,990Checking amenities for 47 listings…

  • Bear View Lodge

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 207 ft

    Revenue $44,639ADR $486Occ ≈ 25%5★ (23)

    Airbnb

  • Perfect location Cabin w/Hot tub & Game room

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 223 ft

    Revenue $14,758ADR $460Occ ≈ 9%4.5★ (8)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Big Bear Mtn Cabin | <1mi Ski Resort | Game Loft

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 246 ft

    Revenue $46,928ADR $409Occ ≈ 31%5★ (46)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Scandinavian Cabin | Moonridge + Slopes + A/C

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 348 ft

    Revenue $31,392ADR $375Occ ≈ 23%4.9★ (121)

    Airbnb

  • Game/Arcade Table, Near the Slopes

    Chalet · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 423 ft

    Revenue $17,198ADR $144Occ ≈ 33%4.3★ (12)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy Bear Cabin. BBQ, Walk to Bear Mtn, location

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 427 ft

    Revenue $10,004ADR $341Occ ≈ 8%—

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Dancing Bear Cabin: 5 mins to ski, zoo, hike, lake

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 486 ft

    Revenue $22,968ADR $299Occ ≈ 21%5★ (84)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Bear Canyon Getaway | Hot Tub & Game Loft

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $9,467ADR $297Occ ≈ 9%4.5★ (4)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Bear Canyon: Large Cabin, Beautiful Views & HotTub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $23,430ADR $393Occ ≈ 16%4.4★ (15)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Big Bear Chalet | Hot Tub • Fire Pit • Mtn Views

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $61,464ADR $287Occ ≈ 59%4.8★ (125)

    AirbnbVrbo

Show 32 more
  • Serene Cabin w/ Hot Tub < 1 Mi to Bear Mountain!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $20,063ADR $273Occ ≈ 20%4.7★ (129)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Fully Fenced Yard! Pool Table! Log Cabin!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $51,714ADR $292Occ ≈ 49%4.8★ (136)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Big Bear Getaway! Hot Tub, Game Room

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $32,033ADR $393Occ ≈ 22%4.8★ (120)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Fireplace & BBQ + Game Table + Close to Slopes

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $21,875ADR $305Occ ≈ 20%4.8★ (21)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • A Big Bear View

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $24,829ADR $321Occ ≈ 21%4.8★ (34)

    Airbnb

  • Outstanding Cabin with Game Room and Impressive Outdoor Area in Big Bear Lake, California

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $12,091ADR $470Occ ≈ 7%—

    Vrbo

  • Bearfoot Den, Walk to Bear Mountain, Fireplaces,

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $31,946ADR $305Occ ≈ 29%4.8★ (27)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • A-Frame + Hot Tub + Deck Dining • Ski + Trails

    House · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $3,631ADR $197Occ ≈ 5%5★ (1)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Deer Canyon Cabin w/ spa, BBQ, near Bear Mountain

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $34,178ADR $543Occ ≈ 17%4.2★ (22)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Private and spacious w/ wrap around deck mtn views

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $15,094ADR $325Occ ≈ 13%4.8★ (30)

    Airbnb

  • Ollie's Cabin:Mtn Views!Spa!Foosball!Fully Fenced!

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $34,455ADR $342Occ ≈ 28%4.6★ (25)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Smart TV, BBQ, Deck, Walk to Slopes

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $15,532ADR $317Occ ≈ 13%4.7★ (3)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Moonridge Fun! Walk to Skiing & Golf

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $20,641ADR $340Occ ≈ 17%5★ (11)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 3bedroom 2.5 bath Close to Bear Mtn

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $19,259ADR $241Occ ≈ 22%4.5★ (21)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 034 - Menlo Suite - Big Bear Getaway

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $36,425ADR $270Occ ≈ 37%3.4★ (4)

    Booking

  • Starlight Sanctuary | Wow Views, AC, Near Slopes!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $70,513ADR $287Occ ≈ 67%4.8★ (56)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Panoramic View, Hot Tub, Game Room, Family Retreat

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $81,787ADR $289Occ ≈ 78%4.9★ (70)

    Airbnb

  • Bear Mountain Escape | Hot Tub | EV Charging

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $10,202ADR $350Occ ≈ 8%5★ (32)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Majestic Mountain Manor

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $35,170ADR $471Occ ≈ 20%4.7★ (13)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Walk to Ski w/Hot tub, mins to village

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $28,040ADR $344Occ ≈ 22%4.8★ (99)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Treetop Hideaway | Hot Tub + Near the Slopes

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $72,882ADR $247Occ ≈ 81%5★ (341)

    Airbnb

  • Sleeps 8 · Hot Tub + Game Room · 10 min to Lake

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $41,385ADR $324Occ ≈ 35%4.8★ (178)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Golden West Cottage at Snow Summit - Walk to Lifts

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $45,471ADR $553Occ ≈ 23%4.5★ (4)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Stunning w/gorgeous views,deck,yard & spa. Dogs ok

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $48,970ADR $296Occ ≈ 45%5★ (60)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Moonridge Cabin: Views, Hot Tub, EV & No Pet Fee

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $45,547ADR $473Occ ≈ 26%5★ (22)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • White Pines| Golf Course Views, BBQ & Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $39,836ADR $193Occ ≈ 57%4.4★ (13)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Upper Moonridge | Fireplace + Slope Views

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $5,473ADR $286Occ ≈ 5%5★ (1)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Heavenly Heights: Foosball Table! Near Bear Mtn!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $41,925ADR $315Occ ≈ 36%4.8★ (202)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Game Room, Pool Table, Deck, Barbecue, Views

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $33,693ADR $0Occ ≈ —4.4★ (18)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Hot Tub Retreat Near Bear Mountain

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $28,410ADR $357Occ ≈ 22%4.5★ (15)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Ski Slope Views | Hot Tub + 2 King Beds

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $56,833ADR $596Occ ≈ 26%4.8★ (67)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy Cabin, Mountain Views, Hot Tub, Pool Table

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $41,682ADR $398Occ ≈ 29%5★ (51)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.03% = 7.28% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 1) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$34,546

NOI

$11,013

Cash flow /mo

-$2,394

Cash needed

$199,500

Cash-on-cash

-14.4%

ROE (yr 1)

-3.5%

Cap rate

1.8%

DSCR

0.28

Year-1 write-off

$147,958

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$47,346

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$28,723
  • Principal paydown$3,737
  • Appreciation at%$18,000
ROE-3.5%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$6,909
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,036
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,727
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$7,500
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$3,060

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$150,000
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$24,000
  • Furnishing (bought new)$25,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$47,346

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$450,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$122,000 · 27%

Year-1 deduction

$148,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$47,000

Land 25% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $328,000 over 39 years · new furniture $26,000

Based on: ~1,900 sq ft (from beds), built 1973, 3 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (deck, game room, fireplace).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $90,000 in year 1 (14% short-life, $29,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$87,700
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,000 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $11,700
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $8,200 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $9,500
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,300 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $3,900
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $400
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $1,400
  • Window coverings (19)default

    $4,800 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $5,600
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)default

    $4,900 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $5,700
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,800 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $9,100
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,700 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $5,500
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $9,500
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
  • Game-room equipment bought newlisting

    $6,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $6,000
15-year land improvements$59,900
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)listing

    $9,000 new × 50% good × 2.93 allocation

    $13,200
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $8,700 new × 50% good × 2.93 allocation

    $12,700
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,900 new × 50% good × 2.93 allocation

    $2,700
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $21,400 new × 50% good × 2.93 allocation

    $31,300
Building, 39-year$327,900
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $206,100 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $241,200
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $21,400 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $25,000
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $21,400 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $25,000
  • HVACdefault

    $21,400 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $25,000
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $7,300 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $8,600
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $3,100

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$87,700$59,900$400$148,000
2$0$0$8,400$8,400
3$0$0$8,400$8,400
4$0$0$8,400$8,400
5$0$0$8,400$8,400
6+$0$0$293,900$293,900
Total$87,700$59,900$327,900$475,500

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.