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Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 15) + 0.75% investor premium

43428 Primrose Ct

43428 Primrose Ct

Big Bear Lake, CA 92315

$545,000

2 bd · 1 ba · 880 sqft · Listed 1d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1964

Sqft

880

Lot sqft

7,601

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-20T18:19:11.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$36,806

ADR

$242

Occupancy

42%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$7,293

Confidence

Low (31.94), 48 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$15,348$27,650$37,879

Median revenue of shown comps: $26,587

  • Peaceful Cabin+Jacuzzi+Balcony+Fireplace+BBQ+Games

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 20 ft

    Revenue $51,365ADR $273Occ ≈ 52%5★ (57)

    Delisted

  • Black Bear Haus-Hot Tub GameRoomWalk to Bear MTN

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 72 ft

    Revenue $32,420ADR $398Occ ≈ 22%4.8★ (6)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Cozy Pet Friendly Cabin! - 2 blocks from Bear Mountain in Southern California

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 171 ft

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $26,572ADR $177Occ ≈ 41%4.8★ (287)

    Vrbo

  • Primrose Cabin ~ Mountain Cabin w/ hot tub, deck,

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 174 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $21,436ADR $346Occ ≈ 17%4.9★ (8)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Primrose Cabin #709

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 187 ft

    Revenue $58,341ADR $580Occ ≈ 28%—

    Booking

  • Primrose Cabin ~ Mountain Cabin w/ hot tub, deck, fireplace & washer/dryer

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 187 ft

    Revenue $53,697ADR $497Occ ≈ 30%3★ (1)

    Booking

  • 2 min From Ski Resort Mountain Retreat

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 243 ft

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace
    • +1

    Revenue $48,094ADR $218Occ ≈ 60%4.8★ (241)

    Airbnb

  • Chalet in the Trees! Close to Lake & Slopes FIN

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 331 ft

    Revenue $11,568ADR $406Occ ≈ 8%4.5★ (6)

    Airbnb

  • Cute Ski Chalet! Game Room! Close to Slopes - FIN

    House · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 354 ft

    Revenue $27,650ADR $268Occ ≈ 28%4.1★ (5)

    Booking

  • Shasta Pines | Hot Tub, Dog Friendly, Hilltop View

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 436 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $60,098ADR $242Occ ≈ 68%4.9★ (104)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Show 37 more
  • Picturesque home, Game room, Multiple Fireplaces, Firepit, Wrap around lounging

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 479 ft

    Revenue $21,835ADR $198Occ ≈ 30%5★ (1)

    Delisted

  • Primrose Pines Romantic Escape +Spa | 1 Mi to Bear

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 489 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $13,178ADR $336Occ ≈ 11%5★ (102)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Moonridge cabin | Bear Mtn + Fireplace + Pets

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $14,270ADR $241Occ ≈ 16%4.2★ (16)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Moonridge Cabin Near Bear Mtn | Hot Tub | EV | Dog

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $24,137ADR $235Occ ≈ 28%4.7★ (81)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Walk to Slopes! Hot Tub, Game Room, Fire Pit! UL

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $17,535ADR $344Occ ≈ 14%4.9★ (12)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Walk to Bear Mountain! Hot Tub! Game Room! Cute UL

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $2,296ADR $398Occ ≈ 2%—

    Delisted

  • Walk to Bear Mtn | Game Room + Fireplace

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +4

    Revenue $30,960ADR $309Occ ≈ 27%4.8★ (49)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Nested oaks cottage #2234

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $30,435ADR $263Occ ≈ 32%—

    Booking

  • A-Frame|Fall Color|Arcade|10 min Dwntwn or Octfest

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace
    • +1

    Revenue $13,302ADR $227Occ ≈ 16%4.7★ (21)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Fat Bear Bungalow

    House · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +4

    Revenue $6,497ADR $171Occ ≈ 10%5★ (1)

    Airbnb

  • Clover Bear Cabin | SPA | GAME TABLE | VIEW

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $1,655ADR $331Occ ≈ 1%5★ (19)

    Airbnb

  • Clover Bear Cabin

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $16,014ADR $235Occ ≈ 19%5★ (1)

    Airbnb

  • Ski Retreat- Hot Tub- Family Friendly-The Refugio

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $74,925ADR $411Occ ≈ 50%4.5★ (33)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Big Bear A-Frame • Hot Tub + Deck • Near Slopes

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $15,348ADR $248Occ ≈ 17%4.5★ (3)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Beautiful View • Bear Mountain Resort & Lake View

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +4

    Revenue $83,991ADR $358Occ ≈ 64%5★ (68)

    Airbnb

  • Walk to Bear Mtn! Pet Friendly! Hot Tub!

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $37,879ADR $492Occ ≈ 21%4.8★ (31)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Big Bear Mountain Getaway with a View and Hot Tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $32,797ADR $260Occ ≈ 35%4.8★ (241)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Big Bear A-Frame • Hot Tub + Deck • Near Slopes

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $13,293ADR $240Occ ≈ 15%4.7★ (6)

    Airbnb

  • Peek-A-Boo Lake Views | Cozy Retreat + Near Slopes

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $30,712ADR $246Occ ≈ 34%5★ (37)

    Delisted

  • Panoramic Mtn & Lake Views: Hilltop Big Bear Cabin

    House · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $11,102ADR $273Occ ≈ 11%3.4★ (5)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Mountain and lake view retreat, dog friendly with deck & patio

    House · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $2,437ADR $395Occ ≈ 2%1★ (1)

    Delisted

  • Whispering Woods Big Bear~ Central Resort Cottage~

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $75,884ADR $530Occ ≈ 39%4.2★ (3)

    Booking

  • Bear on the Run

    House · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $13,823ADR $224Occ ≈ 17%5★ (9)

    Airbnb

  • Spacious and Secluded A-Frame Cabin in Moonridge

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $21,515ADR $219Occ ≈ 27%5★ (25)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Bonnie Brae - Walk to Bear Mountain - Spa

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $29,958ADR $260Occ ≈ 32%5★ (57)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Geronimo’s Hideaway 5 min walk to Ski.

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace
    • +1

    Revenue $38,511ADR $383Occ ≈ 28%5★ (33)

    Airbnb

  • ModernRusticLogCabin-RARE SkiView-Spa-Firepit

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $78,785ADR $246Occ ≈ 88%5★ (197)

    Airbnb

  • Emerald Alps: Lake Views!Hot Tub!Foosball!Gas BBQ!

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $29,061ADR $201Occ ≈ 40%4.5★ (178)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Hot Tub, Fire Pit & Views! Modern Luxury Cabin

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $35,076ADR $415Occ ≈ 23%4.5★ (11)

    Delisted

  • Fireside Retreat - Stylish & Cozy - Moonridge Area

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $47,171ADR $199Occ ≈ 65%4.9★ (59)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Million Dollar View!!!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $10,911ADR $320Occ ≈ 9%4.8★ (187)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Big Bear Mountain Getaway with SPA

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $16,070ADR $287Occ ≈ 15%4.8★ (72)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Walk to Bear Mtn | Hot Tub + Slope Views

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +2

    Revenue $36,937ADR $296Occ ≈ 34%4.4★ (17)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • EV charging Cabin w/AC by Bear Mtn with RV parking

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $28,113ADR $159Occ ≈ 48%5★ (169)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Aminal_Haus: Walk to Bear Mtn!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $23,396ADR $232Occ ≈ 28%5★ (53)

    Airbnb

  • Koto Pines I A-Frame • Hot Tub • Ski • Lake Views

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $26,587ADR $271Occ ≈ 27%5★ (26)

    Airbnb

  • Altitude Lodge

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $17,725ADR $248Occ ≈ 20%4.9★ (11)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 15) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$36,806

NOI

$13,526

Cash flow /mo

-$1,915

Cash needed

$174,050

Cash-on-cash

-13.2%

ROE (yr 1)

-1.9%

Cap rate

2.5%

DSCR

0.37

Year-1 write-off

$178,508

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$57,123

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$22,980
  • Principal paydown$3,314
  • Appreciation at%$16,350
ROE-1.9%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$7,361
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,104
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,840
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$7,085
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$2,780

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$136,250
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$21,800
  • Furnishing (bought new)$16,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$57,123

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$436,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$162,000 · 37%

Year-1 deduction

$179,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$57,000

Land 20% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $274,000 over 39 years · new furniture $16,000

Based on: 880 sq ft, built 1964, 2 bd / 1 ba, unfurnished, listing features (hot tub, deck, patio, fireplace, wooded lot).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $117,000 in year 1 (23% short-life, $37,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$117,400
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $7,700 new × 40% good × 5.29 allocation

    $16,400
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $6,300 new × 40% good × 5.29 allocation

    $13,400
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $1,500 new × 40% good × 5.29 allocation

    $3,300
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $200 new × 40% good × 5.29 allocation

    $300
  • Shelvingdefault

    $900 new × 40% good × 5.29 allocation

    $1,900
  • Window coverings (9)default

    $2,300 new × 40% good × 5.29 allocation

    $4,800
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)default

    $2,300 new × 40% good × 5.29 allocation

    $4,800
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $6,000 new × 40% good × 5.29 allocation

    $12,700
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $3,600 new × 40% good × 5.29 allocation

    $7,700
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 5.29 allocation

    $17,100
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 5.29 allocation

    $19,100
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $16,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $16,000
15-year land improvements$60,800
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $6,100 new × 50% good × 5.29 allocation

    $16,300
  • Landscaping (minimal)listing

    $3,000 new × 50% good × 5.29 allocation

    $7,800
  • Patioslisting

    $4,000 new × 50% good × 5.29 allocation

    $10,500
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $9,900 new × 50% good × 5.29 allocation

    $26,200
Building, 39-year$273,800
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $95,100 new × 40% good × 5.29 allocation

    $201,400
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $9,800 new × 40% good × 5.29 allocation

    $20,800
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $8,400 new × 40% good × 5.29 allocation

    $17,800
  • HVACdefault

    $9,900 new × 40% good × 5.29 allocation

    $21,000
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $3,400 new × 40% good × 5.29 allocation

    $7,200
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 5.29 allocation

    $5,600

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$117,400$60,800$300$178,500
2$0$0$7,000$7,000
3$0$0$7,000$7,000
4$0$0$7,000$7,000
5$0$0$7,000$7,000
6+$0$0$245,400$245,400
Total$117,400$60,800$273,800$452,000

The building's share of the price ($436,000) is 5.3x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($82,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.