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Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

43091 Bear Creek Ct

43091 Bear Creek Ct

Big Bear Lake, CA 92315

$450,000

3 bd · 3 ba · 1,785 sqft · Listed 1d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceHigh HOANegative cash flow

Year built

1991

Sqft

1,785

Lot sqft

231

HOA / mo

$595

Furnished

Yes

List date

2026-11-11T01:28:50.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$32,455

ADR

$305

Occupancy

29%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$5,823

Confidence

Low (34), 49 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$19,567$26,835$46,075

Median revenue of shown comps: $26,891

  • Moonridge Cozy Escape

    Townhouse · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 151 ft

    Revenue $30,000ADR $471Occ ≈ 17%4.8★ (4)

    Delisted

  • Beautiful golf course townhome just a short walk to ski slopes, BBQ + more

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 220 ft

    Revenue $2,833ADR $237Occ ≈ 3%—

    Delisted

  • Beautiful golf course townhome just a short walk to ski slopes, BBQ + more

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 243 ft

    Revenue $1,468ADR $201Occ ≈ 2%4.3★ (23)

    Delisted

  • Bluebird Family Ridge Near Zoo, Game Room & BBQ

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 285 ft

    Revenue $51,624ADR $323Occ ≈ 44%4.9★ (51)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Sunny Side Up - Golf & Ski Townhouse at Bear Mountain Resorts

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 397 ft

    Revenue $46,075ADR $759Occ ≈ 17%—

    Booking

  • Private Hot Tub • Outdoor Dining • Near Village

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 479 ft

    Revenue $1,323ADR $231Occ ≈ 2%—

    Delisted

  • White Pines| Golf Course Views, BBQ & Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $39,536ADR $189Occ ≈ 57%4.4★ (13)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Hot Tub + Pines • Near Bear Mtn + Big Bear Lake

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $11,291ADR $260Occ ≈ 12%4.2★ (4)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Bear Mountain Resort Chalet - Walk to Ski/Golf/Hiking- Essentials Included

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $55,794ADR $1,028Occ ≈ 15%—

    Booking

  • Bear Mountain Chalet | Walk to Ski & Golf

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace
    • +1

    Revenue $15,962ADR $296Occ ≈ 15%3.5★ (13)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Show 24 more
  • Golf course Townhome Short walk to ski slopesBBQ

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $25,197ADR $269Occ ≈ 26%4.2★ (20)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Central A/C, Hot Tub, Sauna, Arcade GameRoom

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +6

    Revenue $78,259ADR $555Occ ≈ 39%4.8★ (63)

    Airbnb

  • Bear Mountain Views Chalet at Big Bear Lake

    Chalet · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $33,643ADR $368Occ ≈ 25%1★ (1)

    Booking

  • Renovated w/ Hot Tub, Walk to Zoo & Golf, Firepit

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $23,505ADR $253Occ ≈ 25%5★ (8)

    Airbnb

  • Bear Meadow Woods Condo- Walk to Ski Lifts & Golf

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $22,130ADR $546Occ ≈ 11%4.8★ (2)

    Booking

  • Bear Mountain Views Chalet at Big Bear- Foosball

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $19,909ADR $380Occ ≈ 14%3.8★ (11)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Big Bear Lake Cabin with Game Room

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $11,964ADR $464Occ ≈ 7%2.4★ (3)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Slopes N Greens

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $53,271ADR $584Occ ≈ 25%5★ (9)

    Airbnb

  • Beautiful Log Cabin

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $38,085ADR $247Occ ≈ 42%4.6★ (46)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The Getaway Chalet - Walk to Slopes & Golf Course, Ping Pong, Fireplace, Deck

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $59,318ADR $449Occ ≈ 36%—

    Booking

  • LaBass Lodge: Walk to Bear Mtn/Golf Course Pets ok

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $25,442ADR $211Occ ≈ 33%5★ (83)

    Airbnb

  • Walk to Bear Mtn | Game Room + Fireplace

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $23,543ADR $367Occ ≈ 18%5★ (10)

    Airbnb

  • Black Diamond Lodge: Near Bear Mtn,Spa,Wifi,Views

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $56,119ADR $304Occ ≈ 51%4.7★ (154)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Fully Fenced Yard! Pool Table! Log Cabin!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $51,113ADR $300Occ ≈ 47%4.8★ (136)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Putting green, chef's kitchen, sauna, hot tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +6

    Revenue $91,659ADR $502Occ ≈ 50%5★ (220)

    Airbnb

  • Bear Canyon Getaway | Hot Tub & Game Loft

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $10,016ADR $296Occ ≈ 9%4.5★ (4)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Bear Canyon: Large Cabin, Beautiful Views & HotTub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $20,943ADR $406Occ ≈ 14%4.4★ (15)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Hot tub & game room near Snow Summit

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +6

    Revenue $71,905ADR $442Occ ≈ 45%5★ (41)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Nearby Zoo/Bear Mtn/Spa/Fire pit/Arcade

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +4

    Revenue $19,567ADR $429Occ ≈ 12%5★ (43)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Moonridge Fun! Walk to Skiing & Golf

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $21,081ADR $337Occ ≈ 17%5★ (12)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Walk to Bear Mtn! Pet Friendly! Foosball!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $37,727ADR $317Occ ≈ 33%4.9★ (39)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • On Golf Course -Hot Tub- Game Room-Near Bear Mnt

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +4

    Revenue $28,981ADR $555Occ ≈ 14%5★ (66)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Steps 2 Slopes 3 Bd 2 Bath Cuzzi & Pool Table

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $25,191ADR $393Occ ≈ 18%5★ (17)

    Airbnb

  • Southern Comfort Big Bear Lake

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $28,340ADR $232Occ ≈ 33%4.8★ (60)

    AirbnbBooking

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$32,455

NOI

$4,783

Cash flow /mo

-$2,061

Cash needed

$130,500

Cash-on-cash

-19.0%

ROE (yr 1)

-6.4%

Cap rate

1.1%

DSCR

0.16

Year-1 write-off

$107,084

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$34,267

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$24,737
  • Principal paydown$2,859
  • Appreciation at%$13,500
ROE-6.4%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$6,491
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$974
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,623
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$7,140
  • Property tax$5,625
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$2,295

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$112,500
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$18,000
  • Furnishing (conveyed with the sale)$0

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$34,267

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$331,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$107,000 · 32%

Year-1 deduction

$107,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$34,000

Land 27% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $224,000 over 39 years

Based on: 1,785 sq ft, built 1991, 3 bd / 3 ba, furnished, listing features (hot tub, deck, patio, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $67,000 in year 1 (20% short-life, $22,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$59,500
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $9,700 new × 40% good × 2.09 allocation

    $8,100
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $7,900 new × 40% good × 2.09 allocation

    $6,600
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,100 new × 40% good × 2.09 allocation

    $2,600
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 40% good × 2.09 allocation

    $400
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 2.09 allocation

    $1,000
  • Window coverings (18)default

    $4,500 new × 40% good × 2.09 allocation

    $3,800
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (67% of floors)listing

    $7,700 new × 40% good × 2.09 allocation

    $6,400
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,600 new × 40% good × 2.09 allocation

    $6,300
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,600 new × 40% good × 2.09 allocation

    $3,800
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator)listing

    $6,100 new × 40% good × 2.09 allocation

    $5,100
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 2.09 allocation

    $7,500
  • Furniture conveyed with the sale (used)listing

    $19,500 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $7,800
15-year land improvements$47,400
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $8,800 new × 50% good × 2.09 allocation

    $9,200
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $8,400 new × 50% good × 2.09 allocation

    $8,800
  • Patioslisting

    $8,000 new × 50% good × 2.09 allocation

    $8,400
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $20,100 new × 50% good × 2.09 allocation

    $21,000
Building, 39-year$224,100
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $193,400 new × 42% good × 2.09 allocation

    $168,500
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $20,100 new × 40% good × 2.09 allocation

    $16,800
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $19,900 new × 40% good × 2.09 allocation

    $16,600
  • HVACdefault

    $20,100 new × 40% good × 2.09 allocation

    $16,800
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $3,800 new × 40% good × 2.09 allocation

    $3,200
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.09 allocation

    $2,200

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$59,500$47,400$200$107,100
2$0$0$5,700$5,700
3$0$0$5,700$5,700
4$0$0$5,700$5,700
5$0$0$5,700$5,700
6+$0$0$200,900$200,900
Total$59,500$47,400$224,100$330,900

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.