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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

1186 Alameda Ct

1186 Alameda Ct

Big Bear, CA 92314

$1,195,000

4 bd · 4.5 ba · 3,488 sqft · Listed 27d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

2006

Sqft

3,488

Lot sqft

22,002

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-02T18:49:56Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$57,729

ADR

$594

Occupancy

27%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$9,852

Confidence

Low (39.13), 31 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$21,838$52,343$67,738
  • Luxury 5-Star home! Hot Tub Fire Pit Game Room SKY

    House · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $86,776ADR $956Occ ≈ 25%5★ (10)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Grand Forest Lodge Retreat- Hot Tub- Games-

    Cabin · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $68,786ADR $1,082Occ ≈ 17%4.6★ (27)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Grand Forest Lodge Retreat- Hot Tub- Games-

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $66,690ADR $1,394Occ ≈ 13%1.5★ (3)

    Booking

  • Big Bear Cabin w/ Hot Tub, Views, Deck & Firepit

    Cabin · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $11,363ADR $423Occ ≈ 7%5★ (2)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Huge Big Bear Cabin | Hot Tub | Views | Game Room

    Cabin · 4 bd · 4.5 ba · sleeps 15 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $16,660ADR $494Occ ≈ 9%5★ (1)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Central AC, 4 Bedroom/5.5 Bath, Game Room, Hot Tub

    Cabin · 4 bd · 5.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $74,398ADR $934Occ ≈ 22%5★ (63)

    Airbnb

  • Canyon Crest Ski View Chalet#2654

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $16,460ADR $709Occ ≈ 6%—

    Booking

  • Canyon Crest ski view

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $18,413ADR $497Occ ≈ 10%—

    Booking

  • Beautiful/Spacious Cabin! Hot Tub, Pool Table, Bar, Dartboard. Tesla charger

    Cabin · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 14 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $22,005ADR $831Occ ≈ 7%5★ (100)

    Vrbo

  • Lux Custom Home Ski Slope & Lake Views Moonridge.

    Chalet · 4 bd · 4.5 ba · sleeps 16 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $105,657ADR $848Occ ≈ 34%4.9★ (48)

    Airbnb

Show all 31 comps
  • Hot Tub + Game Room: Mtn-View Retreat in Big Bear!

    House · 4 bd · 5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $56,399ADR $787Occ ≈ 20%4.7★ (10)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Modern Lodge Near Lake, Village, & Snow Summit

    House · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $109,299ADR $763Occ ≈ 39%5★ (31)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Big Bear Luxury Cabin Retreat*View*BBQ*Ping Pong

    House · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $21,670ADR $641Occ ≈ 9%4.4★ (8)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Updated Home w/ Views, Spa, Sauna, Billiards+more

    House · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $58,420ADR $733Occ ≈ 22%5★ (123)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Grizzly Bear Lodge: Hot Tub!Air Hockey!Fenced Yard

    House · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $55,709ADR $439Occ ≈ 35%4.7★ (108)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Million Dollar View Cabin!

    House · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 15 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $52,343ADR $864Occ ≈ 17%5★ (60)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Angels Camp Cabin: 4Bdr, Forest Views, Sleeps 10

    Cabin · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $56,386ADR $379Occ ≈ 41%5★ (42)

    Airbnb

  • Designer Chalet | Sauna, Fireplace & Mountain view

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $63,966ADR $572Occ ≈ 31%4.8★ (63)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • A-Frame Point | Game Room, Movie Theater & Sauna

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $78,647ADR $656Occ ≈ 33%5★ (8)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Unique Dome House in Moonridge w/ Pool Table

    House · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $8,813ADR $456Occ ≈ 5%—

    AirbnbBooking

  • 'Chalet Chocolate', Near Slopes Family-friendly Has Spa, Pool Table

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $2,078ADR $1,039Occ ≈ 1%4.8★ (27)

    Vrbo

  • Gorgeous Views! 4 BR LUX Home! HOT TUB! Gameroom!

    House · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $53,138ADR $523Occ ≈ 28%4.8★ (14)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • A-Frame Cabin • Game Room • Pine Knot Village

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $10,324ADR $561Occ ≈ 5%5★ (1)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Fireplace + Game Room w/ Pool Table + Near Slopes

    House · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $35,787ADR $358Occ ≈ 27%4.7★ (3)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Stunning Modern Mountain Gem w/Game Room & Wet Bar

    House · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $27,473ADR $1,278Occ ≈ 6%5★ (3)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Sugarpines Big Bear | Panoramic Ski Slope Views

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $85,368ADR $1,991Occ ≈ 12%—

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Menlo Treehouse. Guest house, Hot Tub.

    House · 4 bd · 5 ba · sleeps 14 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $50,291ADR $830Occ ≈ 17%4.7★ (17)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Beautiful Views! Hot Tub! Game Room! Piano!

    House · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $46,413ADR $369Occ ≈ 34%4.8★ (94)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Stunning Views! Gameroom! WalktoBearMtn!

    House · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 15 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $80,113ADR $533Occ ≈ 41%5★ (9)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Game Room! Yard! Fireplaces! BBQ! Hot Tub!

    House · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $36,482ADR $513Occ ≈ 19%4.5★ (116)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Walk to Bear Mt~4BD~Hot Tub~Game Room~Multi Family

    House · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $22,941ADR $502Occ ≈ 13%4.8★ (26)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$57,729

NOI

$18,125

Cash flow /mo

-$4,929

Cash needed

$375,550

Cash-on-cash

-15.7%

ROE (yr 1)

-4.1%

Cap rate

1.5%

DSCR

0.23

Year-1 write-off

$180,274

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$57,688

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$59,148
  • Principal paydown$7,820
  • Appreciation at%$35,850
ROE-4.1%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)11.2%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$11,546
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,732
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,886
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$14,938
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$6,095

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$298,750
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$47,800
  • Furnishing (bought new)$29,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$57,688

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$885,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$149,000 · 17%

Year-1 deduction

$180,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$58,000

Land 26% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $736,000 over 39 years · new furniture $29,000

Based on: 3,488 sq ft, built 2006, 4 bd / 4.5 ba, unfurnished, listing features (deck, game room, fireplace, stone counters, appliance list).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $104,000 in year 1 (8% short-life, $33,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$102,000
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $13,400 new × 40% good × 2.28 allocation

    $12,200
  • Kitchen countertops (stone)listing

    $13,800 new × 40% good × 2.28 allocation

    $12,500
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $6,100 new × 40% good × 2.28 allocation

    $5,600
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $600 new × 40% good × 2.28 allocation

    $500
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,500 new × 40% good × 2.28 allocation

    $1,400
  • Window coverings (35)default

    $8,800 new × 40% good × 2.28 allocation

    $8,000
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)default

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 2.28 allocation

    $8,200
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $10,500 new × 60% good × 2.28 allocation

    $14,300
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $6,300 new × 60% good × 2.28 allocation

    $8,600
  • Appliances (range)listing

    $1,800 new × 40% good × 2.28 allocation

    $1,600
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $23,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $23,000
  • Game-room equipment bought newlisting

    $6,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $6,000
15-year land improvements$75,900
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $12,200 new × 50% good × 2.28 allocation

    $13,900
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $11,800 new × 50% good × 2.28 allocation

    $13,400
  • Patiosdefault

    $3,400 new × 50% good × 2.28 allocation

    $3,900
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $39,200 new × 50% good × 2.28 allocation

    $44,700
Building, 39-year$736,300
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $379,000 new × 67% good × 2.28 allocation

    $575,400
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $39,400 new × 60% good × 2.28 allocation

    $53,800
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $41,500 new × 60% good × 2.28 allocation

    $56,700
  • HVACdefault

    $39,300 new × 40% good × 2.28 allocation

    $35,800
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $13,500 new × 40% good × 2.28 allocation

    $12,300
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.28 allocation

    $2,400

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$102,000$75,900$2,400$180,300
2$0$0$18,900$18,900
3$0$0$18,900$18,900
4$0$0$18,900$18,900
5$0$0$18,900$18,900
6+$0$0$658,400$658,400
Total$102,000$75,900$736,300$914,200

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California and Georgia disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.