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Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

425 Barrett Way

425 Barrett Way

Big Bear City, CA 92314

$525,000

4 bd · 2 ba · 1,440 sqft · Listed today

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

1980

Sqft

1,440

Lot sqft

—

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

No

List date

2026-11-12T04:08:18.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$32,473

ADR

$314

Occupancy

28%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$6,126

Confidence

Low (40.46), 34 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$19,491$27,619$39,549

Median revenue of shown comps: $26,536

  • SuperHost's creation: MiniCastle

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 154 ft

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $39,650ADR $310Occ ≈ 35%5★ (97)

    Airbnb

  • Fall Retreat Family Cabin Hot Tub+BBQ+Game Room

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 338 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $40,779ADR $476Occ ≈ 23%5★ (97)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Golden Bear - Family Cabin, Mini Game Table, Fireplace, Barbecue

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 502 ft

    Revenue $39,707ADR $374Occ ≈ 29%—

    Booking

  • Laugh, Play & Chill in Big Bear’s Golden Bear

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +2

    Revenue $26,866ADR $266Occ ≈ 28%4.1★ (11)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 5 Mi to Snow Summit: Cabin w/ Deck & Fireplace

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $11,910ADR $397Occ ≈ 8%4.5★ (23)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • "Oktoberfest” 20% off New Villa, AC, pool tbl, 10p

    Villa · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $3,030ADR $606Occ ≈ 1%4★ (1)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Skylight Chalet - 4 BR/2.5 Bath Home, Sleeps 8

    House · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $11,527ADR $442Occ ≈ 7%5★ (80)

    Airbnb

  • Big Bear Cabana Near Lake | Hot Tub, Shuffleboard

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $5,739ADR $352Occ ≈ 4%5★ (1)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 4-Bedroom Jacuzzi, Car, RV Parking & EV charging

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $19,735ADR $612Occ ≈ 9%5★ (2)

    Airbnb

  • Fun-Filled Big Bear Retreat for Families & Friends

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +2

    Revenue $23,353ADR $306Occ ≈ 21%4.2★ (4)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Show 6 more
  • Whispering Pines Retreat

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $1,731ADR $288Occ ≈ 2%5★ (1)

    Airbnb

  • Serene Mtn Views, Hiking, Ski, Firepit,Stargaze.

    Cabin · 4 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $54,044ADR $381Occ ≈ 39%4.9★ (156)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Doble your pleasure #2127

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $39,244ADR $667Occ ≈ 16%—

    Booking

  • Gold Mountain Getaway

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.7 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $26,205ADR $368Occ ≈ 20%4.8★ (58)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 4BR Cabin Near Big Bear Lake, Ski, Hike EV Charger

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.7 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $44,103ADR $389Occ ≈ 31%4.8★ (53)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Woodland Hideaway - Stylish, Spacious, Hiking, EV

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.8 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $30,312ADR $237Occ ≈ 35%5★ (38)

    AirbnbBooking

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$32,473

NOI

$10,728

Cash flow /mo

-$1,976

Cash needed

$175,250

Cash-on-cash

-13.5%

ROE (yr 1)

-2.6%

Cap rate

2.0%

DSCR

0.31

Year-1 write-off

$165,853

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$53,073

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$23,712
  • Principal paydown$3,335
  • Appreciation at%$15,750
ROE-2.6%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$6,495
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$974
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,624
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$6,563
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$2,678

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$131,250
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$21,000
  • Furnishing (bought new)$23,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$53,073

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$446,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$143,000 · 32%

Year-1 deduction

$166,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$53,000

Land 15% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $304,000 over 39 years · new furniture $23,000

Based on: 1,440 sq ft, built 1980, 4 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (deck, fence, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list, wooded lot).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $106,000 in year 1 (18% short-life, $34,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$100,600
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 3.68 allocation

    $13,200
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $7,300 new × 40% good × 3.68 allocation

    $10,800
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $2,500 new × 40% good × 3.68 allocation

    $3,700
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 3.68 allocation

    $400
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,500 new × 40% good × 3.68 allocation

    $2,200
  • Window coverings (14)default

    $3,500 new × 40% good × 3.68 allocation

    $5,200
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (100% of floors)listing

    $9,300 new × 40% good × 3.68 allocation

    $13,700
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,000 new × 40% good × 3.68 allocation

    $10,300
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,200 new × 40% good × 3.68 allocation

    $6,200
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 3.68 allocation

    $11,900
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $23,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $23,000
15-year land improvements$65,000
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $7,900 new × 50% good × 3.68 allocation

    $14,500
  • Landscaping (minimal)listing

    $3,800 new × 50% good × 3.68 allocation

    $7,000
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,400 new × 50% good × 3.68 allocation

    $2,600
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $16,200 new × 50% good × 3.68 allocation

    $29,800
  • Fencinglisting

    $6,000 new × 50% good × 3.68 allocation

    $11,000
Building, 39-year$303,600
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $155,500 new × 40% good × 3.68 allocation

    $229,200
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $16,200 new × 40% good × 3.68 allocation

    $23,800
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $15,500 new × 40% good × 3.68 allocation

    $22,900
  • HVACdefault

    $16,200 new × 40% good × 3.68 allocation

    $23,900
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 3.68 allocation

    $3,900

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$100,600$65,000$300$165,900
2$0$0$7,800$7,800
3$0$0$7,800$7,800
4$0$0$7,800$7,800
5$0$0$7,800$7,800
6+$0$0$272,200$272,200
Total$100,600$65,000$303,600$469,200

The building's share of the price ($446,000) is 3.7x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($121,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.