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Rate 7.99% = 7.24% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 29) + 0.75% investor premium

1031 Rocky Mountain Rd

1031 Rocky Mountain Rd

Big Bear City, CA 92314

$359,000

2 bd · 1 ba · 1,288 sqft · Listed 1d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1980

Sqft

1,288

Lot sqft

7,560

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-11-02T18:30:17.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$24,194

ADR

$194

Occupancy

34%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$6,256

Confidence

Low (30.24), 49 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$11,572$16,827$28,950

Median revenue of shown comps: $16,540

  • The Big Bear Phoenix Chalet

    Chalet · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 4 · 459 ft

    Revenue $38,992ADR $179Occ ≈ 60%4.9★ (519)

    Airbnb

  • Cabin Retreat w/Spa & Large Fenced Yard

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $2,600ADR $339Occ ≈ 2%4.5★ (2)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Modern A-Frame by Snow Play, Forest & Lake w/Spa

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $60,110ADR $407Occ ≈ 40%4.7★ (28)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy 2 bedroom home with mountain view

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace
    • +1

    Revenue $24,204ADR $148Occ ≈ 45%4.8★ (38)

    Airbnb

  • HotTub/GameRoom With King Bed!

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $28,308ADR $264Occ ≈ 29%4.9★ (83)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 'Château Forêt' in Big Bear w/ Hiking Trail Access

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $13,570ADR $295Occ ≈ 13%4.8★ (45)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy Mountain Cabin; Ski Views!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $26,326ADR $228Occ ≈ 32%4.8★ (273)

    Airbnb

  • Big Bear Fun on the Runway

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace

    Revenue $3,760ADR $222Occ ≈ 5%5★ (7)

    Airbnb

  • Mountain View Lodge

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $12,640ADR $249Occ ≈ 14%5★ (55)

    Airbnb

  • Mullins

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $5,323ADR $247Occ ≈ 6%4.2★ (44)

    Airbnb

Show 38 more
  • Spirited Away Cabin at Big Bear Lake

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $23,040ADR $201Occ ≈ 31%4.8★ (145)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Fairway Landing-Hot tub, close to Village and Ski

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $28,345ADR $198Occ ≈ 39%4.7★ (73)

    Delisted

  • Cozy Big Bear Cabin Near Lake & Ski w/ Fireplace

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $16,253ADR $226Occ ≈ 20%4.3★ (18)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Eagles Nest - Contemporary Vacation Getaway

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $27,366ADR $235Occ ≈ 32%4.9★ (160)

    Airbnb

  • Time to relax in this spacious 2bd/2bathroom cabin

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $7,146ADR $210Occ ≈ 9%5★ (68)

    Airbnb

  • Bear City Relaxing Retreat- Shasta Mountain Cabin

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $12,280ADR $302Occ ≈ 11%4★ (2)

    Airbnb

  • Shasta Mountain Cabin#1916

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $6,880ADR $529Occ ≈ 4%2.5★ (3)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Shasta Mountain Cabin#1916

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $17,881ADR $275Occ ≈ 18%4★ (1)

    Booking

  • Snowridge Hideaway: 2BR Cozy Cabin

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $6,729ADR $252Occ ≈ 7%5★ (3)

    Airbnb

  • Big Bear Berghuis- Quiet Retreat w/ Mountain Views

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $44,136ADR $171Occ ≈ 71%4.9★ (230)

    Airbnb

  • THE OHANA at BIG BEAR

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $25,908ADR $272Occ ≈ 26%4.8★ (171)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Modern Big Bear Cabin w/ Fireplace + Fenced Yard

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $7,385ADR $371Occ ≈ 5%4.8★ (13)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy Big Bear Cabin w/ Hot Tub & Outdoor Kitchen!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $47,814ADR $171Occ ≈ 77%4.8★ (136)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 🐻 Cozy Big Bear Cabin with big gated backyard 🐶

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $11,935ADR $188Occ ≈ 17%4.7★ (195)

    Airbnb

  • Big Bear Fun on the Runway

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $28,950ADR $488Occ ≈ 16%3★ (1)

    Airbnb

  • Vitamin Bear: Cozy Cabin + Hot Tub + Fenced Yard

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $54,575ADR $251Occ ≈ 60%5★ (153)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 5 mins to Ski Resorts | Walk to Snow Play + Sauna

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $61,892ADR $225Occ ≈ 75%4.9★ (547)

    Airbnb

  • The Blue Cottage, Big Bear

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $28,045ADR $197Occ ≈ 39%5★ (77)

    Delisted

  • Sleepy Basset Chateau-2bd 1bath BBQ-EV Charger

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $18,404ADR $385Occ ≈ 13%5★ (54)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Modern Mountain Retreat+Firepl+Location

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $41,858ADR $182Occ ≈ 63%4.8★ (142)

    Airbnb

  • Spacious cozy chalet huge deck over seasonal creek

    Chalet · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +2

    Revenue $16,827ADR $214Occ ≈ 22%4.8★ (133)

    Airbnb

  • Fenced yard | Pets ok | Firepit | ski slope

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.4 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $15,383ADR $209Occ ≈ 20%4.9★ (294)

    Airbnb

  • Cozy Cabin-Close to Lake, Hikes, Village, Speedway

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $7,908ADR $243Occ ≈ 9%5★ (96)

    Delisted

  • Aeroplane Gambrel Chalet- Adorable Airport Retreat Cottage

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $11,762ADR $285Occ ≈ 11%—

    Booking

  • Aeroplane Gambrel Chalet- Adorable Airport Retreat

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.4 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $13,268ADR $382Occ ≈ 10%3★ (4)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Polar Cottage

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $39,709ADR $159Occ ≈ 68%4.8★ (24)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Mountain Deer Cabin | Foosball · Fenced Yard

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen

    Revenue $4,345ADR $277Occ ≈ 4%5★ (5)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy Cabin located near Slopes- close to stores

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace

    Revenue $6,557ADR $151Occ ≈ 12%4.7★ (192)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Aerobear Den • Fenced • Pup Friendly |

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.4 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $36,428ADR $285Occ ≈ 35%4.8★ (325)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Modern Grizzly Basin Spa · Firepit · Pet Friendly

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $47,454ADR $323Occ ≈ 40%4.8★ (89)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Big Bear Ski Hideaway! Cozy Cabin w/ Fenced Yard

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $24,868ADR $175Occ ≈ 39%4.3★ (17)

    Airbnb

  • THE OHANA at BIG BEAR

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $14,850ADR $192Occ ≈ 21%4.3★ (3)

    Delisted

  • Big Bear Ski Hideaway! Cozy Cabin w/ Fenced Yard

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $12,779ADR $126Occ ≈ 28%5★ (2)

    Booking

  • Adorable Cabin Retreat!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $10,193ADR $241Occ ≈ 12%4.8★ (13)

    Airbnb

  • Big Bear Yellow Tulip

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.4 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $5,646ADR $198Occ ≈ 8%4.6★ (69)

    Airbnb

  • Cozy Mountain Cabin Retreat with Outdoor Fun & Relaxing Scenic Escape in Big Bear Lake, California

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $14,112ADR $394Occ ≈ 10%—

    Booking

  • PikkuBear: Spa, Arcade, FencedYard, Firepit

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $31,897ADR $271Occ ≈ 32%4.7★ (90)

    Airbnb

  • Highbearnation Cabin, 1 Night Free!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $11,572ADR $280Occ ≈ 11%4.4★ (18)

    Airbnb

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.99% = 7.24% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 29) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$24,194

NOI

$7,440

Cash flow /mo

-$1,354

Cash needed

$126,110

Cash-on-cash

-12.9%

ROE (yr 1)

-2.6%

Cap rate

2.1%

DSCR

0.31

Year-1 write-off

$86,009

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$27,523

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$16,246
  • Principal paydown$2,254
  • Appreciation at%$10,770
ROE-2.6%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$4,839
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$726
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,210
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$4,488
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$1,831

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$89,750
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$14,360
  • Furnishing (bought new)$22,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$27,523

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$215,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$64,000 · 30%

Year-1 deduction

$86,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$28,000

Land 40% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $151,000 over 39 years · new furniture $22,000

Based on: 1,288 sq ft, built 1980, 2 bd / 1 ba, unfurnished, listing features (fence, game room, fireplace, flooring types).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $69,000 in year 1 (22% short-life, $22,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$62,300
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $8,600 new × 40% good × 2.04 allocation

    $7,000
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $7,100 new × 40% good × 2.04 allocation

    $5,800
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $2,300 new × 40% good × 2.04 allocation

    $1,800
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $200 new × 40% good × 2.04 allocation

    $100
  • Shelvingdefault

    $900 new × 40% good × 2.04 allocation

    $700
  • Window coverings (13)default

    $3,300 new × 40% good × 2.04 allocation

    $2,600
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (100% of floors)listing

    $8,300 new × 40% good × 2.04 allocation

    $6,800
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $6,700 new × 40% good × 2.04 allocation

    $5,500
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,100 new × 40% good × 2.04 allocation

    $3,300
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 2.04 allocation

    $6,600
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $16,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $16,000
  • Game-room equipment bought newlisting

    $6,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $6,000
15-year land improvements$23,600
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $7,400 new × 50% good × 2.04 allocation

    $7,600
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $7,200 new × 50% good × 2.04 allocation

    $7,300
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,300 new × 50% good × 2.04 allocation

    $1,300
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $1,300 new × 50% good × 2.04 allocation

    $1,300
  • Fencinglisting

    $6,000 new × 50% good × 2.04 allocation

    $6,100
Building, 39-year$150,700
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $139,700 new × 40% good × 2.04 allocation

    $113,900
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $14,400 new × 40% good × 2.04 allocation

    $11,800
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $13,600 new × 40% good × 2.04 allocation

    $11,100
  • HVACdefault

    $14,500 new × 40% good × 2.04 allocation

    $11,800
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.04 allocation

    $2,100

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$62,300$23,600$200$86,000
2$0$0$3,900$3,900
3$0$0$3,900$3,900
4$0$0$3,900$3,900
5$0$0$3,900$3,900
6+$0$0$135,100$135,100
Total$62,300$23,600$150,700$236,600

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.