STR Yield
← Back to deals

Rate 7.86% = 7.11% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 12) + 0.75% investor premium

40272 Mahanoy Ln

40272 Mahanoy Ln

Big Bear Lake, CA 92315

$549,000

3 bd · 2 ba · 1,263 sqft · Listed 73d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

2004

Sqft

1,263

Lot sqft

3,999

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

Yes

List date

2026-09-01T01:34:08.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$33,483

ADR

$276

Occupancy

33%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$6,575

Confidence

Low (41.93), 50 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$18,763$32,042$43,150

Median revenue of shown comps: $30,093

  • Hot Tub and Kids Play Set - Take a Break

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 26 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $27,382ADR $276Occ ≈ 27%4.3★ (39)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Escape to Big Bear Lake before Summer Ends

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 125 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $29,020ADR $380Occ ≈ 21%5★ (16)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • La Petite château, easy walk to lake and Village

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 161 ft

    Revenue $11,064ADR $224Occ ≈ 14%4.8★ (77)

    Delisted

  • Lake View Retreat:Lake Views! Pool Table! Hot Tub!

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 295 ft

    Revenue $13,373ADR $242Occ ≈ 15%4.3★ (41)

    Airbnb

  • Bear Hug Cabin- Arcade Game! Centrally Located!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 299 ft

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $26,688ADR $286Occ ≈ 26%5★ (38)

    Airbnb

  • Family Fun close to hiking trails and lake

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 325 ft

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +4

    Revenue $22,402ADR $221Occ ≈ 28%5★ (67)

    Airbnb

  • Accessible Cabin, Hot Tub, Dog Park & EV Charger

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 328 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $79,283ADR $468Occ ≈ 46%5★ (348)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Amazing Dream Cabin in Big Bear Lake

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 328 ft

    Revenue $46,676ADR $274Occ ≈ 47%5★ (200)

    Airbnb

  • Modern 3bdr, Spa, Playroom, Dog Friendly

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 354 ft

    Revenue $37,780ADR $272Occ ≈ 38%4.9★ (332)

    Airbnb

  • Bearadise ~ Enchanted Dream ~ Mountain Escape

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 374 ft

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $60,377ADR $249Occ ≈ 66%5★ (83)

    AirbnbVrbo

Show 30 more
  • Vintage A-Frame Cabin, Near Village, Lake, Trails

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 400 ft

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +2

    Revenue $16,651ADR $275Occ ≈ 17%5★ (195)

    Airbnb

  • Village chic chalet #2113

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 443 ft

    Revenue $4,247ADR $252Occ ≈ 5%—

    Booking

  • *Village Chic Chalet*Walk to Lake*Hot Tub*Modern*

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 476 ft

    Revenue $549ADR $0Occ ≈ —4.3★ (14)

    Booking

  • Ursa Major Lodge Walk to Lake & Village Hot tub firepit

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 476 ft

    Revenue $13,509ADR $279Occ ≈ 13%5★ (1)

    Booking

  • Village Chic Chalet- Walk to Lake- Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 479 ft

    Revenue $37,177ADR $275Occ ≈ 37%4★ (16)

    Airbnb

  • Home From Home in Big Bear Lake

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 479 ft

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $12,936ADR $242Occ ≈ 15%5★ (18)

    Airbnb

  • Family Cabin, Playroom w/ Slide, Walkable, Dog Run

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 482 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +4

    Revenue $18,858ADR $303Occ ≈ 17%5★ (17)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy Mountain Luxury Cabin

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 505 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $14,880ADR $283Occ ≈ 14%4.9★ (156)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Sparkling Chalet: AC • Spa • EV • Games • Village

    Chalet · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +6

    Revenue $43,326ADR $285Occ ≈ 42%4.8★ (414)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Dream Street Retreat - lake, village, trails, more

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $36,346ADR $189Occ ≈ 53%4.9★ (148)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Big Bear Lake Family Cabin, located 5 mins from Snow Play

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $18,731ADR $260Occ ≈ 20%5★ (2)

    Vrbo

  • The Dream Catcher| Modern Rustic w/ Hot Tub & EV

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $31,165ADR $444Occ ≈ 19%4.8★ (15)

    Delisted

  • The Train Getaway Big Bear Lake

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +2

    Revenue $27,402ADR $368Occ ≈ 20%4.2★ (27)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Peaceful Pines #1, with Hot Tub, Dogs Welcome

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $16,885ADR $231Occ ≈ 20%4.6★ (131)

    Delisted

  • Kelley's Kabin-290 by Big Bear Vacations

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $32,919ADR $492Occ ≈ 18%—

    Booking

  • Cabin 30 stand alone 3 bedrooms cabin

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $23,228ADR $356Occ ≈ 18%4★ (4)

    Airbnb

  • Kelley's Kabin Downtown Retreat w/ Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $19,503ADR $457Occ ≈ 12%3.3★ (10)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Dream Catcher - Massive Deck & Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $42,621ADR $405Occ ≈ 29%4.7★ (3)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Attitude Adjustment

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $43,395ADR $238Occ ≈ 50%4.8★ (81)

    Airbnb

  • Walk to Lake & Village, Foosball, Firepit, Deck

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $41,596ADR $0Occ ≈ —5★ (7)

    Booking

  • Dog-friendly chalet by Snow SummitDeckLake views

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $37,079ADR $395Occ ≈ 26%4★ (21)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Lakeview Cabin , Game Room , Parking , Hot Tub

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $16,290ADR $603Occ ≈ 7%—

    Delisted

  • Family Mountain Retreat Hot Tub/walking to Village

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $21,094ADR $519Occ ≈ 11%4.8★ (33)

    Airbnb

  • Chateau Wonderland-0.9 mi-Village♦️walk to lake✨SPA

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $34,290ADR $415Occ ≈ 23%5★ (198)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • New! Cute w/Spa, Dogs OK-The Wilderness Haven

    House · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $36,213ADR $357Occ ≈ 28%4.2★ (27)

    AirbnbBooking

  • AC + Hot Tub + Pool Table + Walk to Village

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +4

    Revenue $40,609ADR $536Occ ≈ 21%4.7★ (36)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Lakeview Pines Log Cabin #2585

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $76,924ADR $563Occ ≈ 37%—

    Booking

  • Lakeview Pines Log Cabin - Custom Built Village Log Cabin Retreat w/ Hot Tub, Pool Table

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $78,147ADR $576Occ ≈ 37%5★ (1)

    Booking

  • Lakeview Pines Log Cabin - Custom Built Retreat

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $76,569ADR $556Occ ≈ 38%4.5★ (9)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Pool Table! Foosball! Fenced Yard! Prime Location!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $46,122ADR $279Occ ≈ 45%4.8★ (103)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.86% = 7.11% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 12) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$33,483

NOI

$11,069

Cash flow /mo

-$2,059

Cash needed

$159,210

Cash-on-cash

-15.5%

ROE (yr 1)

-3.0%

Cap rate

2.0%

DSCR

0.31

Year-1 write-off

$117,963

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$37,748

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$24,705
  • Principal paydown$3,536
  • Appreciation at%$16,470
ROE-3.0%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$6,697
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,004
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,674
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$7,064
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$2,800

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$137,250
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$21,960
  • Furnishing (conveyed with the sale)$0

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$37,748

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$441,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$117,000 · 27%

Year-1 deduction

$118,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$38,000

Land 20% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $324,000 over 39 years

Based on: 1,263 sq ft, built 2004, 3 bd / 2 ba, furnished, listing features (deck, fence, fireplace, stone counters, appliance list).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $73,000 in year 1 (16% short-life, $23,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$64,300
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $8,600 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $10,000
  • Kitchen countertops (stone)listing

    $8,800 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $10,300
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $2,200 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $2,600
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $400
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $1,400
  • Window coverings (13)default

    $3,300 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $3,800
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)default

    $3,300 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $3,800
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $6,700 new × 56% good × 2.93 allocation

    $10,900
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,000 new × 56% good × 2.93 allocation

    $6,600
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator)listing

    $5,700 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $6,700
  • Furniture conveyed with the sale (used)listing

    $19,500 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $7,800
15-year land improvements$52,600
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $7,400 new × 50% good × 2.93 allocation

    $10,800
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $7,100 new × 50% good × 2.93 allocation

    $10,400
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,200 new × 50% good × 2.93 allocation

    $1,800
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $14,200 new × 50% good × 2.93 allocation

    $20,800
  • Fencinglisting

    $6,000 new × 50% good × 2.93 allocation

    $8,800
Building, 39-year$323,800
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $136,500 new × 63% good × 2.93 allocation

    $253,300
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $14,200 new × 56% good × 2.93 allocation

    $23,200
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $13,300 new × 56% good × 2.93 allocation

    $21,800
  • HVACdefault

    $14,200 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $16,700
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $4,900 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $5,700
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.93 allocation

    $3,100

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$64,300$52,600$1,000$118,000
2$0$0$8,300$8,300
3$0$0$8,300$8,300
4$0$0$8,300$8,300
5$0$0$8,300$8,300
6+$0$0$289,600$289,600
Total$64,300$52,600$323,800$440,700

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.