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39196 Seminole Dr

39196 Seminole Dr

Fawnskin, CA 92333

$759,000

3 bd · 2 ba · Listed 4d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidence

Year built

2000

Sqft

—

Lot sqft

15,894

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

Yes

List date

2026-09-25T04:49:46.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$31,189

ADR

$473

Occupancy

18%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$5,356

Confidence

Low (28.31), 21 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$15,539$24,949$47,782
  • Lakefront Oasis

    Chalet · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $45,299ADR $474Occ ≈ 26%4.8★ (63)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Sueños Azules- Fawnskin Retreat Cottage in Big Bear

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $61,456ADR $850Occ ≈ 20%—

    Booking

  • Blue Dreams - Fawnskin Retreat in Big Bear

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $18,898ADR $658Occ ≈ 8%3.6★ (3)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Pleasant Pause Fawnskin- Lakeside Family Retreat

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $23,852ADR $634Occ ≈ 10%4.5★ (2)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Pleasant Pause Family Retreat | Across from Lake | Fawnskin, Big Bear

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $12,887ADR $416Occ ≈ 8%—

    Booking

  • Blue Jay Cottage: Fawnskin!Guest Quarters!Vintage!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $7,089ADR $239Occ ≈ 8%4.4★ (62)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Fawnskin Gem | Deck, Firepit & Backyard

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $29,790ADR $382Occ ≈ 21%4.5★ (9)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Authentic Pet-Friendly Cabin Retreat Nestled Among the Pines

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $6,881ADR $3,154Occ ≈ 1%—

    Booking

  • Fawnskin Gem | Deck, Firepit & Backyard

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $0ADR $0Occ ≈ ——

    Airbnb

  • Postcard Mountain Retreat: Scenic Views & Hot Tub!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $48,465ADR $354Occ ≈ 38%5★ (30)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Show all 21 comps
  • Pinglewood Cabin in Fawnskin-

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $17,759ADR $273Occ ≈ 18%4.8★ (18)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Walk to Lake: Rustic Home w/ Deck in Fawnskin

    House · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $17,247ADR $204Occ ≈ 23%4.4★ (90)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Navigate Stays Cabin w Firepit & Mountain Views

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $10,205ADR $270Occ ≈ 10%4.7★ (13)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Fawnskin Modern | Lake Views, Deck, BBQ

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $60,005ADR $520Occ ≈ 32%5★ (22)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Vivienda De Osos Walk to the Lake Spacious Fawnskin Retreat Chalet

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $52,122ADR $865Occ ≈ 17%—

    Booking

  • Lakeview mountain retreat

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $58,001ADR $998Occ ≈ 16%5★ (1)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • The Fawnskin Hideaway+ Lake View + BBQ/Patio!

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $31,043ADR $266Occ ≈ 32%4.2★ (5)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • NEW Hot Tub! VIEW-Walk to Marina. Close Slopes FC

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $16,423ADR $567Occ ≈ 8%4.6★ (57)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Escape noise and reset serene Big Bear retreat

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $611ADR $611Occ ≈ 0%5★ (1)

    Airbnb

  • Idle Ours Cabin ~ Rustic and Cozy Cabin with Fireplace & Private BBQ - Walk to Big Bear Lake

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $47,554ADR $481Occ ≈ 27%—

    Booking

  • Fireplace + Game Room + Panoramic Lake Views

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $26,045ADR $460Occ ≈ 16%4.2★ (23)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing

Est. revenue

$31,189

NOI

$6,036

Cash flow /mo

$503

Cash needed

$789,360

Cash-on-cash (all cash)

0.8%

ROE (yr 1)

3.6%

Cap rate

0.8%

DSCR

—

Year-1 write-off

$126,374

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$40,440

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)$6,036
  • Principal paydown (n/a, cash)$0
  • Appreciation at%$22,770
ROE3.6%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)8.8%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$6,238
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$936
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,559
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$9,488
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$3,871

Cash needed to close

  • Purchase price (all cash)$759,000
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$30,360
  • Furnishing (conveyed with the sale)$0

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$40,440

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$609,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$125,000 · 21%

Year-1 deduction

$126,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$40,000

Land 20% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $484,000 over 39 years

Based on: ~1,900 sq ft (from beds), built 2000, 3 bd / 2 ba, furnished, listing features (fence, fireplace, stone counters, flooring types, appliance list).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $91,000 in year 1 (15% short-life, $29,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$80,500
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,000 new × 40% good × 3.22 allocation

    $12,800
  • Kitchen countertops (stone)listing

    $10,200 new × 40% good × 3.22 allocation

    $13,100
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,300 new × 40% good × 3.22 allocation

    $4,300
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 3.22 allocation

    $400
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 3.22 allocation

    $1,500
  • Window coverings (19)default

    $4,800 new × 40% good × 3.22 allocation

    $6,100
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (33% of floors)listing

    $4,100 new × 40% good × 3.22 allocation

    $5,300
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,800 new × 48% good × 3.22 allocation

    $12,000
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,700 new × 48% good × 3.22 allocation

    $7,200
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $7,700 new × 40% good × 3.22 allocation

    $9,900
  • Furniture conveyed with the sale (used)listing

    $19,500 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $7,800
15-year land improvements$44,300
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $9,000 new × 50% good × 3.22 allocation

    $14,600
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $8,700 new × 50% good × 3.22 allocation

    $14,000
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,900 new × 50% good × 3.22 allocation

    $3,000
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $1,900 new × 50% good × 3.22 allocation

    $3,000
  • Fencinglisting

    $6,000 new × 50% good × 3.22 allocation

    $9,700
Building, 39-year$483,900
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $206,100 new × 57% good × 3.22 allocation

    $376,400
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $21,400 new × 48% good × 3.22 allocation

    $33,100
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $21,400 new × 48% good × 3.22 allocation

    $33,000
  • HVACdefault

    $21,400 new × 40% good × 3.22 allocation

    $27,600
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $8,200 new × 40% good × 3.22 allocation

    $10,500
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 3.22 allocation

    $3,400

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$80,500$44,300$1,600$126,400
2$0$0$12,400$12,400
3$0$0$12,400$12,400
4$0$0$12,400$12,400
5$0$0$12,400$12,400
6+$0$0$432,800$432,800
Total$80,500$44,300$483,900$608,800

The building's share of the price ($601,000) is 3.2x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($186,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California and Georgia disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.