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Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 15) + 0.75% investor premium

21906 Coloma Dr

21906 Coloma Dr

Palo Cedro, CA 96073

$895,000

5 bd · 2.5 ba · 3,680 sqft · Listed today

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1982

Sqft

3,680

Lot sqft

196,020

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-20T07:17:16.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$59,342

ADR

$385

Occupancy

42%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$7,976

Confidence

Low (51.73), 5 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$34,800$38,749$68,598

Few similar-size comps were found, so all comps are shown.

Median revenue of shown comps: $38,749

  • Revival Ranchette - Mountain Views

    House · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $38,749ADR $564Occ ≈ 19%5★ (42)

    Delisted

  • -The Bluebird- Located on our Flower Farm

    Farm stay · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.1 mi

    Revenue $68,598ADR $502Occ ≈ 37%5★ (11)

    Delisted

  • Palo Cedro Family Retreat: Pool, Nat'l Park, Lakes

    Vacation home · 5 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 12 · 1.1 mi

    Revenue $33,467ADR $577Occ ≈ 16%—

    Booking

  • Palo Cedro Family Retreat: Pool, Nat'l Park, Lakes

    House · 5 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 12 · 1.1 mi

    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +2

    Revenue $34,800ADR $591Occ ≈ 16%5★ (5)

    Airbnb

  • French Creek Estate| Style+Peace

    House · 5 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 2.1 mi

    Revenue $91,846ADR $562Occ ≈ 45%5★ (16)

    Airbnb

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 15) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$59,342

NOI

$23,445

Cash flow /mo

-$3,042

Cash needed

$286,050

Cash-on-cash

-12.8%

ROE (yr 1)

-1.5%

Cap rate

2.6%

DSCR

0.39

Year-1 write-off

$190,822

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$61,063

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$36,504
  • Principal paydown$5,443
  • Appreciation at%$26,850
ROE-1.5%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$11,868
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,780
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,967
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$11,188
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$5,236

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$223,750
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$35,800
  • Furnishing (bought new)$26,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$61,063

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$615,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$164,000 · 27%

Year-1 deduction

$191,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$61,000

Land 31% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $451,000 over 39 years · new furniture $27,000

Based on: 3,680 sq ft, built 1982, 5 bd / 2.5 ba, unfurnished, listing features (pool, fireplace, flooring types, septic).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $160,000 in year 1 (22% short-life, $51,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$89,400
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $13,900 new × 40% good × 2.02 allocation

    $11,200
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $11,300 new × 40% good × 2.02 allocation

    $9,200
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $6,400 new × 40% good × 2.02 allocation

    $5,200
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 2.02 allocation

    $200
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,800 new × 40% good × 2.02 allocation

    $1,500
  • Window coverings (37)default

    $9,300 new × 40% good × 2.02 allocation

    $7,500
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)listing

    $9,500 new × 40% good × 2.02 allocation

    $7,600
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $10,800 new × 40% good × 2.02 allocation

    $8,700
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $6,500 new × 40% good × 2.02 allocation

    $5,300
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 2.02 allocation

    $6,500
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $26,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $26,500
15-year land improvements$101,000
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $15,700 new × 50% good × 2.02 allocation

    $15,900
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $12,100 new × 50% good × 2.02 allocation

    $12,200
  • Patiosdefault

    $3,600 new × 50% good × 2.02 allocation

    $3,700
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $3,600 new × 50% good × 2.02 allocation

    $3,700
  • Pool (in-ground)listing

    $65,000 new × 50% good × 2.02 allocation

    $65,600
Building, 39-year$451,000
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $400,000 new × 40% good × 2.02 allocation

    $322,800
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $41,500 new × 40% good × 2.02 allocation

    $33,500
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $43,900 new × 40% good × 2.02 allocation

    $35,400
  • HVACdefault

    $41,500 new × 40% good × 2.02 allocation

    $33,500
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $14,200 new × 40% good × 2.02 allocation

    $11,500
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.02 allocation

    $2,100
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 50% good × 2.02 allocation

    $12,100

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$89,400$101,000$500$190,800
2$0$0$11,600$11,600
3$0$0$11,600$11,600
4$0$0$11,600$11,600
5$0$0$11,600$11,600
6+$0$0$404,200$404,200
Total$89,400$101,000$451,000$641,300

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Rules differ by jurisdiction. City of Redding caps whole-home vacation rentals at 400 with a 600 ft spacing rule (300 ft with a physical buffer), and its permit is NOT transferable to a new owner. Shasta Lake city and unincorporated Shasta County allow permitted rentals with no cap found, but permits also do not transfer on sale. Lodging tax ~10% plus a 2% tourism assessment in Redding. Verify parcel eligibility with the city or county before you buy.