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Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 8) + 0.75% investor premium

2143 Montana Ave

2143 Montana Ave

Shasta Lake, CA 96019

$299,999

3 bd · 2 ba · 1,689 sqft · Listed 1d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

—

Sqft

1,689

Lot sqft

32,670

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-13T20:20:43.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$31,730

ADR

$125

Occupancy

70%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$3,848

Confidence

Low (34.75), 6 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$15,621$25,037$36,738

Few similar-size comps were found, so all comps are shown.

Median revenue of shown comps: $25,037

  • Lounge + Lake

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.4 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +2

    Revenue $29,786ADR $149Occ ≈ 55%4.9★ (72)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • White retreat-close to I5- Petfriendly near Bethel

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +2

    Revenue $52,619ADR $174Occ ≈ 83%4.8★ (82)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Close to I5: Newer Pet-friendly Home Near Bethel

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $20,287ADR $142Occ ≈ 39%3.7★ (3)

    Airbnb

  • Shasta Lake Retreat! 4 Bedroom Home on 1/2 acre

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $14,066ADR $243Occ ≈ 16%5★ (42)

    Delisted

  • A Touch of Class and History II

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $4,622ADR $173Occ ≈ 7%5★ (9)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • A Touch Of Class and History

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $39,055ADR $202Occ ≈ 53%5★ (437)

    Airbnb

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 8) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$31,730

NOI

$13,591

Cash flow /mo

-$542

Cash needed

$106,500

Cash-on-cash

-6.1%

ROE (yr 1)

4.1%

Cap rate

4.5%

DSCR

0.68

Year-1 write-off

$88,005

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$28,162

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$6,504
  • Principal paydown$1,824
  • Appreciation at%$9,000
ROE4.1%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$6,346
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$952
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,587
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$3,750
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$1,755

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$75,000
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$12,000
  • Furnishing (bought new)$19,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$28,162

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$244,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$68,000 · 28%

Year-1 deduction

$88,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$28,000

Land 19% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $175,000 over 39 years · new furniture $20,000

Based on: 1,689 sq ft, age unknown, 3 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (deck, fireplace).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $56,000 in year 1 (15% short-life, $18,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$54,900
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $9,500 new × 40% good × 1.76 allocation

    $6,700
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $7,800 new × 40% good × 1.76 allocation

    $5,500
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,000 new × 40% good × 1.76 allocation

    $2,100
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 1.76 allocation

    $200
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 1.76 allocation

    $800
  • Window coverings (17)default

    $4,300 new × 40% good × 1.76 allocation

    $3,000
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)default

    $4,300 new × 40% good × 1.76 allocation

    $3,100
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,400 new × 40% good × 1.76 allocation

    $5,200
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,500 new × 40% good × 1.76 allocation

    $3,100
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 1.76 allocation

    $5,700
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
15-year land improvements$32,900
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $8,500 new × 50% good × 1.76 allocation

    $7,500
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $8,200 new × 50% good × 1.76 allocation

    $7,200
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,700 new × 50% good × 1.76 allocation

    $1,500
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $19,000 new × 50% good × 1.76 allocation

    $16,700
Building, 39-year$175,300
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $183,000 new × 40% good × 1.76 allocation

    $128,900
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $19,000 new × 40% good × 1.76 allocation

    $13,400
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $18,700 new × 40% good × 1.76 allocation

    $13,200
  • HVACdefault

    $19,000 new × 40% good × 1.76 allocation

    $13,400
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $6,500 new × 40% good × 1.76 allocation

    $4,600
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 1.76 allocation

    $1,900

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$54,900$32,900$200$88,000
2$0$0$4,500$4,500
3$0$0$4,500$4,500
4$0$0$4,500$4,500
5$0$0$4,500$4,500
6+$0$0$157,100$157,100
Total$54,900$32,900$175,300$263,100

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Rules differ by jurisdiction. City of Redding caps whole-home vacation rentals at 400 with a 600 ft spacing rule (300 ft with a physical buffer), and its permit is NOT transferable to a new owner. Shasta Lake city and unincorporated Shasta County allow permitted rentals with no cap found, but permits also do not transfer on sale. Lodging tax ~10% plus a 2% tourism assessment in Redding. Verify parcel eligibility with the city or county before you buy.