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Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

809 San Bernardino Ave

809 San Bernardino Ave

Sugarloaf, CA 92386

$229,999

2 bd · 1 ba · 840 sqft · Listed 4d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1973

Sqft

840

Lot sqft

2,500

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-11-08T00:50:19.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$28,578

ADR

$190

Occupancy

41%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$6,854

Confidence

Low (30.71), 48 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$12,395$20,856$33,380

Median revenue of shown comps: $21,128

  • Pine Forest Retreat - Private Hot Tub & Fire Pit

    House · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 4 · 118 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $36,570ADR $211Occ ≈ 47%4.8★ (209)

    Airbnb

  • AC*HikingTrails+PetsOK+Arcade+FencedYard+BBQ

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 187 ft

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $23,636ADR $241Occ ≈ 27%4.8★ (40)

    Airbnb

  • Heavenly Bear by Big Bear Vacations

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 299 ft

    Revenue $45,723ADR $685Occ ≈ 18%—

    Booking

  • Heavenly bear #2362

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 299 ft

    Revenue $64,676ADR $1,238Occ ≈ 14%—

    Booking

  • Relaxing Heavenly Bear Cottage at Sugarloaf

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 351 ft

    Revenue $18,003ADR $456Occ ≈ 11%3.5★ (2)

    Airbnb

  • The Red Door Chalet — Fireplaces | BBQ | Wifi | EV

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 354 ft

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +2

    Revenue $23,480ADR $212Occ ≈ 30%5★ (52)

    Airbnb

  • Steps from the National Forest: Deck & Gated Yard

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 371 ft

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $30,998ADR $192Occ ≈ 44%5★ (207)

    Airbnb

  • Acute A Frame Cozy Cottage & BBQ

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 381 ft

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $27,952ADR $206Occ ≈ 37%4.5★ (370)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Pops Bear Cabin (Pub, Firepit, BBQ, Games & More)

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 384 ft

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace
    • +2

    Revenue $44,796ADR $184Occ ≈ 67%5★ (247)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy Getaway, Lake, Dog Friendly, Quiet & Peaceful

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 459 ft

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $15,653ADR $294Occ ≈ 15%5★ (34)

    AirbnbVrbo

Show 39 more
  • Vista Sugarloaf ~ Mountain getaway near town & skiing w/ gas grill & spacious deck

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 482 ft

    Revenue $28,196ADR $542Occ ≈ 14%5★ (1)

    Booking

  • Vista Sugarloaf ~Mountain Getaway

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 489 ft

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +2

    Revenue $20,576ADR $498Occ ≈ 11%—

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Spacious Big Bear cabin with fireplace

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 5 · 505 ft

    Revenue $8,858ADR $140Occ ≈ 17%4.9★ (107)

    Delisted

  • Sandy's Place - Walk to hiking trails, Cal King

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $2,894ADR $217Occ ≈ 4%4.3★ (3)

    Airbnb

  • Romantic A Frame w/Eco Organic Bed+Wood Stove

    Chalet · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $57,017ADR $211Occ ≈ 74%5★ (234)

    Airbnb

  • Dog Friendly Cabin + Fenced Backyard! No Pet Fees!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $31,759ADR $213Occ ≈ 41%5★ (99)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy Bear Lodge | Deck, EV charger and Near Slopes

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $17,000ADR $119Occ ≈ 39%5★ (16)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Dutch Gambrel Steps From Forest

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $5,762ADR $174Occ ≈ 9%4.9★ (24)

    Airbnb

  • Sugar Shack: Come Get Cozy & Stay Awhile

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $33,119ADR $173Occ ≈ 52%5★ (179)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy Home with Serene Views. Pet-Friendly!

    House · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $26,333ADR $186Occ ≈ 39%4.9★ (36)

    Airbnb

  • Juniper Hideaway: Steps to Forest + Hot Tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $24,743ADR $391Occ ≈ 17%4.9★ (21)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Apres' Ski Lodge

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $4,628ADR $284Occ ≈ 4%5★ (3)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Sunset Point A Modern A-Frame

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $16,752ADR $203Occ ≈ 23%5★ (56)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Between-the-Pines Cozy Cabin

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $12,293ADR $339Occ ≈ 10%5★ (25)

    Airbnb

  • Onyx Cabin BIG BEAR *Spa* EV Charger*SKI*

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $55,993ADR $216Occ ≈ 71%5★ (152)

    Airbnb

  • Pet friendly Red Farmhouse Cabin

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $5,068ADR $335Occ ≈ 4%4.8★ (38)

    Airbnb

  • 3 Oaks Cabin - Secluded Private Cabin w Hot Tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +4

    Revenue $57,121ADR $214Occ ≈ 73%5★ (171)

    Airbnb

  • The K Chalet - An Intimate Mountain Retreat

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $19,018ADR $227Occ ≈ 23%5★ (78)

    Airbnb

  • Cozy Modern Spa, AC, BBQ, Firepit

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $51,317ADR $214Occ ≈ 66%4.8★ (169)

    Airbnb

  • Quiet Pine Cabin nestled in the National Forest

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $40,391ADR $246Occ ≈ 45%5★ (188)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Pet Welcoming Coyote Creek Cabin-BIG BEAR

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $14,843ADR $1,382Occ ≈ 3%4.8★ (67)

    Delisted

  • Sugarloaf Cabin + Fenced Yard + Fire Pit

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace

    Revenue $9,056ADR $201Occ ≈ 12%4.8★ (23)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 2 Bedroom Cabin

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $14,519ADR $136Occ ≈ 29%4.9★ (9)

    Delisted

  • The Beary Cozy Cabin + open woods near by!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $21,128ADR $113Occ ≈ 51%4.5★ (13)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Mid-Century Cabin w/ Hot Tub Mins to Bear Mountain

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +2

    Revenue $3,165ADR $243Occ ≈ 4%5★ (3)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Newly Remodeled! PetsOK, Bikes,Firepit, Fooseball!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $33,467ADR $172Occ ≈ 53%4.8★ (112)

    Airbnb

  • La Cabanita - Pet Friendly!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $12,702ADR $175Occ ≈ 20%5★ (20)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy Cabin with Arcade Fun

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace
    • +1

    Revenue $32,058ADR $156Occ ≈ 56%5★ (102)

    Airbnb

  • Cozy Mountain Cabin | Relax | Hike | Lake Nearby

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace

    Revenue $2,091ADR $208Occ ≈ 3%5★ (4)

    Airbnb

  • SandyBear Cabin! Open floor plan & covered patio!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $20,583ADR $243Occ ≈ 23%4.8★ (174)

    Airbnb

  • Twin Pines | Cozy Big Bear Cabin w/ Hot Tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $15,948ADR $188Occ ≈ 23%5★ (60)

    Airbnb

  • Family Cabin Retreat Close to Lake, and Trails

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $38,356ADR $194Occ ≈ 54%4.9★ (189)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy Quiet Cabin Escape

    House · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $24,834ADR $155Occ ≈ 44%4.9★ (107)

    Airbnb

  • Noir Cabin BIG BEAR *Spa* EV Charger *A/C* Hiking

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $62,096ADR $223Occ ≈ 76%5★ (261)

    Airbnb

  • Cozy Mountain Cabin | Relax | Hike | Lake Nearby

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $33,514ADR $169Occ ≈ 54%4.9★ (157)

    Delisted

  • Ohana Pines Cabin

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace

    Revenue $13,749ADR $266Occ ≈ 14%5★ (54)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Updated pet-friendly home with fenced yard, deck, near attractions and more!

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $3,514ADR $185Occ ≈ 5%—

    Delisted

  • Cozy Cabin Retreat, 6 Beds w/ hot tub, remodeled

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $6,417ADR $332Occ ≈ 5%4.8★ (13)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cute Cozy Comfort Cabin

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $10,917ADR $228Occ ≈ 13%4.2★ (6)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$28,578

NOI

$12,673

Cash flow /mo

-$201

Cash needed

$82,700

Cash-on-cash

-2.9%

ROE (yr 1)

7.2%

Cap rate

5.5%

DSCR

0.84

Year-1 write-off

$62,759

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$20,083

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$2,415
  • Principal paydown$1,461
  • Appreciation at%$6,900
ROE7.2%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$5,716
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$857
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,429
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$2,875
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$1,173

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$57,500
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$9,200
  • Furnishing (bought new)$16,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$20,083

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$151,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$47,000 · 31%

Year-1 deduction

$63,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$20,000

Land 34% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $105,000 over 39 years · new furniture $16,000

Based on: 840 sq ft, built 1973, 2 bd / 1 ba, unfurnished, listing features (fireplace).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $48,000 in year 1 (21% short-life, $15,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$48,400
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $7,600 new × 40% good × 2.12 allocation

    $6,500
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $6,300 new × 40% good × 2.12 allocation

    $5,300
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $1,500 new × 40% good × 2.12 allocation

    $1,200
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $200 new × 40% good × 2.12 allocation

    $100
  • Shelvingdefault

    $900 new × 40% good × 2.12 allocation

    $800
  • Window coverings (8)default

    $2,000 new × 40% good × 2.12 allocation

    $1,700
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)default

    $2,200 new × 40% good × 2.12 allocation

    $1,800
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $5,900 new × 40% good × 2.12 allocation

    $5,000
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $3,600 new × 40% good × 2.12 allocation

    $3,000
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 2.12 allocation

    $6,900
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $16,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $16,000
15-year land improvements$14,200
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $6,000 new × 50% good × 2.12 allocation

    $6,400
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $5,800 new × 50% good × 2.12 allocation

    $6,100
  • Patiosdefault

    $800 new × 50% good × 2.12 allocation

    $900
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $800 new × 50% good × 2.12 allocation

    $900
Building, 39-year$104,600
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $90,700 new × 40% good × 2.12 allocation

    $76,900
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $9,400 new × 40% good × 2.12 allocation

    $8,000
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $7,900 new × 40% good × 2.12 allocation

    $6,700
  • HVACdefault

    $9,500 new × 40% good × 2.12 allocation

    $8,000
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $3,200 new × 40% good × 2.12 allocation

    $2,700
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.12 allocation

    $2,200

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$48,400$14,200$100$62,800
2$0$0$2,700$2,700
3$0$0$2,700$2,700
4$0$0$2,700$2,700
5$0$0$2,700$2,700
6+$0$0$93,700$93,700
Total$48,400$14,200$104,600$167,200

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.