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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

41730 Brownie Ln Unit 4

41730 Brownie Ln Unit 4

Big Bear Lake, CA 92315

$425,000

3 bd · 2 ba · Listed 26d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Rental historyLow confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1980

Sqft

—

Lot sqft

700

HOA / mo

$483

Furnished

Yes

List date

2026-09-03T17:00:06.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$29,516

ADR

$344

Occupancy

24%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$5,290

Confidence

Low (35.92), 49 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$18,286$28,600$48,024
  • Buttercup #2508

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 39 ft

    Revenue $10,188ADR $509Occ ≈ 5%—

    Booking

  • Buttercup at Snow Summit - Relaxing Resort Haus

    Condominium (condo) · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 49 ft

    Revenue $10,619ADR $442Occ ≈ 7%4.8★ (5)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Pet Friendly! Close to Snow Summit,Lake & Village!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 207 ft

    Revenue $38,010ADR $311Occ ≈ 33%4.8★ (26)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Brownie's Den- Modern Cozy Central Resort Condo

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 210 ft

    Revenue $24,022ADR $369Occ ≈ 18%—

    Booking

  • Walk to Snow Summit + game room, fire pit & spa!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 279 ft

    Revenue $27,416ADR $549Occ ≈ 14%5★ (55)

    Airbnb

  • Next to Summit: Hot tub, Fenced Yard, A/C, Tesla

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 318 ft

    Revenue $32,042ADR $516Occ ≈ 17%4.9★ (71)

    Airbnb

  • Casa Makim-Walk to Slopes, Hot Tub, Fireplace, Jet Tub, BBQ

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 325 ft

    Revenue $20,661ADR $305Occ ≈ 19%—

    Booking

  • Big Red N The Pines Prime location/spacious rooms

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 358 ft

    Revenue $13,224ADR $305Occ ≈ 12%4.9★ (72)

    Airbnb

  • Brownie Retreat #2619

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 367 ft

    Revenue $1,641ADR $536Occ ≈ 1%—

    Booking

  • Brownie Resort Your Walk-to-Summit Getaway Family's Snowboarders Skiers

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 7 · 367 ft

    Revenue $37,087ADR $515Occ ≈ 20%—

    Booking

Show all 49 comps
  • Brownie Retreat Walk-to-Summit Mountain Getaway for Snowboarders & Skiers

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 7 · 367 ft

    Revenue $38,213ADR $483Occ ≈ 22%0.5★ (1)

    Booking

  • Walk to Snow Summit - Brownie B

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 371 ft

    Revenue $25,262ADR $196Occ ≈ 35%4.8★ (31)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Walk to Snow Summit - Brownie A

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 371 ft

    Revenue $29,462ADR $134Occ ≈ 60%4.6★ (29)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Brownie Retreat: Walk to Snow Summit

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 381 ft

    Revenue $24,966ADR $312Occ ≈ 22%4.9★ (41)

    Airbnb

  • Brownie Retreat | Walk to Summit Ski Resort

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 381 ft

    Revenue $18,992ADR $511Occ ≈ 10%1★ (1)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Brownie Resort | Your Walk-to-Summit Ski Resort

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 7 · 381 ft

    Revenue $19,514ADR $662Occ ≈ 8%5★ (1)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Happy Trails: Hot Tub! Pool Table! Yard! BBQ!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 384 ft

    Revenue $50,576ADR $305Occ ≈ 45%4.5★ (119)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Rustic Cottage Near Snow Summit · Loft · Sleeps 8

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 404 ft

    Revenue $35,822ADR $343Occ ≈ 29%4.7★ (29)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Majestic sky retreat #2090

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 407 ft

    Revenue $103,923ADR $699Occ ≈ 41%—

    Booking

  • Majestic Sky Basecamp Ski Haus Retreat- Spa- Games

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 413 ft

    Revenue $54,478ADR $586Occ ≈ 25%4.7★ (33)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Walk to Summit, Spa, Foosball Spacious and Central

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 459 ft

    Revenue $12,289ADR $427Occ ≈ 8%4.8★ (44)

    Airbnb

  • Mountain Bear Chalet HotTub Pool Table Near Summit

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 466 ft

    Revenue $52,630ADR $398Occ ≈ 36%4.7★ (62)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Sweet Retreat Ski Haus Cottage at Big Bear Lake

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 466 ft

    Revenue $28,600ADR $321Occ ≈ 24%4.2★ (8)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Sweet retreat 2 #2333

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 472 ft

    Revenue $61,962ADR $474Occ ≈ 36%—

    Booking

  • Papa’s Villa: Pool Table!Propane BBQ!Pet Friendly!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 515 ft

    Revenue $50,160ADR $315Occ ≈ 44%4.8★ (157)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Classic Big Bear Home, Walk to Summit w/Game Room

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $25,342ADR $403Occ ≈ 17%4.8★ (41)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Paradise Slopes | Hot Tub | Game Room | By Slopes

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $23,766ADR $441Occ ≈ 15%4.6★ (20)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Remodeled Home! Walk to Snow Summit!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $5,701ADR $398Occ ≈ 4%4.9★ (28)

    Airbnb

  • Walking to Lake + Slope • Charming Big Bear Cabin

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $4,891ADR $271Occ ≈ 5%—

    Airbnb

  • Mountain adventure #1931

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $55,221ADR $552Occ ≈ 27%3.5★ (1)

    Booking

  • The Cosmic Brownie | <1mi Summit + EV + Spa

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $55,590ADR $427Occ ≈ 36%4.6★ (13)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Bear Bunch Lodge - Hot Tub, Game Room

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $50,532ADR $304Occ ≈ 46%4.6★ (22)

    Airbnb

  • Mountain Adventure Ski Haus w/ Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $40,945ADR $386Occ ≈ 29%4.2★ (35)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • El Alamo, 1 Night Free!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $13,538ADR $275Occ ≈ 13%4.8★ (153)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Hot Tub & Fire Pit! Walk to LAKE & Slopes! THR

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $21,481ADR $474Occ ≈ 12%4.8★ (11)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Pet Friendly bungalow near slopesYardDeckBBQ

    House · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $44,941ADR $203Occ ≈ 61%4.6★ (11)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Log Cabin Walk to the Summit, Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $18,286ADR $358Occ ≈ 14%4.8★ (45)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Epic Game Room, Hot Tub, Near Summit & Village

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $59,514ADR $415Occ ≈ 39%5★ (52)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Golden West Cottage #2581

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $63,548ADR $590Occ ≈ 30%—

    Booking

  • Chic 3BR Cabin • Walk to Snow Summit & Near Lake

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $48,024ADR $354Occ ≈ 37%5★ (60)

    Airbnb

  • Cozy Cabin in the Pines -Near Summit & Everything!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $30,472ADR $364Occ ≈ 23%5★ (31)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • RedDoorChalet

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $11,932ADR $214Occ ≈ 15%4.8★ (53)

    Airbnb

  • Central Big Bear Home • Hot Tub + Outdoor Firepit

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $10,386ADR $410Occ ≈ 7%5★ (74)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Hidden Gem, Hot tub, Close to Summit Mtn Trails

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $2,260ADR $315Occ ≈ 2%5★ (3)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy Big Bear Lake family cottage, at the foot of Ski Summit!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $6,248ADR $412Occ ≈ 4%5★ (44)

    Vrbo

  • Great Outdoor Space w/ Hot Tub And Large Yard

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $29,396ADR $382Occ ≈ 21%4.8★ (46)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Summit's Trident, Spa, Game Room, Snow Summit

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $55,704ADR $416Occ ≈ 37%5★ (102)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Central Big Bear Lake Retreat w/ Private Hot Tub!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $29,568ADR $354Occ ≈ 23%4.8★ (45)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Walk 2 Trails+Hot Tub+Grill+Pacman+Shuffleboard+EV

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $28,600ADR $536Occ ≈ 15%5★ (19)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$29,516

NOI

$4,413

Cash flow /mo

-$1,922

Cash needed

$123,250

Cash-on-cash

-18.7%

ROE (yr 1)

-6.1%

Cap rate

1.0%

DSCR

0.16

Year-1 write-off

$72,907

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$23,330

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$23,069
  • Principal paydown$2,781
  • Appreciation at%$12,750
ROE-6.1%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)12.8%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$5,903
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$885
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,476
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$5,796
  • Property tax$6,457
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$2,168

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$106,250
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$17,000
  • Furnishing (conveyed with the sale)$0

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$23,330

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$342,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$72,000 · 21%

Year-1 deduction

$73,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$23,000

Land 20% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $270,000 over 39 years

Based on: ~1,900 sq ft (from beds), built 1980, 3 bd / 2 ba, furnished, listing features (game room, fireplace, stone counters, flooring types, appliance list).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $48,000 in year 1 (14% short-life, $15,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$72,000
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,000 new × 40% good × 2.47 allocation

    $9,900
  • Kitchen countertops (stone)listing

    $10,200 new × 40% good × 2.47 allocation

    $10,100
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,300 new × 40% good × 2.47 allocation

    $3,300
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 2.47 allocation

    $300
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 2.47 allocation

    $1,200
  • Window coverings (19)default

    $4,800 new × 40% good × 2.47 allocation

    $4,700
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (100% of floors)listing

    $12,200 new × 40% good × 2.47 allocation

    $12,100
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,800 new × 40% good × 2.47 allocation

    $7,700
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,700 new × 40% good × 2.47 allocation

    $4,600
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 2.47 allocation

    $8,000
  • Furniture conveyed with the sale (used)listing

    $19,500 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $7,800
  • Game-room equipment (used)listing

    $6,000 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $2,400
Building, 39-year$270,000
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $206,100 new × 40% good × 2.47 allocation

    $203,900
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $21,400 new × 40% good × 2.47 allocation

    $21,200
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $21,400 new × 40% good × 2.47 allocation

    $21,100
  • HVACdefault

    $21,400 new × 40% good × 2.47 allocation

    $21,200
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.47 allocation

    $2,600

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$72,000$0$900$72,900
2$0$0$6,900$6,900
3$0$0$6,900$6,900
4$0$0$6,900$6,900
5$0$0$6,900$6,900
6+$0$0$241,400$241,400
Total$72,000$0$270,000$342,000

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California and Georgia disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.