STR Yield
← Back to deals

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

41435 McWhinney Ln

41435 McWhinney Ln

Big Bear Lake, CA 92315

$729,000

3 bd · 2 ba · 1,341 sqft · Listed 25d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

1967

Sqft

1,341

Lot sqft

6,325

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

Yes

List date

2026-09-04T14:48:34.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$38,256

ADR

$328

Occupancy

32%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$7,248

Confidence

Low (44.82), 49 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$24,218$32,856$49,152
  • Bohemia Resort Retreat- Hot Tub- Games- Ski/Hike

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 33 ft

    Revenue $32,096ADR $494Occ ≈ 18%4.8★ (31)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Evening Breeze:Pet Friendly!Spa!Walk to Village!

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 75 ft

    Revenue $39,854ADR $562Occ ≈ 19%4.7★ (104)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Barbecue + Fenced Yard + Close to Meadow Park

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 89 ft

    Revenue $4,319ADR $239Occ ≈ 5%4.3★ (3)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Bohemia big bear #1926

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 102 ft

    Revenue $70,373ADR $1,064Occ ≈ 18%—

    Booking

  • Lakeside Living | 3BR Cabin 3min to Big Bear Lake

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 161 ft

    Revenue $24,495ADR $108Occ ≈ 62%5★ (3)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Owl's Nest-Cozy Mountain Retreat w/Private HotTub.

    House · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 164 ft

    Revenue $24,846ADR $0Occ ≈ —4.7★ (16)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Midnight Pines Cabin: Cozy Get-Away Near Slopes!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 7 · 305 ft

    Revenue $29,807ADR $262Occ ≈ 31%4.7★ (14)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Hummingbird Corner*A/C - Pet Friendly / Great Loca

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 364 ft

    Revenue $71,120ADR $249Occ ≈ 78%5★ (104)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Big Bear Happy Place~ Hot Tub~ Games~ Walk to Village~

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 390 ft

    Revenue $17,861ADR $230Occ ≈ 21%3★ (1)

    Booking

  • Big Bear Happy Place - Hot Tub- Arcade- Village

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 400 ft

    Revenue $14,792ADR $362Occ ≈ 11%4.5★ (8)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Show all 50 comps
  • Lake Hub Everything Big Bear, Hot Tub, Pool Table

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 423 ft

    Revenue $39,678ADR $311Occ ≈ 35%5★ (84)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • “Eurelax” - Hot Tub - Huge Yard -5 Min to Village!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 463 ft

    Revenue $41,915ADR $222Occ ≈ 52%4.8★ (56)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Conklin Pines Retreat, Hot Tub Getaway, Game Room

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 472 ft

    Revenue $55,537ADR $299Occ ≈ 51%5★ (105)

    Airbnb

  • Family Cabin #6 3Bedroom Pet Friendly Near Town

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 476 ft

    Revenue $26,812ADR $190Occ ≈ 39%4.3★ (60)

    Airbnb

  • Way Back Wren Cabin

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 482 ft

    Revenue $22,559ADR $311Occ ≈ 20%4.7★ (52)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Rancho Pines I Ponderosa, Ski+Village+Lake+Hot Tub

    Chalet · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 5 · 486 ft

    Revenue $49,409ADR $255Occ ≈ 53%5★ (389)

    Airbnb

  • Located Btwn Summit&the Village!Pets OK!PoolTable!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $33,909ADR $261Occ ≈ 36%4.8★ (48)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Modern, Cozy Mountain Cabin/close to Snow Summit

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $52,939ADR $422Occ ≈ 34%4.8★ (120)

    Airbnb

  • Alpine Villa - Walk to the Main Village and Lake

    Villa · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $50,410ADR $245Occ ≈ 56%4.8★ (382)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Luxury Boho Cabin near Village with deck and fireplace!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $1,412ADR $353Occ ≈ 1%5★ (1)

    Vrbo

  • Charming 3 Bedroom 2 Bath Cabin Close To Slopes

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $1,854ADR $463Occ ≈ 1%5★ (56)

    Airbnb

  • 2614 - Cielos Nest

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $23,514ADR $387Occ ≈ 17%—

    Booking

  • HOT TUB! Game Room W/Games Galore! 2 Fire Pits!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $54,900ADR $428Occ ≈ 35%4.8★ (58)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Four Bears Cabin w/ Hot Tub + Games

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $45,589ADR $781Occ ≈ 16%4.4★ (10)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Luxury boho inspired cabin close to village! mountain view, deck, fireplace!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $30,911ADR $334Occ ≈ 25%5★ (55)

    Airbnb

  • Cozy Comstock Cabin in Big Bear

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $32,275ADR $262Occ ≈ 34%4.9★ (8)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Hibernation Station I Near Snow Summit

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $29,775ADR $325Occ ≈ 25%4.8★ (56)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Château Bouli - 4 Season Escape / Games room

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $45,763ADR $540Occ ≈ 23%5★ (42)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Modern cabin with hot tub

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $24,143ADR $323Occ ≈ 20%4.9★ (67)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • PETFRIENDLY!HOTTUB!ClosetoSummit!FencedBackYard!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $76,116ADR $491Occ ≈ 42%4.8★ (94)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Big Bear Fun Cabin! Walk to Lake & Slopes

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $27,692ADR $375Occ ≈ 20%4.6★ (19)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Sweet Retreat 2- Cozy Relaxing Resort Cottage

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $30,437ADR $225Occ ≈ 37%—

    Booking

  • HOT TUB! Near Village, lake, and Snow Summit!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $41,966ADR $449Occ ≈ 26%4.8★ (40)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Modern Cabin w/ Deck & Fireplace

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $35,075ADR $256Occ ≈ 38%4.4★ (30)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Conklin Canopy - AC, Game Rm, Dog Friendly

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $13,352ADR $274Occ ≈ 13%5★ (6)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Big Bear Tranquil Escape

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $11,093ADR $0Occ ≈ —4.2★ (8)

    Booking

  • Steps to Lake + Village- Hot Tub+Game Room+Dogs +

    Cottage · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $30,102ADR $354Occ ≈ 23%4.9★ (103)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • McWhinney The Pooh's Den - Close to Ski Slopes, Pool Table, Foosball, BBQ

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $48,380ADR $549Occ ≈ 24%—

    Booking

  • Summit Retreat| 2 Spas • Walk to Summit• Fenced

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $83,819ADR $393Occ ≈ 58%5★ (69)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Village Modern-Hot Tub- Walk To Ski Resort/Dining

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $77,036ADR $305Occ ≈ 69%4.7★ (35)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Mountain Modern-1743 by Big Bear Vacations

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $3,671ADR $274Occ ≈ 4%4★ (1)

    Booking

  • Cozy cabin centrally located Price Reduced

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $24,444ADR $225Occ ≈ 30%4.5★ (187)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Village Chateau, A/C, Fire, Fenced Yard, Walkable

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $57,734ADR $353Occ ≈ 45%5★ (195)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Enchanting Cabin with Hot Tub & Quiet Neighborhood

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $33,530ADR $431Occ ≈ 21%4.6★ (43)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • HOTTUB!NearNationalForest!ToweringTrees!Foosball!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $34,086ADR $289Occ ≈ 32%4.9★ (95)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Camp Conklin Big Bear - Hot Tub + Games + Village

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $60,637ADR $534Occ ≈ 31%4.4★ (15)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Village Relaxation at Camp Conklin Big Bear - Hot Tub

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $68,830ADR $665Occ ≈ 28%—

    Booking

  • Pet Friendly! Near Snow Summit! Fenced Yard! Spa!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $33,437ADR $248Occ ≈ 37%4.7★ (144)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Hot Tub Cabin | Vintage Style + BBQ + Games

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $20,864ADR $340Occ ≈ 17%4★ (11)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Quirky Quonset Hut: Next To The Village

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 3 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $23,076ADR $168Occ ≈ 38%4.8★ (425)

    Airbnb

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$38,256

NOI

$11,607

Cash flow /mo

-$2,961

Cash needed

$211,410

Cash-on-cash

-16.8%

ROE (yr 1)

-4.2%

Cap rate

1.6%

DSCR

0.25

Year-1 write-off

$196,469

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$62,870

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$35,532
  • Principal paydown$4,770
  • Appreciation at%$21,870
ROE-4.2%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)25.5%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$7,651
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,148
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,913
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$9,113
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$3,718

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$182,250
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$29,160
  • Furnishing (conveyed with the sale)$0

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$62,870

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$585,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$195,000 · 33%

Year-1 deduction

$196,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$63,000

Land 20% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $390,000 over 39 years

Based on: 1,341 sq ft, built 1967, 3 bd / 2 ba, furnished, listing features (hot tub, deck, game room, fireplace).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $120,000 in year 1 (20% short-life, $39,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$117,900
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $8,700 new × 40% good × 4.94 allocation

    $17,300
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $7,200 new × 40% good × 4.94 allocation

    $14,100
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $2,300 new × 40% good × 4.94 allocation

    $4,600
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 4.94 allocation

    $600
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 4.94 allocation

    $2,400
  • Window coverings (13)default

    $3,300 new × 40% good × 4.94 allocation

    $6,400
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)default

    $3,500 new × 40% good × 4.94 allocation

    $6,800
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $6,800 new × 40% good × 4.94 allocation

    $13,400
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,100 new × 40% good × 4.94 allocation

    $8,100
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 4.94 allocation

    $16,000
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 4.94 allocation

    $17,800
  • Furniture conveyed with the sale (used)listing

    $19,500 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $7,800
  • Game-room equipment (used)listing

    $6,000 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $2,400
15-year land improvements$77,400
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $7,600 new × 50% good × 4.94 allocation

    $18,800
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $7,300 new × 50% good × 4.94 allocation

    $18,000
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,300 new × 50% good × 4.94 allocation

    $3,300
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $15,100 new × 50% good × 4.94 allocation

    $37,300
Building, 39-year$390,000
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $145,000 new × 40% good × 4.94 allocation

    $286,700
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $15,000 new × 40% good × 4.94 allocation

    $29,800
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $14,300 new × 40% good × 4.94 allocation

    $28,200
  • HVACdefault

    $15,100 new × 40% good × 4.94 allocation

    $29,900
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $5,200 new × 40% good × 4.94 allocation

    $10,200
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 4.94 allocation

    $5,200

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$117,900$77,400$1,300$196,500
2$0$0$10,000$10,000
3$0$0$10,000$10,000
4$0$0$10,000$10,000
5$0$0$10,000$10,000
6+$0$0$348,800$348,800
Total$117,900$77,400$390,000$585,200

The building's share of the price ($575,000) is 4.9x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($116,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California and Georgia disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.