42535 Avalon Rd
Big Bear Lake, CA 92315
$689,000
3 bd · 2 ba · 1,584 sqft · Listed 7d ago
View on Realtor.com →Year built
1974
Sqft
1,584
Lot sqft
8,002
HOA / mo
$0
Furnished
No
List date
2026-09-22T09:47:12.000000Z
Revenue
Annual revenue
$38,683
ADR
$354
Occupancy
30%
Cleaning fees (12 mo)
$7,128
Confidence
Low (42.8), 50 comps
Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)
Avalon Retreat - A well-furnished cabin with a pool table and a Hot Tub!
Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 95 ft
Revenue $42,204ADR $594Occ ≈ 19%—
Spacious Family Cabin! Game Room and Fireplace!
Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 279 ft
Revenue $23,101ADR $406Occ ≈ 16%4.9★ (52)
Cozy Bear Lodge. 4 minute drive to skiing/biking!
Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 285 ft
Revenue $1,283ADR $221Occ ≈ 2%5★ (6)
Retreat to fox farm #1662
Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 335 ft
Revenue $37,686ADR $578Occ ≈ 18%—
Grizzly Gambrel - A Modern Mountain Getaway!
Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 354 ft
Revenue $56,108ADR $327Occ ≈ 47%5★ (225)
| Listing | Size | Revenue (12 mo) | ADR | Occ ≈ | Rating | Distance | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Avalon Retreat - A well-furnished cabin with a pool table and a Hot Tub! Vacation home | 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 | $42,204 | $594 | 19% | — | 95 ft | Booking |
Fox Chalet Cabin | 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 | $14,730 | $316 | 13% | 4.9★ (83) | 217 ft | AirbnbVrbo |
Spacious Family Cabin! Game Room and Fireplace! Cabin | 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 | $23,101 | $406 | 16% | 4.9★ (52) | 279 ft | Airbnb |
Cozy Bear Lodge. 4 minute drive to skiing/biking! Cabin | 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 | $1,283 | $221 | 2% | 5★ (6) | 285 ft | Airbnb |
Cozy cabin + Game Loft! Close to slopes & stores. Cabin | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 | $37,920 | $310 | 34% | 5★ (206) | 299 ft | AirbnbVrbo |
Spacious 3 bedroom, Hot Tub, Pool Table, fireplace Cabin | 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 | $23,603 | $517 | 13% | 3.2★ (8) | 312 ft | AirbnbVrbo |
Luxe Ski Getaway | Spa, Fire Pit, Pets, Crib, BBQ House | 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 | $3,864 | $740 | 1% | 4.8★ (136) | 315 ft | AirbnbVrbo |
Retreat to fox farm #1662 Vacation home | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 | $37,686 | $578 | 18% | — | 335 ft | Booking |
Retreat To Fox Farm Central Log Cabin Chalet at BB Cabin | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 | $31,776 | $428 | 20% | 4.8★ (79) | 335 ft | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Grizzly Gambrel - A Modern Mountain Getaway! Cabin | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 | $56,108 | $327 | 47% | 5★ (225) | 354 ft | Airbnb |
Show all 50 comps
Casa Bosque- Central Modern Fox Farm Log Cabin Retreat- Hot Tub- Fenced- Pets
Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 410 ft
Revenue $38,885ADR $712Occ ≈ 15%5★ (1)
The Sun and Snow Chalet
Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 430 ft
Revenue $61,741ADR $272Occ ≈ 62%—
Guest Favorite 3BR Cabin · Hot Tub · Fox Farm
Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 7 · 443 ft
Revenue $72,901ADR $417Occ ≈ 48%5★ (196)
Big Bear Cabin • Hot Tub + Firepit • Near Slopes
Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 469 ft
Revenue $6,969ADR $350Occ ≈ 5%—
Living the dream #1807
Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 12 · 522 ft
Revenue $82,035ADR $872Occ ≈ 26%5★ (1)
Chalet Ski Haven | Spa, Fire Pit, Pets, Crib, BBQ
House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi
Revenue $28,390ADR $403Occ ≈ 19%4.5★ (17)
Rustic Retreat Big Bear~Central Fox Farm Chalet~
Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.1 mi
Revenue $38,965ADR $1,129Occ ≈ 9%—
Big Bear Cozy Cottage - Hot Tub, Close to Lake, WiFi, Pet Friendly
Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi
Revenue $27,423ADR $396Occ ≈ 19%—
AFrame, E-Bikes, Kayak, StunningViews, EV, Hot Tub
Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi
Revenue $72,599ADR $390Occ ≈ 51%4.8★ (68)
Balboa at Big Bear #404
Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi
Revenue $57,277ADR $448Occ ≈ 35%—
Modern Boho - Hot Tub | Close to Lake and Slopes
Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi
Revenue $83,090ADR $311Occ ≈ 73%4.9★ (164)
Cougar Mt Getaway
Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi
Revenue $4,149ADR $249Occ ≈ 5%—
| Listing | Size | Revenue (12 mo) | ADR | Occ ≈ | Rating | Distance | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Casa Bosque Log Cabin Retreat w/ Hot Tub Cabin | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 | $27,385 | $536 | 14% | 4.2★ (29) | 387 ft | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Casa Bosque- Central Modern Fox Farm Log Cabin Retreat- Hot Tub- Fenced- Pets Vacation home | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 | $38,885 | $712 | 15% | 5★ (1) | 410 ft | Booking |
Mellow Mountain Views ~ Hot Tub, Bball & Firepit House | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 | $48,330 | $265 | 50% | 5★ (50) | 417 ft | AirbnbVrbo |
Guest FAV 3BR Sun Chalet in Fox Farm| SPA & BBQ Cabin | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 | $57,634 | $263 | 60% | 5★ (50) | 423 ft | AirbnbVrbo |
The Sun and Snow Chalet Vacation home | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 | $61,741 | $272 | 62% | — | 430 ft | Booking |
Mountain & Ski Slope View Cabin 3bd/3bth Sleeps 10 Cabin | 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 | $42,999 | $447 | 26% | 4.6★ (38) | 440 ft | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Bond Chateau: WiFi!Foosball! Hot Tub! Grill! House | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 | $38,461 | $301 | 35% | 4.7★ (122) | 443 ft | AirbnbVrbo |
Guest Favorite 3BR Cabin · Hot Tub · Fox Farm Cabin | 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 7 | $72,901 | $417 | 48% | 5★ (196) | 443 ft | Airbnb |
Big Bear Cabin • Hot Tub + Firepit • Near Slopes Cabin | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 | $6,969 | $350 | 5% | — | 469 ft | Airbnb |
Cozy Cabin Minutes Away from Slopes/Lake/Downtown Cabin | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 | $14,805 | $340 | 12% | 5★ (62) | 492 ft | AirbnbVrbo |
Cozy Pines-Mountain Retreat | Hot Tub, Fenced Yard House | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 | $29,859 | $441 | 19% | 5★ (55) | 502 ft | AirbnbVrbo |
Living The Dream Big Bear- Hot Tub- Games Cabin | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 12 | $52,808 | $611 | 24% | 4★ (21) | 505 ft | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Secluded 3BR Cabin w/ Hot Tub Near Slopes & Lake Cabin | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 | $45,346 | $315 | 39% | 4.9★ (224) | 512 ft | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Living the dream #1807 Vacation home | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 12 | $82,035 | $872 | 26% | 5★ (1) | 522 ft | Booking |
HOT TUB! Pool Table! Close to Snow Summit! House | 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 | $45,206 | $317 | 39% | 4.7★ (139) | 522 ft | AirbnbVrbo |
Chalet Ski Haven | Spa, Fire Pit, Pets, Crib, BBQ House | 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 | $28,390 | $403 | 19% | 4.5★ (17) | 0.1 mi | Airbnb |
Hot Tub + Foosball & Air Hockey • Big Bear Cabin | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 | $10,113 | $323 | 9% | 4.8★ (4) | 0.1 mi | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Cute! Cozy! Hot Tub! Close to Lake & Slopes! RV8 Cabin | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 | $8,591 | $401 | 6% | 4.5★ (73) | 0.1 mi | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Pet Friendly + Hot Tub + Close to Lake Cabin | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 | $18,366 | $314 | 16% | 4.5★ (2) | 0.1 mi | AirbnbVrbo |
Rustic Retreat Big Bear~Central Fox Farm Chalet~ Vacation home | 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 | $38,965 | $1,129 | 9% | — | 0.1 mi | Booking |
Rustic Retreat at Big Bear - Spacious Retreat Cabin | 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 | $15,396 | $472 | 9% | 4.4★ (10) | 0.1 mi | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Big Bear Cozy Cottage - Hot Tub, Close to Lake, WiFi, Pet Friendly Vacation home | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 | $27,423 | $396 | 19% | — | 0.1 mi | Booking |
AFrame, E-Bikes, Kayak, StunningViews, EV, Hot Tub Cabin | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 | $72,599 | $390 | 51% | 4.8★ (68) | 0.1 mi | Airbnb |
Cozy Bear Den: Skyview Estates! Hot Tub! House | 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 7 | $37,739 | $273 | 38% | 4.8★ (72) | 0.1 mi | AirbnbVrbo |
A-Frame in Moonridge, Big Bear Lake - A/C, Hot Tub House | 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 7 | $14,682 | $281 | 14% | 4.8★ (12) | 0.1 mi | AirbnbVrbo |
Log Cabin, Hot Tub, Foosball, Fenced Yard Cabin | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 | $32,973 | $505 | 18% | 4.5★ (17) | 0.1 mi | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Summit Cabin-Cent A/C,hot tub/game room/pool table House | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 | $22,449 | $530 | 12% | 4.9★ (75) | 0.1 mi | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Balboa at Big Bear #404 Vacation home | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 | $57,277 | $448 | 35% | — | 0.1 mi | Booking |
Centrally Located Fox Farm Getaway w/ Arcade Table House | 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 | $19,130 | $241 | 22% | 4.8★ (19) | 0.1 mi | AirbnbVrboBooking |
NAMU CABIN • Modern Chic Design • Spa & Gameroom House | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 | $38,249 | $354 | 30% | 5★ (100) | 0.1 mi | AirbnbVrbo |
House Paramount Paradise Close to everything EV Ch House | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 | $5,992 | $223 | 7% | 5★ (3) | 0.2 mi | AirbnbVrbo |
Modern Boho - Hot Tub | Close to Lake and Slopes Cabin | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 | $83,090 | $311 | 73% | 4.9★ (164) | 0.2 mi | Airbnb |
Hot Tub, Pool Table, Arcade Game, Slope Views Cabin | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 | $45,156 | $470 | 26% | 4.7★ (23) | 0.2 mi | AirbnbVrbo |
Modern A-Frame Cabin • Hot Tub • Game Room Cabin | 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 | $69,643 | $381 | 50% | 4.9★ (288) | 0.2 mi | AirbnbVrbo |
Relaxing 3BR Escape | Hot Tub + Pet Friendly! BBQ! House | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 | $41,681 | $250 | 46% | 4.8★ (107) | 0.2 mi | AirbnbVrbo |
Log home with spaShuffleboardGamesBBQBy slopes Cabin | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 | $50,317 | $418 | 33% | 4.8★ (45) | 0.2 mi | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Mountain Bear Cabin | Spa · Pool Table Near Slopes Cabin | 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 7 | $45,398 | $335 | 37% | 4.5★ (64) | 0.2 mi | AirbnbVrboBooking |
Grizzly Lodge - mountain + lake escape Cabin | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 | $57,244 | $294 | 53% | 4.8★ (129) | 0.2 mi | AirbnbVrbo |
Cougar Mt Getaway House | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 | $41,272 | $447 | 25% | 3★ (1) | 0.2 mi | AirbnbVrbo |
Cougar Mt Getaway Vacation home | 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 | $4,149 | $249 | 5% | — | 0.2 mi | Booking |
Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.
Cash flow calculator
Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium
Est. revenue
$38,683
NOI
$12,559
Cash flow /mo
-$2,666
Cash needed
$219,310
Cash-on-cash
-14.6%
ROE (yr 1)
-3.1%
Cap rate
1.8%
DSCR
0.28
Year-1 write-off
$181,373
Year-1 tax shield @ 32%
$58,039
Year-1 return on equity
- Cash flow (annual)-$31,994
- Principal paydown$4,509
- Appreciation at%$20,670
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown
Annual operating expenses
- Management (20% of revenue)$7,737
- Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,160
- Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,934
- Utilities & supplies$4,200
- HOA$0
- Property tax$8,613
- Insurance (STR-rated)$3,514
Cash needed to close
- Down payment (25%)$172,250
- Closing costs (4.0%)$27,560
- Furnishing (bought new)$19,500
Tax savings if the STR loophole applies
- Tax shield @ 32%$58,039
Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).
The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.
Cost segregation estimate
An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.
Depreciable basis
$551,000
Short-life (5/15-yr)
$161,000 · 29%
Year-1 deduction
$181,000
Year-1 tax shield @ 32%
$58,000
Land 20% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $391,000 over 39 years · new furniture $20,000
Based on: 1,584 sq ft, built 1974, 3 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (deck, fence, fireplace, appliance list).
IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $109,000 in year 1 (16% short-life, $35,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.
- $15,500
Kitchen cabinetsdefault
$9,300 new × 40% good × 4.19 allocation
- $12,700
Kitchen countertopsdefault
$7,600 new × 40% good × 4.19 allocation
- $4,600
Decorative trimdefault
$2,800 new × 40% good × 4.19 allocation
- $500
Mirrorsdefault
$300 new × 40% good × 4.19 allocation
- $2,000
Shelvingdefault
$1,200 new × 40% good × 4.19 allocation
- $6,700
Window coverings (16)default
$4,000 new × 40% good × 4.19 allocation
- $6,800
Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)default
$4,100 new × 40% good × 4.19 allocation
- $12,100
Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault
$7,200 new × 40% good × 4.19 allocation
- $7,300
Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault
$4,400 new × 40% good × 4.19 allocation
- $5,400
Appliances (range, dishwasher, disposal)listing
$3,200 new × 40% good × 4.19 allocation
- $19,500
Furniture bought newlisting
$19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately
- $17,300
Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default
$8,300 new × 50% good × 4.19 allocation
- $16,600
Landscaping (typical)default
$7,900 new × 50% good × 4.19 allocation
- $3,300
Patiosdefault
$1,600 new × 50% good × 4.19 allocation
- $37,300
Decks & porches (attached)listing
$17,800 new × 50% good × 4.19 allocation
- $12,600
Fencinglisting
$6,000 new × 50% good × 4.19 allocation
- $287,200
Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault
$171,600 new × 40% good × 4.19 allocation
- $29,800
Building plumbing & fixturesdefault
$17,800 new × 40% good × 4.19 allocation
- $29,000
Building electrical & lightingdefault
$17,400 new × 40% good × 4.19 allocation
- $29,900
HVACdefault
$17,800 new × 40% good × 4.19 allocation
- $10,200
Hardwood & tile floorsdefault
$6,100 new × 40% good × 4.19 allocation
- $4,400
Fireplacelisting
$2,600 new × 40% good × 4.19 allocation
About the property
Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study
| Year | 5-yr | 15-yr | Building | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $93,100 | $87,000 | $1,300 | $181,400 |
| 2 | $0 | $0 | $10,000 | $10,000 |
| 3 | $0 | $0 | $10,000 | $10,000 |
| 4 | $0 | $0 | $10,000 | $10,000 |
| 5 | $0 | $0 | $10,000 | $10,000 |
| 6+ | $0 | $0 | $349,300 | $349,300 |
| Total | $93,100 | $87,000 | $390,600 | $570,700 |
The building's share of the price ($551,000) is 4.2x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($132,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.
Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California and Georgia disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.
Market note
Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.