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Rate 8.07% = 7.32% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 22) + 0.75% investor premium

42540 Cedar Ave

42540 Cedar Ave

Big Bear Lake, CA 92315

$379,999

2 bd · 1 ba · 660 sqft · Listed 1d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

1962

Sqft

660

Lot sqft

5,001

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-27T17:53:39.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$25,811

ADR

$242

Occupancy

29%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$6,154

Confidence

Low (50.22), 49 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$16,112$22,479$35,710

Median revenue of shown comps: $22,627

  • < 3 Mi to Lake: 'Goldilodge' Big Bear Lake Cabin

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 49 ft

    Revenue $22,627ADR $202Occ ≈ 31%4.8★ (69)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy 2BR/2BA Log Home: Fenced Yard, Gas Fireplace & Walk to Lake

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 72 ft

    Revenue $34,217ADR $443Occ ≈ 21%—

    Booking

  • Cedar Pines Log Cabin | Pet Friendly + BBQ

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 75 ft

    Revenue $20,376ADR $352Occ ≈ 16%4.3★ (57)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Moonridge Cottage at Bear Mountain Resort w/ Spa

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 98 ft

    Revenue $36,412ADR $393Occ ≈ 25%4.4★ (67)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cedar Chalet-2bed-1bath/Bear Mtn

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 102 ft

    Revenue $12,920ADR $221Occ ≈ 16%5★ (13)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Willow Retreat: 2 Bdr - Hot Tub - Forest

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 135 ft

    Revenue $16,440ADR $264Occ ≈ 17%5★ (19)

    Airbnb

  • Moonridge Cottage at Bear Mountain Resort w/ Hot Tub

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 151 ft

    Revenue $52,083ADR $519Occ ≈ 27%3.5★ (4)

    Booking

  • COZY 2BR 2BA CABIN & SPA MINS 2 MOST ATTRACTIONS

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 226 ft

    Revenue $26,153ADR $211Occ ≈ 34%4.8★ (431)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Bear Mountain Cabin#2299

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 233 ft

    Revenue $14,906ADR $516Occ ≈ 8%5★ (4)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Treehouse Cabin | Fireplace · Near Slopes

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 256 ft

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $21,256ADR $225Occ ≈ 26%4.8★ (23)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Show 37 more
  • Cedar Pines w/ spa, near Big Bear Mountain & Zoo

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 262 ft

    Revenue $41,292ADR $225Occ ≈ 50%4.7★ (18)

    AirbnbBooking

  • *Cozy Bear Mountain Cabin*Minutes to Hike/Ski/Golf

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 279 ft

    Revenue $19,615ADR $539Occ ≈ 10%4.3★ (18)

    Airbnb

  • Fireplace + BBQ + Near Slopes, Lake, & Village

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 348 ft

    Revenue $10,888ADR $213Occ ≈ 14%4.7★ (51)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Good Old Times Cabin

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 5 · 367 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $17,544ADR $254Occ ≈ 19%5★ (9)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 1 Mi to Snow Summit: Big Bear Lake Cabin!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 377 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $36,897ADR $207Occ ≈ 49%4.8★ (56)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Oktoberfest! #Hot Tub #BBQ #Fireplace #Hike #Zoo

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 384 ft

    Revenue $25,033ADR $208Occ ≈ 33%4.9★ (232)

    Airbnb

  • Forest Views, Hot Tub, Walk to Moonridge, A/C

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 384 ft

    Revenue $42,778ADR $276Occ ≈ 42%5★ (3)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy & Pet Friendly Stay at The Willow Bungalow

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 397 ft

    Revenue $29,741ADR $166Occ ≈ 49%4.8★ (274)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Bear Dancer/Storybook Cabin/Close to Ski Resorts

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 404 ft

    Revenue $16,112ADR $353Occ ≈ 13%4.8★ (57)

    Airbnb

  • Near Bear Mtn | Fireplace + Pac-Man Arcade

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 404 ft

    Revenue $11,564ADR $267Occ ≈ 12%4.7★ (21)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Backs to Nat'l Forest | Walk to Bear Mtn

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 417 ft

    Revenue $8,551ADR $218Occ ≈ 11%4.3★ (11)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • National Forest View Chalet: Hot Tub, A/C & BBQ

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 420 ft

    Revenue $40,784ADR $265Occ ≈ 42%4.9★ (50)

    Airbnb

  • Forest View Chalet in Big Bear Lake

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 430 ft

    Revenue $48,004ADR $279Occ ≈ 47%—

    Booking

  • Blue Moonridge Chalet

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 5 · 486 ft

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +4

    Revenue $10,680ADR $246Occ ≈ 12%4.9★ (12)

    Airbnb

  • Chalet Hal | Steps from the National Forest

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 489 ft

    Revenue $29,094ADR $337Occ ≈ 24%5★ (137)

    Airbnb

  • Hot Tub | Walk to Trails + Alpine Zoo

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 489 ft

    Revenue $12,275ADR $246Occ ≈ 14%4.3★ (51)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Family Friendly cabin with Jacuzzi

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +2

    Revenue $26,119ADR $180Occ ≈ 40%4.8★ (183)

    Airbnb

  • Cozy Moonridge R&R*Golf/Ski/Zoo/Hike Retreat Cabin

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $25,767ADR $264Occ ≈ 27%4.3★ (14)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Vintage Charm by Bear Mountain, AC, walk to zoo

    House · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $11,236ADR $181Occ ≈ 17%4.9★ (19)

    Airbnb

  • Lower Moonridge | Fireplace + Fire Pit

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $13,576ADR $215Occ ≈ 17%4.8★ (6)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Hot Tub | Walk to Trails + Alpine Zoo

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace

    Revenue $14,488ADR $227Occ ≈ 17%4.5★ (19)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Bearadise Cottage-Hot Tub- Foosball- Golf/Ski Area

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $38,364ADR $489Occ ≈ 21%4★ (22)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy Cabin Close to Slopes, Walk to Shuttle

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $17,606ADR $205Occ ≈ 24%4.9★ (369)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy 2 Bedroom Cabin with Fireplace and Hot Tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $21,846ADR $204Occ ≈ 29%4.8★ (12)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Happy Fox - A/C- Spa - Karaoke - We Love Dogs!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +4

    Revenue $51,414ADR $303Occ ≈ 46%5★ (300)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • BigBear Lake Cabin 3 min to Bear & Summit Mountain

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $23,696ADR $183Occ ≈ 35%5★ (86)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Storybook Whimsy Cottage Near Slopes/Village & Spa

    Cottage · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $24,813ADR $181Occ ≈ 38%4.8★ (192)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Crimson Cottage in the heart of Moonridge

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $16,802ADR $270Occ ≈ 17%5★ (2)

    Delisted

  • Retreat To The Mountains/Modern/2Bed/2Bath

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $39,167ADR $212Occ ≈ 51%4.9★ (189)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • SPA | EV Charger | WE LOVE DOGS | LUX CABIN Escape

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $45,293ADR $344Occ ≈ 36%5★ (135)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Firefly · WE LOVE DOGS | Hot Tub|EV Charger | LUX CABIN Getaway

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $21,576ADR $387Occ ≈ 15%5★

    Delisted

  • Our Cabin in the Woods Log Cabin w/ Hot Tub/Skiing

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $25,609ADR $430Occ ≈ 16%4.8★ (17)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Craftsman Hideaway ~ Cabin with EV Charger

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $19,641ADR $647Occ ≈ 8%—

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Our Cabin in the Woods Log Cabin Retreat w/ Hot Tub

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $54,979ADR $578Occ ≈ 26%5★ (2)

    Booking

  • The Cozy Farmhouse

    House · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $35,710ADR $191Occ ≈ 51%4.8★ (184)

    Airbnb

  • Big Bear Lake Moonridge Mountain Retreat

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $22,479ADR $446Occ ≈ 14%5★ (6)

    Airbnb

  • Brooklyn Outdoor Dream | SPA, Firepit, Near Trails

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +2

    Revenue $6,085ADR $221Occ ≈ 8%5★ (5)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.07% = 7.32% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 22) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$25,811

NOI

$8,266

Cash flow /mo

-$1,416

Cash needed

$126,200

Cash-on-cash

-13.5%

ROE (yr 1)

-2.6%

Cap rate

2.2%

DSCR

0.33

Year-1 write-off

$131,600

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$42,112

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$16,996
  • Principal paydown$2,348
  • Appreciation at%$11,400
ROE-2.6%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$5,162
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$774
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,291
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$4,762
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$1,938

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$95,000
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$15,200
  • Furnishing (bought new)$16,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$42,112

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$304,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$115,000 · 38%

Year-1 deduction

$132,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$42,000

Land 20% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $189,000 over 39 years · new furniture $16,000

Based on: 660 sq ft, built 1962, 2 bd / 1 ba, unfurnished, listing features (deck, fireplace).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $84,000 in year 1 (22% short-life, $27,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$86,200
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $7,200 new × 40% good × 4.88 allocation

    $14,100
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $5,900 new × 40% good × 4.88 allocation

    $11,600
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 4.88 allocation

    $2,300
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $200 new × 40% good × 4.88 allocation

    $300
  • Shelvingdefault

    $900 new × 40% good × 4.88 allocation

    $1,800
  • Window coverings (7)default

    $1,800 new × 40% good × 4.88 allocation

    $3,400
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)default

    $1,700 new × 40% good × 4.88 allocation

    $3,300
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $5,600 new × 40% good × 4.88 allocation

    $11,000
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $3,400 new × 40% good × 4.88 allocation

    $6,700
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 4.88 allocation

    $15,800
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $16,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $16,000
15-year land improvements$45,200
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)listing

    $5,300 new × 50% good × 4.88 allocation

    $13,000
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $5,100 new × 50% good × 4.88 allocation

    $12,500
  • Patiosdefault

    $700 new × 50% good × 4.88 allocation

    $1,600
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $7,400 new × 50% good × 4.88 allocation

    $18,100
Building, 39-year$188,600
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $71,100 new × 40% good × 4.88 allocation

    $138,700
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $7,300 new × 40% good × 4.88 allocation

    $14,300
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $5,600 new × 40% good × 4.88 allocation

    $11,000
  • HVACdefault

    $7,400 new × 40% good × 4.88 allocation

    $14,500
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $2,500 new × 40% good × 4.88 allocation

    $5,000
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 4.88 allocation

    $5,100

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$86,200$45,200$200$131,600
2$0$0$4,800$4,800
3$0$0$4,800$4,800
4$0$0$4,800$4,800
5$0$0$4,800$4,800
6+$0$0$169,100$169,100
Total$86,200$45,200$188,600$320,000

The building's share of the price ($304,000) is 4.9x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($62,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.